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U.S. interest rates have soared everywhere but savings accounts

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Re: U.S. interest rates have soared everywhere but savings accounts

#281

After one year, I-bonds are pretty similar to savings accounts and they are indexed to inflation. Your money won't grow, but it won't shrink either -- and as Treasury bonds they are the lowest-risk investment that exists. If you buy some today, they will pay 7.12% for the next 6 months. After that they will probably be adjusted to pay even more, based on the current inflation rate. There are two major catches: you ha…

For anyone who filed a 4868, and expects a refund, note that up to $5000 of it can be claimed in the form of paper I-bonds. This limit is independent of the $10000 online bond limit. There is a nuisance factor in that some portion will be delivered in small denominations -- down to $50. If you're using TurboTax, the necessary checkbox is well hidden. Look for a "more options" tab or some such, IIRC.

This seems like oddly-timed tax advice -- the filing deadline (without extensions) was Apr 18 and today is Apr 23.

Re: U.S. interest rates have soared everywhere but savings accounts

#282

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Covering inflation is greed?

Any rational investor isn't going to be aiming to cover inflation, they are going to be trying to maximize their rate of return. It wouldn't matter if the interest rate was above or below the inflation rate, investors will always shop around to find the highest return they can get. I think "greed" is an unhelpful term as it is too emotionally charged for what is really just rational behaviour given economic incentive…

[deleted]

Re: U.S. interest rates have soared everywhere but savings accounts

#283
post #145

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you're underrating the liquidity of treasuries. For all practical purposes, a treasury is as liquid as a savings account. Yes, the market will take a little bit in the bid/ask spread. Note: I am not suggesting holding long term treasuries as a substitute for a savings account here, though a ladder of short term treasuries could be an alternative when conditions are favorable, like now.

Yes treasuries are liquid, but a 100 bps rise in yield in a 10y bond means the face value is 10% less. Duration risk is (bps yield increase * years) where 100 bps is 1%. Duration risk matters a lot less with the shorter dates issues.

If interest rates went up 10% (hypothetical, I understand it won’t happen), what would the face value of an existing 10y bond be?

Re: U.S. interest rates have soared everywhere but savings accounts

#285
post #281

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For anyone who filed a 4868, and expects a refund, note that up to $5000 of it can be claimed in the form of paper I-bonds. This limit is independent of the $10000 online bond limit. There is a nuisance factor in that some portion will be delivered in small denominations -- down to $50. If you're using TurboTax, the necessary checkbox is well hidden. Look for a "more options" tab or some such, IIRC.

This seems like oddly-timed tax advice -- the filing deadline (without extensions) was Apr 18 and today is Apr 23.

[deleted]

Re: U.S. interest rates have soared everywhere but savings accounts

#287
post #94

Trickle-down only works when it isn't for 'consumers.'

I think it is pretty common knowledge that money has diminishing returns. What I find absurd is that people actually bought the trickle-down nonsense. It's almost on the same level as flat earth. It's sooo obvious that this isn't how the economy works. If you want to give money away, give it to those who actually need it not those who need it least.

I don't think it's that simple. In a setting where there is little concentration of wealth, and where it is also hard or impossible to borrow money for productive purposes, I can easily imagine giving money to the "supply side" leading to large gains that "lift all boats" compared to not giving that money.

With the benefit of hindsight, I don't think we've been in a situation that resembles that (at least in the US) at any point since "supply side economics" was formulated. I don't know what I would have thought at the time; I expect it was less obvious than it feels now.

There's remains the possibility that, even in a situation like that, some other approach would work even better, although naively pumping money into the "demand side" probably isn't that approach.

Re: U.S. interest rates have soared everywhere but savings accounts

#288

After one year, I-bonds are pretty similar to savings accounts and they are indexed to inflation. Your money won't grow, but it won't shrink either -- and as Treasury bonds they are the lowest-risk investment that exists. If you buy some today, they will pay 7.12% for the next 6 months. After that they will probably be adjusted to pay even more, based on the current inflation rate. There are two major catches: you ha…

In addition to I bonds you can also buy up to $10K in EE bonds per year as well. These double in value, but you have to hold on to them for 20 years until they mature. I treat this as as retirement savings.

For example, if you buy them when you are between 40 and 50 years old, you will have $200K of risk free money by age 70.

Also, both I bonds and EE bonds are tied to the individual. If you are married your spouse can also buy $20K in bonds per year as well.

Re: U.S. interest rates have soared everywhere but savings accounts

#289

After one year, I-bonds are pretty similar to savings accounts and they are indexed to inflation. Your money won't grow, but it won't shrink either -- and as Treasury bonds they are the lowest-risk investment that exists. If you buy some today, they will pay 7.12% for the next 6 months. After that they will probably be adjusted to pay even more, based on the current inflation rate. There are two major catches: you ha…

In addition to I bonds you can also buy up to $10K in EE bonds per year as well. These double in value, but you have to hold on to them for 20 years until they mature. I treat this as as retirement savings. For example, if you buy them when you are between 40 and 50 years old, you will have $200K of risk free money by age 70. Also, both I bonds and EE bonds are tied to the individual. If you are married your spouse c…

The downside of the EE bonds is they don't grow linearly. They are guaranteed to be worth double their original value via a one-time adjustment at the 20 year mark if they haven't already doubled -- and at today's rates they definitely won't double until then. If you need to sell them before the 20th anniversary they will barely be worth more than their original value, and in real terms they will be worth far less because of inflation.

Re: U.S. interest rates have soared everywhere but savings accounts

#290
post #281

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For anyone who filed a 4868, and expects a refund, note that up to $5000 of it can be claimed in the form of paper I-bonds. This limit is independent of the $10000 online bond limit. There is a nuisance factor in that some portion will be delivered in small denominations -- down to $50. If you're using TurboTax, the necessary checkbox is well hidden. Look for a "more options" tab or some such, IIRC.

This seems like oddly-timed tax advice -- the filing deadline (without extensions) was Apr 18 and today is Apr 23.

I, for one, appreciated the humor here. But I also understand why others did not.
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