> This is more than double what was achieved in similar tests back in 1997. The experiment produced > 11 megawatts of power and at Jet > two 500 megawatt flywheels are used to run the experiments log_2(2*500/11)*(2022-1997) + 2022 = 2185 At this rate we will have fusion by 2185 I guess?
It's 30 years time. It's always 30 years time. https://www.discovermagazine.com/technology/why-nuclear-fusi...
Major breakthrough on nuclear fusion energy
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Re: Major breakthrough on nuclear fusion energy
#272Earlier quoted context omitted.
No, I mean fusion. The parent comment claims "[Fusion can] provide steady energy without going down for years". I want a single example of this. Meanwhile, we have massive grids of solar and battery being installed _today_, and existing installations replacing coal plants. I'm tired of people talking about fusion (or even nuclear, as it's so mired in public FUD) as if it's some panacea. We have a solution right now:…
We haven't invented commercial fusion power, so none; but theoretically that is how they would function. Solar and batteries are nice but they're not yet cost effective. They're getting better. But you can't just handwave away real problems from your armchair viewpoint and assume thats all fine.
We don't have working fusion power, at all.
> Solar and batteries are nice but they're not yet cost effective
"Cost effective" is a judgement call, not physics. If I told you that the cost of coal-generated electricity was that your great-grandchildren would live in an impoverished and difficult world, you might not view that a particular cost-effective either, yet somehow that's the "standard" against which things are judged.
Re: Major breakthrough on nuclear fusion energy
#273Quoted post unavailable.
Re: Major breakthrough on nuclear fusion energy
#274OK so with fusion everybody loves it because the fuel would be clean and nearly endless. Isn't that what solar power offers? Nobody wants to deploy solar due to high upfront cost. However, wouldn't the startup on a fusion reactor be much greater?
Re: Major breakthrough on nuclear fusion energy
#275Re: Major breakthrough on nuclear fusion energy
#276Earlier quoted context omitted.
"Fusion is always 30 years away" is a heuristic that almost always works. https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/heuristics-that-almost...
We haven't even been splitting atoms for a full century yet. Give science some goddamn time to work.
Re: Major breakthrough on nuclear fusion energy
#277Re: Major breakthrough on nuclear fusion energy
#278Earlier quoted context omitted.
True, but if we can crack fusion energy, we can stop burning fossil fuels and we might even have ample energy to extract CO2 from the atmosphere.
We already have the capability to economically capture atmospheric carbon with existing nuclear power generation systems
Re: Major breakthrough on nuclear fusion energy
#279Earlier quoted context omitted.
I'm happy to hear someone make this point. Rather than sneering "vaporware" when decades fail to crack a problem, I would prefer us to keep in mind that if we never try multi-generational projects, we will never taste the fruit of multi-generational projects, and those are some sweet fruit indeed.
I am not sure if we have a project that spans multiple generations? It would be easier to do a project that provide some kind of immediate benefit while having long term multigenerational long term effect. Science is kinda that way. We get immediate knowledge with long term unknown payoff.
Re: Major breakthrough on nuclear fusion energy
#280Quoted post unavailable.