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Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

reuters.com

41–50 of 156 posts

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#41
post #6

I read that as “Russian gas flows via YML pipeline” I was like How?!? Some crazy ansible run book dictating PLC config?! No, just need another cup of coffee.

I read the exact same thing. Thought their pipeline was on Kubernetes.

Same. We must have some shared PTSD.

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#42

Looking at the data, I am wondering why the invasion is triggered now, as reserves are about to start being refilled, instead of earlier. From the graph ( https://agsi.gie.eu/#/graphs/DE ) it seems like the storage starts being refilled as the weather warms near the end of march. IE Putin looses some bargaining power. What am I missing?

Putin’s and his inner circle’s plan was that it will take 1-4 days to take Kiev and two weeks to take most of Ukraine. Minimal resistance was expected. The window of opportunity with this expectation is from mid-December until end of February. They picked a date with this plan.

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#43
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As I said, batteries of any kind... Nuclear would be better, but that takes time to build.

10000% Nuclear. France just announced a massive Nuclear project, meanwhile in the USA, the NRC bankrupts every project with non-stop delays instead of timely constructive work with designers, builders, and investors.

[deleted]

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#44
post #3

GOOD RIDDANCE! Finally, Russia did what full force of 90% vote of German parliament cannot do: defeat the Russian gas/oil lobby in Germany. Germany is the country with most expensive electricity in Europe, and gas deals from this mafia is a near instant cash.

I'm not sure about this...with Russian gas gone wouldn't Germany pay a lot more for energy? I think the best solution is to build nuclear power plants but that is more about long term.

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#45
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As I said, batteries of any kind... Nuclear would be better, but that takes time to build.

10000% Nuclear. France just announced a massive Nuclear project, meanwhile in the USA, the NRC bankrupts every project with non-stop delays instead of timely constructive work with designers, builders, and investors.

The nuclear announcement makes nice headlines for nationalistic dreams. What they actually do tells the real story.

> France will also increase its solar power capacity tenfold by 2050 to more than 100 gigawatts (GW) and target building 50 offshore wind farms with a combined capacity of at least 40 GW.

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/macron-bets-nuclear-...

So they are adding ~10 GW nuclear (6 * 1.6 GW) and at least 140 GW of renewables. Use any capacity factor you want but the numbers speak for themselves.

The real reason for this is likely continue have an industrial base for their naval submarine reactors by subsidizing a complementary civilian industry.

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#46
post #32

I never knew until recently how tied up Russia's oil strategy was to their military / political thinking. If others are interested, this video has a great overview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=If61baWF4GE

Funny thing is that something like half of Russian gas goes through Ukraine and some more is just across the border in Belarus. AFAIK that hasn't stopped. Just goes to show you the complexity of international relations. Map: https://www.nationalgeographic.org/photo/europe-map/ It's a bit misleading since it doesn't show Nordstream 1 which runs under the Baltic sea to Germany. EDIT: Here's a better map. The above is o…

Makes you wonder if one side or the other will “accidentally” damage those pipelines. Like obviously they can’t overtly do it but you know, stuff gets damaged every day in combat zones… it would certainly immensely hurt Russia’s strategic position to have their gas exports cut off.

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#47
post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

10000% Nuclear. France just announced a massive Nuclear project, meanwhile in the USA, the NRC bankrupts every project with non-stop delays instead of timely constructive work with designers, builders, and investors.

When did France announce a massive nuclear project? The last news I heard was that they plan to build a couple of new nuclear power plants, but far from the numbers they'd need to maintain the current capacity as ageing plants go offline in the coming years.

While France is aiming to significantly reduce the number of nuclear power plants they operate, building any nuclear power plants is seen as a good sign by the industry.

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#48

I never knew until recently how tied up Russia's oil strategy was to their military / political thinking. If others are interested, this video has a great overview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=If61baWF4GE

Gas and oil is all they have to trade and they have a lot of it.

They will have even more of it in the future as the world will stop buying.

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#49

Looking at the data, I am wondering why the invasion is triggered now, as reserves are about to start being refilled, instead of earlier. From the graph ( https://agsi.gie.eu/#/graphs/DE ) it seems like the storage starts being refilled as the weather warms near the end of march. IE Putin looses some bargaining power. What am I missing?

Putin’s and his inner circle’s plan was that it will take 1-4 days to take Kiev and two weeks to take most of Ukraine. Minimal resistance was expected. The window of opportunity with this expectation is from mid-December until end of February. They picked a date with this plan.

It's his turn for "They will greet us as liberators."
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