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Oh, 2022

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Re: Oh, 2022

#91

Post by redisman »

andylei wrote: post #84
redisman wrote: post #80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Isn’t that kind of nonsensical reasoning? The viruses evolved how they evolved. I don’t see how the decade they emerged in makes a difference? It didn’t cause a pandemic because of the properties of the virus. Not because of the “decade”

> nobody in the 20th century imagined that within just two decades we'd be able to sequence the genome of a new pathogen within days, much less hours, or design a new vaccine within two weeks and have it in human clinical trials a month later

Thanks- the site is getting a death hug so I can’t read the whole article

Re: Oh, 2022

#92

Post by redisman »

SideburnsOfDoom wrote: post #70
TheOtherHobbes wrote: post #9

These predictions are like puzzle pieces that don't fit together. If 50% of the population are COVID invalids, who's going to be doing the (building) work for a new economic boom? You can't seriously say "I'm going to make predictions - but let's just ignore the most important health event for over a century." So - mRNA vaccinations. If you can vaccinate against AIDS, flu, cancer (being investigated...), and the rest…

> The planet without toxic media and mad billionaires is a much nicer place than the planet with them. Many of the biggest trad-media offenders will be dead by 2030. Will they be replaced I'd like to hope that they won't, but why? The same forces that produced the current crop are no weaker, indeed stronger. Past performance indicates that there will be more.

The alternatives popping up are largely even worse than traditional media. Full on Fantasy as news. Whatever makes people feel enraged/smug. I’m not sure why everyone is cheering the death of all these institutions when there are no society stabilizing alternatives anywhere

Re: Oh, 2022

#94

Post by sneak »

> Apologies for slow load time: this blog runs on an ancient, slow Athlon box and this entry is currently being hammered by Hacker News readers.

It is always surprising to me to see apologies on websites for them going slow under load. There is a cheap and easy solution to such things that has been around for ages.

Re: Oh, 2022

#96

Post by sneak »

SavantIdiot wrote: post #21

> will be going into the cocktail of childhood vaccinations that Christianist preachers like to rail against, along with HPV. I think he's being too generous.

No, he's just taking pot shots at the Other, playing to the crowd with jargon and winks.

Doctorow does it so much better, and while keeping it focused on the class war instead of the culture war.

It's always a little jarring to see others (who are generally good at writing) try to do it in that style and fumble it, because Doctorow and Stephenson pioneered that tone so skillfully.

Re: Oh, 2022

#97

Post by slg »

supperburg wrote: post #81

So wrong. “If” sars1/2 had gone pandemic. The reason they didn’t is because they don’t make you infectious in an asymptomatic way like cov19. It wasn’t an “if.” They never will. And also, covid 19 is not 1 to 4 percent lethal. It’s more like 0.02 percent lethal. A Stanford professor said so. But he could have said we were lucky to not have gotten hit by a different virus that kills 80% and travels asymptomatically. T…

>And also, covid 19 is not 1 to 4 percent lethal. It’s more like 0.02 percent lethal.

We have had roughly 860k COVID deaths in the US. At a 0.02% fatality rate that would equate to 4.3b cases. So are you suggesting the US death total is exaggerated or that the average American has already had COVID 10+ times?

Re: Oh, 2022

#98

Post by moonbug »

gman83 wrote: post #22
walrus01 wrote: post #12

Regarding spacex in this, my starlink terminal recently hit a milestone of 0.00% ICMP loss to terrestrial ISP things in the pacific northwest. Averaged over 5, 6 hour periods. 20 icmp pings every 60s, basically a default smokeping install set to once a minute. Previously it was running somewhere around 0.15% to 0.60% which was still totally usable... if you put a similar test setup on a noisy/oversubscribed coaxial c…

Last time I checked, there were dozens of commercial satellite ISPs ramping up their launches. Do these companies have a plan to deal with potential collisions and the potential space debris that would cause?

The phrase you are looking for is "Kessler cascade"

Re: Oh, 2022

#99

Post by bigiain »

Barrin92 wrote: post #50
noah_buddy wrote: post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is there a deeper meaning to take from this? Some people block anyone negative on Twitter. He's free to use the platform as he pleases, I see no reason why someone should feel obligated to have or present an externally valid reason for blocking others.

because free expression is increasingly confused with a "right to be in your face" by a certain segment of the population. People confuse the right to speak with the others having the obligation to host or listen to them. Personally, strongly curating something like Twitter with all the tools they give you is pretty much the only way to keep somewhat high quality of conversation.

And hardly surprisingly, the “I have an inalienable right to get in your face” crowd are also very much in the overlap of the Venn diagram with the “dog pile this guy, he has different opinions to us” crowd.

There are tools that are even more powerful than Twitters kinda lame (we’ll give you just enough control so you can’t reduce our engagement metrics” ones. A certain Mozilla founder who you can’t link to from here blogged about being dogpiled by the cryptobros, and mentioned https://megablock.xyz/ as a useful tool.

Way too many people think they have some right to the time of other people. They don’t. I can choose to never hear from you or anybody else at any time, there’s no legal or moral or ethical or even politeness problems with me doing that. The way you choose to use Twitter has zero impact on the way I choose to use Twitter, and if I want to be Blocky McBlockface for any reason at all, that’s just fine. You can go and r random stranger nit picky arguments with someone else. I wouldn’t put up with it in person, and I don’t have to put up with it online. And if you’re behaving in a way that even slightly annoys me, I will block not only you, but all the people who seem to be your friends or entourage. Sucks to be them if they actually wanted to talk with me, but you know what, I get to choose who I’m friends with, and if you hang out with people who are annoying to other people in public, you get tarred with the same brush. If your friend is a jerk in a bar, expect the bouncers to eject the whole group. Especially if it’s a certain SF SOMA nightclub…

Re: Oh, 2022

#100

Post by mooreds »

walrus01 wrote: post #65
j0057 wrote: post #61

> low-lying coastal nations like Bangladesh And lots of other places. About 1 billion people live along coastlines at 20 meters or less above sea level, and 200 million at 5 meters or less. I live in a wealthy country but well within the 5 meters range and am already having to think about whether it wouldn't be more prudent to sell my house today, now that it's still worth something, and emigrate to somewhere with a…

the immediate personal need to not live in a flooded zone is one thing to consider another thing to think about is the global geopolitical/civil war/economic possible disruptions and consequences of something like potentially half to 3/4 of bangladesh's population becoming international refugees. imagine what happened with syrians around 2012-2015 and people trying to get into europe multiplied by a factor of 50. and…

Yup. It's about to get really really bad for refugees. Here's a PDF report talking about the challenges: https://www.ipcc.ch/apps/njlite/srex/njlite_download.php?id=...
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