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Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

noteplan.co

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Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

#2
It could just be my ignorance, but is world hunger really as inevitable as they say. Couldn't other countries step up production or tap into their grain reserves?

>World hunger is unavoidable... I can't tell you what the higher ups were thinking when they decided to go through with this operation

Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

#5
post #2

It could just be my ignorance, but is world hunger really as inevitable as they say. Couldn't other countries step up production or tap into their grain reserves? >World hunger is unavoidable... I can't tell you what the higher ups were thinking when they decided to go through with this operation

Northern Africa (maghreb, egypt, etc..) is hugely dependent on wheat from Ukraine and Russia.

Wheat prices are through the roof right now [1], it's only going to get worse.

So short-term impact pretty much guaranteed.

Longer term, much of the euro zone agriculture is very dependent on fertilizers that are either produced using Russian natural gas or directly bought from there.

Cost of growing food, if the situation doesn't improve, will increase dramatically.

So, in other words, major increase in food shortages is a likely scenario indeed.

[1] https://live.euronext.com/en/product/commodities-futures/EBM...

Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

#7
post #3

Looks fake. I can't imagine an FSB official caring about world hunger, especially as the prime concern.

People in Russia are human too. A lot of those who go into "national security" type jobs start out with their heart in the right place. I can't imagine what it is like to slowly realise that, actually, you're the bad ones.

Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

#8
post #6

Fake, disinformation, psyops, whatever you want to call it.

Maybe. In practice, you just don't know and are speculating.

Speculating...every single time? Let's not pussy-foot around.

Re: Analysis of the situation in Russia, claimed to be by an active FSB analyst

#10
post #3

Looks fake. I can't imagine an FSB official caring about world hunger, especially as the prime concern.

Ukraine is a large producer of wheat - they are the size of Afghanistan, but completely flat and covered with wheat fields.
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