Earlier quoted context omitted.
All these arguments are moot, see the research: https://whatisnuclear.com/economics.html https://whatisnuclear.com/fukushima.html ...etc.
See this nuclear positive website that doesn't have an imprint (I can find on mobile). I wouldn't bcall it research either. Summary would probably be fair.
Finland starts much-delayed nuclear plant, brings respite to power market
171–180 of 632 posts
Re: Finland starts much-delayed nuclear plant, brings respite to power market
#172Re: Finland starts much-delayed nuclear plant, brings respite to power market
#173Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think this is vastly misunderstood in the (artificial) renewables vs nuclear conversation. We keep building effectively one-off complex machines, and then flushing all that knowledge down the drain by saying it cost too much and took too long. Like yes, the first one always takes longer and costs more...
There's no reason to assume that building the same nuclear reactor design multiple time will maintain the same cost or decrease. Even with the supposedly successful French nuclear program, costs increased over time, there was negative learning: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S03014... There's huge huge risk in choosing a particular design and building even one of it, because we don't know if it…
It would be great to see an attempt to such battery solution that would cover the same amount of capacity as this plant, that can operate for at least several months without recharging, in Finish winter, and cost less than this plant and be built faster. That would check all the boxes, and if such technology already exist, people here should really put their investment money into it.
Re: Finland starts much-delayed nuclear plant, brings respite to power market
#174Earlier quoted context omitted.
By population that's one reactor of this scale per million people. To replace all other sources of electricity, 8 thousand such reactors would feed the current world's population. We'd need just shy of 500 more to keep up with population growth by 2030 - or at least 500 new reactors globally per decade. (edit - assuming everyone uses the same amount of power globally as the average person in Finland which - why shoul…
How much more nuclear wast does that imply per decade? How many more meltdowns per decade?
Re: Finland starts much-delayed nuclear plant, brings respite to power market
#175What I find incredible is: Once this fully ramps up, this one power plant is expected to satisfy 14% of the entire country's electricity needs. 7 of these could power an entire country, 24/7.
> 7 of these could power an entire country, 24/7 ...if you continue to heat with gas, drive on petrol, fly on petroleum... I don't want to be the party pooper but that renewable energy has to cover more than current electricity consumption does get overlooked continuously. Less by governments than by the media and general public, thankfully, but still.
Re: Finland starts much-delayed nuclear plant, brings respite to power market
#176Earlier quoted context omitted.
- Time. This one took over a decade and a half to build, and that's pretty normal - Cost. Literally billions of dollars, all upfront. This one was budgeted at $3B and ended up costing $10B+. - Inflexibility. Almost all of the cost is in building one, so if you aren't running it basically 100% of the time at 100% capacity you are losing money. When it comes to $/MWh, nuclear simply can't compete with fossil or renewab…
All these arguments are moot, see the research: https://whatisnuclear.com/economics.html https://whatisnuclear.com/fukushima.html ...etc.
We have to build lots of bigger, standardised reactors which will then reduce the cost due to experience and economies of scale. But then of course someone has to subsidise the tens/hundreds of billions in upfront investment to get to that point.
Where as with renewables this was all done decades ago. And we are now at the point where it is orders of magnitude cheaper than nuclear. And getting cheaper by the day.
Re: Finland starts much-delayed nuclear plant, brings respite to power market
#177Earlier quoted context omitted.
It is more than 14%. It looks like this plant, all three reactors together, might eventually cover a third of Finland's needs. But those are 2020 numbers. Increased electrification, especially EVs and moves away from gas, will probably reduce that percentage. In that context, the third reactor is only incrementally more powerful than those already running at the facility. "The Olkiluoto plant consists of two boiling…
If those EVs are mainly charging at night, where does the extra peak load come from? Or is this just a case of not being able to shut off as much NG/Hydro generation at night (since nuclear can’t really be turned on and off at will)?
And many reactors are able to modulate their output, either by absorbing neutrons to slow the chain reaction, or by letting steam bypass the turbines.
https://www.energy.gov/ne/articles/3-ways-nuclear-more-flexi...
Re: Finland starts much-delayed nuclear plant, brings respite to power market
#178Earlier quoted context omitted.
By population that's one reactor of this scale per million people. To replace all other sources of electricity, 8 thousand such reactors would feed the current world's population. We'd need just shy of 500 more to keep up with population growth by 2030 - or at least 500 new reactors globally per decade. (edit - assuming everyone uses the same amount of power globally as the average person in Finland which - why shoul…
How much more nuclear wast does that imply per decade? How many more meltdowns per decade?
The popular YouTube channel The B1M has an interesting video on how Finland is tackling nuclear waste:
Finland might have solved nuclear power's biggest problem (2021): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kYpiK3W-g_0
Re: Finland starts much-delayed nuclear plant, brings respite to power market
#179Earlier quoted context omitted.
No, it's not sarcasm — I would appreciate it if you would be a little more generous when interpreting my remark. The proliferation problem is exacerbated incrementally by every additional plant in every additional country — including this one. The issue is not Finland in particular developing nuclear weapons, but any country developing nuclear weapons — especially a country governed by an autocracy. Or a country that…
The countries which are least trustworthy wrt nuclear weapons are the ones that aren't going to ask the public's permission. An autocracy doesn't need to power itself by nuclear plants in order to have nuclear weapons. On the other hand having a sustainable, clean source of power not tied to autocratic regimes lowers the leverage those regimes hold over democratic countries. In my particular country, a major chunk of…
I agree that dependence on geopolitically and environmentally problematic fossil fuel sources is a pressing concern.
Re: Finland starts much-delayed nuclear plant, brings respite to power market
#180Earlier quoted context omitted.
By population that's one reactor of this scale per million people. To replace all other sources of electricity, 8 thousand such reactors would feed the current world's population. We'd need just shy of 500 more to keep up with population growth by 2030 - or at least 500 new reactors globally per decade. (edit - assuming everyone uses the same amount of power globally as the average person in Finland which - why shoul…
How much more nuclear wast does that imply per decade? How many more meltdowns per decade?
Just as you wouldn't factor Amelia Earhart's plane into 2022 air safety prognoses, you shouldn't use Chernobyl reactors for nuclear safety.