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Starlink lost 40 satellites to a geomagnetic storm

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Re: Starlink lost 40 satellites to a geomagnetic storm

#361

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It must be noted that the satellites were not directly damaged by the geomagnetic storm. The storm warmed the atmosphere which caused it to expand, leading to additional drag that prohibited the satellites from leaving their low "safe mode" orbit. So they perished “with” geomagnetic storm, not “of” geomagnetic storm?

Imagine flying a fighter jet 4 feet above the ocean. Then a storm appears and causes 6 foot swells. Now your jet is on the bottom of the ocean. Would you say your jet was lost "with" the storm, or "because of" the storm?

Indirect causation is still causation, right?

Re: Starlink lost 40 satellites to a geomagnetic storm

#362
post #341

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My main takeaway here is that Elon Musk's grandson, "∑∫π²∞", decided he was tired of the escalating unicode name game and just named his kid Elon Musk IV.

> ∑∫π²∞ This reads: Sigma Integral Pi-Squared Infinitiy. There are worse names ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

> There are worse names

The last name: Musk.

And he tries to clean it.

https://www.quora.com/Is-it-true-that-Elon-Musks-family-got-...

Re: Starlink lost 40 satellites to a geomagnetic storm

#363

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're citing the cost of 1% of the network against the entire network's function. It's more like 750 "flights worth." To provide internet service to ~250,000 people - about one quarter the population of a major east coast city. Also, these are consumable - much more so than cable plants. Starlink is horrifically bad for the environment compared to ground-based infrastructure. As witnessed by the very high cost of St…

> the very high cost of Starlink service It's $99/mo for 100+ megabit service. Sure, it's moderately expensive if you're comparing to cable service in cities . It's downright cheap compared to the cost of connecting the extremely rural customers Starlink targets with physical cables. You don't think running a new set of physical cables to every rural residence in the world (or even cell towers to cover the same) woul…

Isn't it $99/mo for service? Afaik there is no guaranteed bandwidth at all at the moment as all users are beta testers? All users are on a "best effort all you can get" plan. I'm sure there will be different tiers as the network matures.

Re: Starlink lost 40 satellites to a geomagnetic storm

#364

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It must be noted that the satellites were not directly damaged by the geomagnetic storm. The storm warmed the atmosphere which caused it to expand, leading to additional drag that prohibited the satellites from leaving their low "safe mode" orbit. So they perished “with” geomagnetic storm, not “of” geomagnetic storm?

Imagine flying a fighter jet 4 feet above the ocean. Then a storm appears and causes 6 foot swells. Now your jet is on the bottom of the ocean. Would you say your jet was lost "with" the storm, or "because of" the storm?

It's a false dichotomy, we have the full English language at our disposal, so we can describe the nuances of the situation. I know the situation you're referencing, and it's frustrating to see the argument boil down to some kind of lexical 'gotcha!'.

Re: Starlink lost 40 satellites to a geomagnetic storm

#365
post #282

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is plenty of room for additional constellations. The fact that "near misses" are too frequent is largely a result of inaccurate tracking and poor communication. (Next gen space traffic control will allow vastly higher densities.) And the fact that actual collisions are occuring too frequently is due to old uncontrolled junk, not a literal lack of room or inability to maneuver by modern sats.

> Next gen space traffic control Do you have more info on that? What can the people who track satellites do that they aren't already doing?

It's still up in the air right now. There is a Space Force squadron that does one-way tracking and issues collision alerts, but no transponder standard or centralized traffic control. Companies, once alerted, coordinate individual collision avoidance maneuvers over email. It's ludicrous.

The govt still hasn't decided what agency will take the helm or what the system will look like. It hasn't been worth it to invest more until recently.

https://spacenews.com/from-space-traffic-awareness-to-space-...

Proposal for GPS-based sat transponders, analogous to radio-based aircraft transponders:

https://aerospace.org/sites/default/files/2018-05/GPS_Transp...

Re: Starlink lost 40 satellites to a geomagnetic storm

#366
post #340
post #121

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Did we hand Tesla a monopoly when we allowed them to build a bunch of electric cars when no one else was willing to take them seriously?

Not but you handed them a monopoly by allowing them to install charging stations with a proprietary connector throughout the country.

What was the non-proprietary charging option circa 2012 when they started building the charging network?

Also, who else were denied license to build the charging stations at that time to allow for Tesla monopoly? Or was it that everyone else amusingly laughed at the cute effort by an electric mobility upstart who didn’t know better?

Re: Starlink lost 40 satellites to a geomagnetic storm

#367

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It was lost because, during the storm, it was flying too low. If the jet had been flying at a higher altitude, the storm would have still happen and the jet would have been fine. So the storm is not the direct and only cause of the crash. It is important here because one could assume, only reading the title, that the satellite were lost due to electronic disturbances caused by the storm. Which is not what happened (i…

Right. I imagined some solar flare or something. From my understanding, they are the biggest existential risk to modern humanity, slightly ahead of rogue AI. From that context, whether misguided or otherwise, you can imagine that my heart skipped a beat when I read the link title.

Out of curiosity, where would you rank the climate crisis on this list?

It has already irrevocably caused the extinction of lots of species, and while certainly humans will continue to live, "modern humanity" will be replaced by something else.

Re: Starlink lost 40 satellites to a geomagnetic storm

#368

It must be noted that the satellites were not directly damaged by the geomagnetic storm. The storm warmed the atmosphere which caused it to expand, leading to additional drag that prohibited the satellites from leaving their low "safe mode" orbit. Shortened excerpt: "These storms cause the atmosphere to warm and atmospheric density at our low deployment altitudes to increase.... speed and severity of the storm caused…

Except for a shower of heavy metal particles. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-89909-7.pdf

"mostly aluminum"

Aluminum is not a "heavy metal". Not only is it of low density, it's not toxic in the way actual heavy metals like lead are.

Your inclusion of the adjective "heavy" was misleading as that wasn't in the source you referenced.

Re: Starlink lost 40 satellites to a geomagnetic storm

#369

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes. SpaceX intentionally launches the sats into an extremely low orbit. That way, sats that can not be controlled due to a manufacturing defect or whatever will immediately reenter, and pose no threat to other spacecraft. Normal satellites are directly launched into much higher orbits, so if there is an issue they will be space debris for decades.

Yes, I understand they are injected to a particularly low orbit. My question is, if you launched a single larger satellite into the same orbit would it be less susceptible to aerodynamic drag due to the effects of a similar geomagnetic storm?

What is relevant is the sectional density, so how many kg you have per square meter, in SI units. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sectional_density

A single larger sat would usually have a higher sectional density. But as far as I am aware, nobody else is launching into such low initial orbits, no matter the size of the sat. Usually you want to launch into an at least somewhat stable orbit so you have some time for troubleshooting in case something goes wrong.

Re: Starlink lost 40 satellites to a geomagnetic storm

#370

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Plus $500 sign up fee ;) This might all seem reasonable in rural America but it’s hugely expensive for internet in Europe.

That pays for the antenna. The antennas are expensive now because they are new technology, never manufactured on this scale before, but that is changing fast. The fee will get smaller soon enough. Ground-based infrastructure will not be experiencing any analogous rapid cost reduction. And in rural areas it costs a lot more than $500 per residence already. What infrastructure exists is heavily subsidized.

I know it pays for the antenna but the fact remains the cost of Starlink isn’t just $99/month like you’ve claimed.
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