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Danish government makes its new economic model open source

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Re: Danish government makes its new economic model open source

#141
post #92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Many, with the benefit of a prosperous economy and stable polity.

Are there any studies out there that link UBI and prosperous economy?

It's a bit early in the research space, but yes, the partial equilibria studied thus far show overall improvement.

A reasonable overview: https://econreview.berkeley.edu/unboxing-universal-basic-inc...

Re: Danish government makes its new economic model open source

#142
post #105
post #92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Many, with the benefit of a prosperous economy and stable polity.

I'm not interested to pay 15k in taxes to receive 5k back as UBI, regardless of economy or stability. How much you plan to pay in taxes to support my UBI?

I'm not interested in what you claim to pay in taxes. UBI benefits aren't solely to a person's bank account; the benefits include a prosperous economy and stable political environment their bank operates in.

I expect to pay and continue paying a lot, yet the benefit is more than what I pay in taxes. What's better is that our current UBI is quite a bit above zero already, but the distribution is fraught with large costs in time. Re-organizing and streamlining UBI distribution would result in significant cost improvements to the current US welfare approach, and improve its impact.

Re: Danish government makes its new economic model open source

#143
post #116
post #105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not interested to pay 15k in taxes to receive 5k back as UBI, regardless of economy or stability. How much you plan to pay in taxes to support my UBI?

> regardless of economy or stability. So you're saying that you're a poor economist, then.

There are very few good economists.

Re: Danish government makes its new economic model open source

#144
post #67

Economics is not a science like physics. We can't do controlled experiments, we can't falsify hypothesis. This leads to very muddy waters and what you are left with are two kinds of economists: Those who tell people what they want to hear and those nobody listens to. Econometrics gives people everything they want to hear, and with a scientific veneer as a bonus. The HN crowd should however appreciate how susceptible…

I've always understood the parable of the broken window to be about opportunity costs. I don't see how it was a warning about metrics.

Re: Danish government makes its new economic model open source

#145
post #67

Economics is not a science like physics. We can't do controlled experiments, we can't falsify hypothesis. This leads to very muddy waters and what you are left with are two kinds of economists: Those who tell people what they want to hear and those nobody listens to. Econometrics gives people everything they want to hear, and with a scientific veneer as a bonus. The HN crowd should however appreciate how susceptible…

I've always understood the parable of the broken window to be about opportunity costs. I don't see how it was a warning about metrics.

It's both. I don't think it's too much of a stretch to broaden what he meant by seen/unseen to also refer to econometrics models which incorporate only some things (that can be measured/seen) and not others (that are unmeasured/unseen).

The seen/measurable: employment in the production of windows. The unseen/unmeasurable: missing employment in the production of suits.

Re: Danish government makes its new economic model open source

#146
post #67

Economics is not a science like physics. We can't do controlled experiments, we can't falsify hypothesis. This leads to very muddy waters and what you are left with are two kinds of economists: Those who tell people what they want to hear and those nobody listens to. Econometrics gives people everything they want to hear, and with a scientific veneer as a bonus. The HN crowd should however appreciate how susceptible…

[deleted]

Re: Danish government makes its new economic model open source

#147
post #122

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Economics is not a science like physics. It's not that economics can't be a science like physics. It's that (most) economists don't treat it like a science.

I think the problem is that economics needs to take human behavior into account, which it tries to do via game theory, which in turn relies on rational actors. I don't think individual human behavior is predictable like that. You could argue that we don't need to model individuals, only large groups of people. But the problem is that often the behavior of some individuals has a huge effect on large groups. Contrast t…

You are on to something with ”behaviour”, ”actors”, and ”rational” . Ludwig von Mises defined ”rational” as ”aiming to an end, using means”. That means that even someone performing a dance to produce rain is a rational actor. He formulated the axiom that ”humans act”. And then derived his theory from that. The science is named Praxeology. A big difference from the natural sciences is that you really can't falsify a theory using empirics. There is no way to repeat an experiment, because reality has been reconfigured. Therefore axiomatic theory is what you have to rely on. Which is not too bad. After all sciences like geometry also make do without empiricism. (There is no way to empirically disprove that a triangle has an angle sum of 180 degrees.)

Re: Danish government makes its new economic model open source

#148
post #142
post #105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not interested to pay 15k in taxes to receive 5k back as UBI, regardless of economy or stability. How much you plan to pay in taxes to support my UBI?

I'm not interested in what you claim to pay in taxes. UBI benefits aren't solely to a person's bank account; the benefits include a prosperous economy and stable political environment their bank operates in. I expect to pay and continue paying a lot, yet the benefit is more than what I pay in taxes. What's better is that our current UBI is quite a bit above zero already, but the distribution is fraught with large cos…

> the benefits include a prosperous economy and stable political environment their bank operates in.

Can you back your claim with facts? UBI is universal, not magic.

> I expect to pay and continue paying a lot,

Just say a number, so we will put it into formula to see is your expected taxation will match minimum requirement for UBI.

Typical wealth distribution without UBI:

  ^
  |
  |
  |     *
  |   *   *
  |  *     *
  | *        *
  | *          *
  |*                 *           *       *
  +------------------------------------------------>

   ^ - number of people, > - income
Typical wealth distribution with UBI:

  ^  *
  |
  |
  |
  |       
  |
  |
  |     
  |   *
  |   *
  |    *
  |     *
  |         *      *               *
  +--U------------------------------------------->

   ^ - number of people, > - income, U - UBI level

Please notice, that area (sum of n*i) of both graphs must be same, i.e. you cannot just print money like in computer game.

As you see, UBI erases middle class. Everyone becomes poor, except some rich.

Re: Danish government makes its new economic model open source

#149
post #148
post #142

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not interested in what you claim to pay in taxes. UBI benefits aren't solely to a person's bank account; the benefits include a prosperous economy and stable political environment their bank operates in. I expect to pay and continue paying a lot, yet the benefit is more than what I pay in taxes. What's better is that our current UBI is quite a bit above zero already, but the distribution is fraught with large cos…

> the benefits include a prosperous economy and stable political environment their bank operates in. Can you back your claim with facts? UBI is universal, not magic. > I expect to pay and continue paying a lot, Just say a number, so we will put it into formula to see is your expected taxation will match minimum requirement for UBI. Typical wealth distribution without UBI: ^ | | | * | * * | * * | * * | * * |* * * * +-…

While I appreciate the great efforts to put hand-waving FUD via terminal histogram graphics for insertion into comments[0] (seriously, great job!), your point that the middle class is guaranteed to implode is nonsensical.

The US already has a non-zero UBI[1], it's simply inefficiently distributed via the negative income tax rate and various welfare efforts. That's a clear first area to fix things up. Then, if we need to increase the historically low tax rates on high income households or implement capital tax rates on the wealth, increases in taxes can be considered.

Further, from a theoretical perspective, the economy is not zero-sum. A rising tide lifts all boats; if less money has to be doled out to industries supporting enforced poverty, such as private jail systems among others, then there is more money in the economy for utilization for many things (including but not limited to UBI). General equilibrium effects often have counterintuitive effects, such as they are.

[0] https://xkcd.com/386/

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Universal_basic_income_in_the_...

Re: Danish government makes its new economic model open source

#150
post #149
post #148

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> the benefits include a prosperous economy and stable political environment their bank operates in. Can you back your claim with facts? UBI is universal, not magic. > I expect to pay and continue paying a lot, Just say a number, so we will put it into formula to see is your expected taxation will match minimum requirement for UBI. Typical wealth distribution without UBI: ^ | | | * | * * | * * | * * | * * |* * * * +-…

While I appreciate the great efforts to put hand-waving FUD via terminal histogram graphics for insertion into comments[0] (seriously, great job!), your point that the middle class is guaranteed to implode is nonsensical. The US already has a non-zero UBI[1], it's simply inefficiently distributed via the negative income tax rate and various welfare efforts. That's a clear first area to fix things up. Then, if we need…

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