The death of Facebook has been predicted by someone nearly every month of their existence. I've pointed this out before, so I'll do it again. Facebook could lose an entire half of their users and it would only set them back a couple of years. Their doubling rate has been amazing.
Facebook's Newest Problem: Being Boring
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Re: Facebook's Newest Problem: Being Boring
#42It isn't just FB's problem, and it is not becoming a new Yahoo (it is becoming a new MySpace). ^_^
The vision should be a little bit broader (and scarier to those invested in it and its clones) - OK, every teenager in the world already has a FB page and uploaded some photos of herself and exchanged some stupid messages with so-called friend. Wow-impulse has faded away. Now what? ^_^
Don't even try to say 'the next facebook' - it will be 'just another social site', af FB was for MySpace or Livejournal's addicts. ^_^
What it could be? Ok, something like a cam on your clothes to broadcast 24/7 via some G5 GSM directly to some datacity which sends it back to your personal 3D movie hall (forget Youtube with a that crappy flash player)?
No, I don't think so. The time of the mass-exhibitionism in the net is, it seems, over. ^_^
Re: Facebook's Newest Problem: Being Boring
#43Facebook jumped the shark when all those horrible, ugly apps started polluting the thing with idiocy. The editorial incompetence and general awfulness of the ecosystem was astonishing. Farmville was the end of the beginning of the end. In 2004, Facebook wasn't garbage. It was simple, it served a purpose very well. It changed the social experience of being in college, a sharp contrast against "social" today which is l…
The app phenomenon on Facebook is all the more puzzling since it adds so little financially. This is something Gree and Mobage did quite well, eventually overshadowing Mixi because of all the revenue from in-house games, virtual goods and a cut of all platform revenue.
Re: Facebook's Newest Problem: Being Boring
#44The article claims that Facebook's messaging features are a failure. I disagree; they have massive potential. Facebook chat is the primary real time chat system that I use these days and has replaced MSN for me and my friends. I recently installed the Messenger app on my iPhone and it certainly has the potential to kill off whatsapp and similar apps due two reasons: all my contacts are already available, and that I c…
> The article claims that Facebook's messaging features are a failure. I disagree; they have massive potential. Not realizing its massive potential is a failure.
True. I should have worded it differently, stating that it is possible for them to turn the situation around.
Re: Facebook's Newest Problem: Being Boring
#45The article claims that Facebook's messaging features are a failure. I disagree; they have massive potential. Facebook chat is the primary real time chat system that I use these days and has replaced MSN for me and my friends. I recently installed the Messenger app on my iPhone and it certainly has the potential to kill off whatsapp and similar apps due two reasons: all my contacts are already available, and that I c…
The more established IM services like AIM, MSN, or Gtalk already let you chat on your phone or desktop (or on someone else's desktop, from a browser!). Facebook's chat is just a less reliable clone of many existing products. It gets even less reliable if you connect to it over XMPP.
Reliability doesn't matter. What matters is who's using what. If all my friends are on AIM, then I'll be on AIM. But they're not, everyone's on Facebook, and uses txt/whatsapp/bbm when they're away from their computer. What I am saying is that I would like to see Facebook become the universal communication method between my friends and me.
Re: Facebook's Newest Problem: Being Boring
#46Facebook is a social network. Being social, it is subject to the same laws of attraction, affection, excitement, and coolness that the hot new restaurant, dance club, and sports stadium are in your particular city. Step 1: the cool kids spot a new place and start hanging out there. Step 2: the first signs of the popped collared masses show up, pushing the cool kids out as they realized the lame-streamers have spotted…
Has step 6 happened already? I have a hard time figuring it out since I was part of step 2 and haven't seen all the cool kids that were there in 2006 leaving for Twitter...
I believe you could apply the same logic to almost everything but Google is still the cool kid after all these years as is Manchester United, right?
Re: Facebook's Newest Problem: Being Boring
#47Facebook jumped the shark when all those horrible, ugly apps started polluting the thing with idiocy. The editorial incompetence and general awfulness of the ecosystem was astonishing. Farmville was the end of the beginning of the end. In 2004, Facebook wasn't garbage. It was simple, it served a purpose very well. It changed the social experience of being in college, a sharp contrast against "social" today which is l…
The app phenomenon on Facebook is all the more puzzling since it adds so little financially. This is something Gree and Mobage did quite well, eventually overshadowing Mixi because of all the revenue from in-house games, virtual goods and a cut of all platform revenue.
Direcly? Maybe. But indirectly people don't go to Farmville's site to play it, they do it in Facebook. So they kept all the people that knew Facebook was the place for cute (or not so cute) family pictures and offered them casual and social games.
Google is the internet but Facebook is what you do on the internet.
Re: Facebook's Newest Problem: Being Boring
#48On joining my company last year, one of the first things I heard my boss tell me was that we were aiming to be boring Getting nearly a billion users, being one of the most influential companies in the world and not being exciting enough for tech pundits is an awesome problem to have.
For some things, boring is good. Sell good car parts. Sell reliable financial services. Be boring and win. But Facebook didn't their users and especially their sixty billion dollar valuation by being boring. Facebook - at this moment - has one of the most amazing web development teams on the planet (if reports are to be believed). They do a lot of slick development with relatively few people. But how long can they ke…
"But Facebook didn't [get] their users and especially their sixty billion dollar valuation by being boring."
Oh, but they did.
Re: Facebook's Newest Problem: Being Boring
#49Earlier quoted context omitted.
The more established IM services like AIM, MSN, or Gtalk already let you chat on your phone or desktop (or on someone else's desktop, from a browser!). Facebook's chat is just a less reliable clone of many existing products. It gets even less reliable if you connect to it over XMPP.
Reliability doesn't matter. What matters is who's using what. If all my friends are on AIM, then I'll be on AIM. But they're not, everyone's on Facebook, and uses txt/whatsapp/bbm when they're away from their computer. What I am saying is that I would like to see Facebook become the universal communication method between my friends and me.
But when it does become the universal method, reliability starts to matter.
Re: Facebook's Newest Problem: Being Boring
#50Yeah I think its doomed, too. I mean just look at it. Everybody and their dog is on Facebook, with status updates and comments quickly approaching the niveau of Youtube comments. Meanwhile marketing firms are vigorously trying to get as much attention as possible in more or less shady ways, which is getting increasingly annoying. A large portion of the userbase is so annoyed, bored or has serious privacy concerns, th…
> Everybody and their dog is on Facebook
You are forgeting a fifth of humanity (China).