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The only way to disarm the world of nukes is to unite under a rational, evidence and incentives based, benevolent world government. There's literally no other way to get rid of nukes if you've studied it.
Even if every nation disarms they all live under the threat of another building them in secret. As soon as one of them suspects as much the race is back on to re-arm.
It can absolutely happen. The subs are armed and ready. Literally the push of a button.
The fact it hasn’t happened yet is something to be thankful for everyday.
To paraphrase a famous comedian… It’s not anything we need to plan for because we’ll never have known if it happened.
I think it's more plausible that Russia would use mini-nukes on certain strategic targets. It would be to signal that they're willing to go all the way, but without actually committing suicide by nuking western countries. The nuclear super-powers are in a situation where they have enough nukes to obliterate each other - many, many times over. But obviously no-one wants to take that chance - even with all the modern a…