The History of Sanctions
dissentmagazine.org
The History of Sanctions
1–10 of 58 posts
Re: The History of Sanctions
#2How can Russia replace all its lost equipment (tanks, supply trucks, helicopters, planes) when they've lost more than half of their economy in a week, and counting?
Their GDP was on par with Spain (a country of far smaller size and natural wealth), but is fast approaching that of Portugal.
I mean, look at the flight of skilled workers out of their country, and the ruble halving in value in the space of a month.
Re: The History of Sanctions
#3So… sanctions shouldn’t be used because they are too powerful? And this is argued almost exclusively with pre-1940 history? The specifics of what results of sanctions the author finds to be excessive are limited to mentioning deaths from famine. Does anyone believe the EU and US are capable of and willing to degrade the Russian economy to the point of mass famine?
I can discern exactly one testable hypothesis from this: that the US would be more willing than Europe to impose sanctions. This idea has already been proven to be wrong.
For an example that seems much closer than the current situation, including public pressure campaigns against individual companies, see South Africa, described in the same magazine: https://www.dissentmagazine.org/online_articles/when-polaroi...
Re: The History of Sanctions
#4How can Russia replace all its lost equipment (tanks, supply trucks, helicopters, planes) when they've lost more than half of their economy in a week, and counting? Their GDP was on par with Spain (a country of far smaller size and natural wealth), but is fast approaching that of Portugal. I mean, look at the flight of skilled workers out of their country, and the ruble halving in value in the space of a month.
De facto slave labor, as always.
Re: The History of Sanctions
#5How can Russia replace all its lost equipment (tanks, supply trucks, helicopters, planes) when they've lost more than half of their economy in a week, and counting? Their GDP was on par with Spain (a country of far smaller size and natural wealth), but is fast approaching that of Portugal. I mean, look at the flight of skilled workers out of their country, and the ruble halving in value in the space of a month.
De facto slave labor, as always.
I mean if they had the people's support they would probably volunteer; when it comes down to it, as long as people's needs are met (a house, food, water, hygiene, free time etc), a wage becomes optional. I believe that's an oversimplification of the communist ideology.
Russia is big and I'm confident they have most resources needed to build their own tanks and the like without any foreign imports. But that's a gut feeling.
Re: The History of Sanctions
#6So… sanctions shouldn’t be used because they are too powerful? And this is argued almost exclusively with pre-1940 history? The specifics of what results of sanctions the author finds to be excessive are limited to mentioning deaths from famine. Does anyone believe the EU and US are capable of and willing to degrade the Russian economy to the point of mass famine? I can discern exactly one testable hypothesis from th…
> Does anyone believe the EU and US are capable of and willing to degrade the Russian economy to the point of mass famine?
Capable of yes, willing to no, but at this point it may not be up to them; if Russian logistics fails, people may starve before it's even known.
Re: The History of Sanctions
#7So… sanctions shouldn’t be used because they are too powerful? And this is argued almost exclusively with pre-1940 history? The specifics of what results of sanctions the author finds to be excessive are limited to mentioning deaths from famine. Does anyone believe the EU and US are capable of and willing to degrade the Russian economy to the point of mass famine? I can discern exactly one testable hypothesis from th…
-What you are witnessing is not sanctions.
Per Kremlin new-speak, it is 'special economic operations'.
Re: The History of Sanctions
#8How can Russia replace all its lost equipment (tanks, supply trucks, helicopters, planes) when they've lost more than half of their economy in a week, and counting? Their GDP was on par with Spain (a country of far smaller size and natural wealth), but is fast approaching that of Portugal. I mean, look at the flight of skilled workers out of their country, and the ruble halving in value in the space of a month.
Sure, a Ruble buys you fewer international goods than a dollar, but has much more buying power in Russia.
The tank factories still exist, and the workers there still have jobs and can still make tanks. As long as they still get food and raw materials more tanks will come off the line, and Russia nowadays has enough food and plenty of raw materials.
The Ruble will buy less on international markets, but it still buys stuff within Russia. There will be severe inflation, sure, but that just means people will prioritise food and other essentials. As long as there are enough of those they can still work.
Re: The History of Sanctions
#9How can Russia replace all its lost equipment (tanks, supply trucks, helicopters, planes) when they've lost more than half of their economy in a week, and counting? Their GDP was on par with Spain (a country of far smaller size and natural wealth), but is fast approaching that of Portugal. I mean, look at the flight of skilled workers out of their country, and the ruble halving in value in the space of a month.
Sure, a Ruble buys you fewer international goods than a dollar, but has much more buying power in Russia. The tank factories still exist, and the workers there still have jobs and can still make tanks. As long as they still get food and raw materials more tanks will come off the line, and Russia nowadays has enough food and plenty of raw materials. The Ruble will buy less on international markets, but it still buys s…
Tanks these days aren't raw steel, rubber and a few other things anymore.
They're advanced alloys, a ton of electronics, etc.
Russia can't make all of that at the same level as the rest of the world combined.
Similar story for almost every advanced military product. And for civilian products.
The Russian population is in for a world of hurt.
Re: The History of Sanctions
#10So… sanctions shouldn’t be used because they are too powerful? And this is argued almost exclusively with pre-1940 history? The specifics of what results of sanctions the author finds to be excessive are limited to mentioning deaths from famine. Does anyone believe the EU and US are capable of and willing to degrade the Russian economy to the point of mass famine? I can discern exactly one testable hypothesis from th…
> Does anyone believe the EU and US are capable of and willing to degrade the Russian economy to the point of mass famine? Capable of yes, willing to no, but at this point it may not be up to them; if Russian logistics fails, people may starve before it's even known.
Why would Russian logistics fail?