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The History of Sanctions

dissentmagazine.org

41–50 of 58 posts

Re: The History of Sanctions

#41
post #29
post #28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The goal on North Korea is not to invade South Korea or attack Japan. (And also to disable their ability to use nukes against USA). I would say goals were accomplished. We really don't know the state of nuclear missiles there and I could bet they are not in any very good shape...

That's ridiculous. North Korea is not crazy, there is no conceivable reason why North Korea would use nukes against USA unless regime is attacked. If that was the goal, there was no reason for sanctions whatsoever. Truly, "nukes against USA" is much more ridiculous than Russia's excuse of invading Ukraine, that it is threatened by NATO expansion.

> North Korea is not crazy

Why do you think so?

Re: The History of Sanctions

#42
It's baffling how socialists can deny reality and working economic models in favor of their demonstrably and repeatedly failed theories of economy and state, even going as far as denying the "no true Scotsman" fallacy.

Re: The History of Sanctions

#43
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Tanks these days aren't raw steel, rubber and a few other things anymore. They're advanced alloys, a ton of electronics, etc. Russia can't make all of that at the same level as the rest of the world combined. Similar story for almost every advanced military product. And for civilian products. The Russian population is in for a world of hurt.

> Russia can't make all of that at the same level as the rest of the world combined. Right now they don't have to, they just need to replace things at the level as Ukraine with just a little help from others. That is much more manageable than “the rest of the world combined”. > The Russian population is in for a world of hurt. Which Putin will blame on the rest of the world. While many in Russia are well aware that s…

> they'll have plenty in reserve

That's the big unknown. What part of their reserves is usable? We've already seen they are sending over 40 years old equipment from the Far East a few days ago.

Re: The History of Sanctions

#44
post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Russia can't make all of that at the same level as the rest of the world combined. Right now they don't have to, they just need to replace things at the level as Ukraine with just a little help from others. That is much more manageable than “the rest of the world combined”. > The Russian population is in for a world of hurt. Which Putin will blame on the rest of the world. While many in Russia are well aware that s…

> they haven't sent over the majority of their equipment, Really? I thought they sent in like 75%. Here's their current reinforcements (see the Z letters): https://v.redd.it/qadkws73hwl81/DASH_720.mp4

Some of that is a locality issue. Due to a mix of bad planning and Ukraine resisting rather more effectively than expected, Russian forces don't have enough equipment near the front lines so are falling back on what they can find for now. There is better equipment available elsewhere, but Russia is fairly large and getting that reinforcing equipment from one part to another is not an instantaneous process.

I could be wrong of course. This isn't the first time I've heard the figure, but 75% seems rather a lot to have dedicated to this action at the outset. Do you have any reference for that figure?

Re: The History of Sanctions

#45
post #2

How can Russia replace all its lost equipment (tanks, supply trucks, helicopters, planes) when they've lost more than half of their economy in a week, and counting? Their GDP was on par with Spain (a country of far smaller size and natural wealth), but is fast approaching that of Portugal. I mean, look at the flight of skilled workers out of their country, and the ruble halving in value in the space of a month.

> ruble halving in value in the space of a month Could you please clarify if this has a meaning other than the mathematical meaning? The ruble was 0.013 USD on Feb 7, and is 0.010 on Mar 8. Per my math, it has lost 23% of its value, not 50%.

It's 0.0071 as of Mar 8, 13:51 UTC. Was 0.0066 at one point yesterday.

Re: The History of Sanctions

#46
Sanctions should be increased even further. Russia experienced the sanctions following the Crimea annexation and scoffed. Due to that, they have been emboldened and attacked Ukraine. Now the sanctions should be tough enough that Russia, with the prospect of changing the plutonium cores of 5000 weapons every 10 years, or doing something else, will decide to do something else. Painful enough that the engineers designing their air defense systems decide to move to other countries.

Russia has built up their currency reserves by shorting pensions of their retirees. The reserves were intended to survive the impending sanctions. Russia will be forced to fund their pensioners, drawing down that reserve.

Re: The History of Sanctions

#47
post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

One thing Indian media does better than Western media is not to rebroadcast Zelensky indiscriminately. Let's face it: it's a propaganda. They should extract informational content, not quote verbatim. Just as you would do so for Russian media.

Your not wrong. I wish news would try and put things In proper context. That said. He’s a symbol of freedom and hope against oppression that many people need right now. Let the people have their hero for now.

Disagree. No one is obliged to be recipient of psyop by state actor.

Re: The History of Sanctions

#48
post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> they haven't sent over the majority of their equipment, Really? I thought they sent in like 75%. Here's their current reinforcements (see the Z letters): https://v.redd.it/qadkws73hwl81/DASH_720.mp4

Some of that is a locality issue. Due to a mix of bad planning and Ukraine resisting rather more effectively than expected, Russian forces don't have enough equipment near the front lines so are falling back on what they can find for now. There is better equipment available elsewhere, but Russia is fairly large and getting that reinforcing equipment from one part to another is not an instantaneous process. I could be…

CNN good enough? https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/ukraine-russia-news...

Re: The History of Sanctions

#49
post #3

So… sanctions shouldn’t be used because they are too powerful? And this is argued almost exclusively with pre-1940 history? The specifics of what results of sanctions the author finds to be excessive are limited to mentioning deaths from famine. Does anyone believe the EU and US are capable of and willing to degrade the Russian economy to the point of mass famine? I can discern exactly one testable hypothesis from th…

> Does anyone believe the EU and US are capable of and willing to degrade the Russian economy to the point of mass famine? I think North Korea has some comparability - the West provides aid in spite of an antagonistic ruler. But in similar vein the West would prefer both rulers to spend more time working for their citizens’ economic wellbeing than on militaristic projects.

> But in similar vein the West would prefer both rulers to spend more time working for their citizens’ economic wellbeing than on militaristic projects.

Is there evidence of that?

Suppose for a minute that the NK regime was not crazy and only tried to pursue Communism. Then they would be similar to all the other Socialist/Communist states that the West wants to fail so that it can point to them and say that Socialism/Communism doesn’t work.

Re: The History of Sanctions

#50
post #46

Sanctions should be increased even further. Russia experienced the sanctions following the Crimea annexation and scoffed. Due to that, they have been emboldened and attacked Ukraine. Now the sanctions should be tough enough that Russia, with the prospect of changing the plutonium cores of 5000 weapons every 10 years, or doing something else, will decide to do something else. Painful enough that the engineers designin…

Painful enough that the sick and poor can't get medicine and food?
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