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China Is Not Russia. Taiwan Is Not Ukraine

usip.org

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Re: China Is Not Russia. Taiwan Is Not Ukraine

#4
The finishing sentence tells everything:

,,Beijing’s calculus vis-à-vis the use of force against Taipei can change, so the world must continually monitor the situation and remain alert to warnings and indicators.

Part of this monitoring must include scrutinizing Chinese assessments of Russia’s performance in Ukraine in the coming weeks, months and years.''

Re: China Is Not Russia. Taiwan Is Not Ukraine

#7
post #2

There is an institute of peace in US ? It hasn't been active in the last 80 years. As G. Orwell said: war is peace.

80? It has been about that long since the last official declaration of war by the United States, however...

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/58/US...

Re: China Is Not Russia. Taiwan Is Not Ukraine

#8
China would very much prefer that Taiwan ask to reunite with the mainland. Forcing them back one day might be in the cards but setting the conditions to where Taiwan sees being part of China as being the better option than relying on the United States for its safety is what China would like to happen. Finding ways to drive wedges between the US and Taiwan is a part of this strategy.

Re: China Is Not Russia. Taiwan Is Not Ukraine

#9

The invasion of Taiwan would require a massive amphibious assault across a sea full of hostile submarines. You couldn't hide all the ships required from satellites. And China's economy depends heavily on trade with the west-aligned world.

Russia didn't hide their military buildup, they just lied and gaslit the world via their various disinformation channels into believing that Putin would have to be insane to actually invade.
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