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“Eastern Antarctica”. East of what? I have no idea where that is.
“Eastern Antarctica”. East of what? I have no idea where that is.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
The probability that an observation is beyond 5 standard deviations is https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chebyshev's_inequality https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cauchy_distribution
4% would imply that we should expect about two weeks of such weather every year, in total. Which would make this article somewhat clickbait — nothing more than “wowza, July 15th is another hot one in California!” Since it’s currently summer, in the Southern Hemisphere.
that is 39 Celsius above minimum average, or 27 Celsius on the conservative side: Instead of temperatures being minus-50 or minus-60 degrees (minus-45 or minus-51 Celsius), they’ve been closer to zero or 10 degrees (minus-18 Celsius or minus-12 Celsius)
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Do you know the temperature probability distribution in Antartica? Not all distributions are normal and not all even have a standard deviation.
The probability that an observation is beyond 5 standard deviations is https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chebyshev's_inequality https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cauchy_distribution
that is 39 Celsius above minimum average, or 27 Celsius on the conservative side: Instead of temperatures being minus-50 or minus-60 degrees (minus-45 or minus-51 Celsius), they’ve been closer to zero or 10 degrees (minus-18 Celsius or minus-12 Celsius)
Without knowing the variance, that really says nothing.
“Eastern Antarctica”. East of what? I have no idea where that is.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
If the observed variable is “the mean temperature in a given day”, 4% can be expected to occur relatively frequently. Anyway until we know the probability distribution, and my intuition says that it’s definitely not Normal for wide periods of time, we can’t say if it’s significant or not.
You’re the only one introducing the normal distribution here.
https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/108578/what-does-s...