Earlier quoted context omitted.
>Proof is in the pudding. Which neglects the point that USN aren't using CVNs to conduct FONOP in PRC SCS features that US does not recognize. There's no explanation other than being risk averse considering other developments. >PRC has not initiated another crisis since '96 The crisis in 96 was US initiated when House passed bill to allow TW president Lee to visit Cornell after first denying him. Current rekindling o…
in the past 5 or so years, off the top of my head: - phone call between Trump and Ingwen - confirming US military presence in Taiwan (alleged PRC red line) - Officially released videos showing US military training with ROC forces in Taiwan - Higher and higher level US officials visiting Taiwan - Vice presidents of respective countries seen talking together The things you list that the US still is not doing, I fully e…
Re: carriers, I was highlighting to OP that there are constraints to US actions imposed by PRC, both militarily and in other examples, i.e. politically. You insinutate it's not US caution but PRC fear, which makes no sense in context of how careful US is shifting TW policy, because force balance is not disproportionate like during 3rd strait crisis anymore, US repercussions are approaching existential as well. As for who loses more, up for debate, but IMO a reigning hegemon has more to lose.