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What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

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Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#311

Certain things the author got completely wrong (rise of racial politics, actual liberalism of thought), but his level-headed approach got him 75% of the way there. Though culturally he was eerily correct re: State-as-family.

> Though culturally he was eerily correct re: State-as-family

That's not particularly surprising as it was one of the key philosophies of the age: the Russian revolution was only a few years old (and didn't spring from nowhere) while some of the competing philosophies, like anarchism and bimetallism, had burned out.

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#312
post #234

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>They can siphon off the wealth of an entire nation by printing money. There are a countless other ways a country can do this and most of those are more targeted. The tax code is the most obvious example. Inflation is a flat tax of a few percentage points. If the goal is to wield power, it is much more important to control the tax code and move the income tax from 0% (generally true before the 16th Amendment in 1913)…

> Inflation is a flat tax of a few percentage points Flat tax on cash holdings, which poor people don't have. It's a negative tax on debt, which poor people tend to hold. It doesn't apply to assets. Now if wages don't keep track with inflation, that's not a tax, it's an employer reducing wages.

>It's a negative tax on debt, which poor people tend to hold. It doesn't apply to assets.

Thank you!! This is the first time I've heard someone acknowledge this since the "inflation crisis" started. Inflation is good for student debt holders.

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#313
post #221

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Welcome To 2030: I Own Nothing, Have No Privacy And Life Has Never Been Better Let me translate “you are slaves and you rent everything. We base your ability to purchase on a social credit score. But we let you rent houses in our artificially limited VR world.” I don’t make much of predictions like these. It’s ALWAYS a safe bet to assume people will lose liberty. To the point the FED was created in 1913, research w…

This is one of the wrongest comments I've ever seen on HN, hah.

This comment adds nothing to the discussion, and hackernews isn't the place for comments such as these. If you disagree with the ideas, elaborate and disect those you take issue with. Additionally, please keep the tone civil, disagreeing and adding nothing more that saying "hah" is not really the maturity level expected in debates on HN.

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#314
post #104

> The people of 2022 will probably never see a wire outlined against the sky... Haha, so wrong. All I see is power lines everywhere, and I can't unsee them. SO ugly.

Are you from US? In Europe you see wires only outside of big cities. I was surprised on my recent road trip across US that you've got wires in urban/suburban neighborhoods - even the richer ones like Palo Alto.

Pretty common in Japan too, despite all the money spent on infrastructure.

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#315

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Inflationary monetary policy is wealth transfer into the upper class without most people realizing it. Wealth, be it institutions or individuals, will always push for central banking as it entrenches their power.

> inflationary monetary policy is wealth transfer to the upper class without people realizing it. Going to need some evidence to back up that statement. Without centralized banking you essentially have no set policy one way other the other. I can understand why one would take issue with the current governance structure, but I don’t agree that letting money randomly fluctuate with no mechanisms for intervention to be…

> no set policy one way other the other

Isn't that the idea of liberty though? No central authority deciding what is a "good thing" - just keeping the peace.

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#316
post #240

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's important to remember that 77 percent of U.S. adults take dietary supplements. We all eat "corned beef hash and pumpkin pie" yet the majority of people already use supplements as pill as needed. Living in the north, everyone I know uses Vitamin D pills. This is a must to survive the winter and I can't imagine how it would be if that wasn't as available.

Interesting, I didn’t imagine there would be such a noticeable effect. Can I ask what sort of difference do you see if you don’t take it?

I go to work while the sun has yet to rise and when I come back home the sun is already away (at the peak of the winter, the sun is gone around 4pm). If I do go out for a walk, it's behind a heavy coat, scarf and hat. Often with sunglasses to protect against snow blindness and the wind.

This means that for about half of the year, my body does not see the sun. Glass windows will prevent vitamin D production so sitting by a window during the day will not help.

Between 70% and 97% of Canadians demonstrate vitamin D insufficiency. It's also important to highlight that people with darker skin need even more sun exposure to produce vitamin D as skin pigmentation negatively influences vitamin D synthesis.

Contrary to popular belief, vitamin D is a hormone. It impacts calcium absorption, which is the most known side effect. But it's way more than that. Many of the body's process simply cannot happen properly without vitamin D and the only way to get it naturally is from the sun.

One relevant symptoms these days is a weakening of the immune system. Many studies already show that vitamin D deficiency is one of the main factor behind the severity of covid infections.

Other symptoms are bone density loss, muscle pains, cancer risks, heart disease, nerve issues, blood pressure.

Another very important issue related to vitamin D is Seasonal Affective Disorder, which is similar (but different) to clinical depression.

---

Edit:

I was wondering when Vitamin D supplements and enriched milk came around, since the current conversation in the context of this 1992 event.

There's a nice goldmine of information here: https://timelines.issarice.com/wiki/Timeline_of_vitamin_D

"1930 - Drug launch: Vitamin D prodrug dihydrotachysterol is developed as a method of stabilizing the triene structure of one of the photoisomers of vitamin D. This represents the oldest vitamin D analog."

"1952 - Product launch: Synthetic vitamin D2 and D3 compounds start being produced."

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#318
post #283

Going to be "that guy" and say that almost everything he accurately predicted was already commonplace or on the rise in the 1920s. - Commercial flights had started a decade earlier. There were even successful transatlantic flights. - The women empowerment and feminism movement was in full swing. Women had just got the right to vote. A large percentage had careers and even unions. - Wireless radio and telegraph were e…

> paper mache furniture

Wait till you find out what that Ikea crap is made of. :)

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#319

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is also not a new phenomena but something that has been slowly increasing over human history. Before agriculture, humans spent almost all of their time hunting and gathering. Agriculture freed up some time and every major technological revolution has in some way made society more productive and efficient allowing us for more time not working. At some point in the 19th century the concept of leisure time came aro…

>Before agriculture, humans spent almost all of their time hunting and gathering. Agriculture freed up some time Agriculture is more work than hunting and gathering, but it's a much more consistent food source. https://www.zmescience.com/science/hunter-gatherer-farmer-ti...

And agriculture itself is less work than we think of. Medieval peasants worked less hours than we do.

https://groups.csail.mit.edu/mac/users/rauch/worktime/hours_...

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#320
post #221

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is one of the wrongest comments I've ever seen on HN, hah.

Which part is wrong? Some parts are obviously correct. The US is definitely one of the most diverse large countries. India is probably more diverse along language lines. China is definitely not along any dimension. Even the EU states (that depend on US for defense and use oil to power their economies) are less diverse.

Some parts are correct, true. Mostly "It’s ALWAYS a safe bet to assume people will lose liberty." is really wrong.

The US is a far more free country now than it was 100 years ago or at any point since the introduction of agriculture.

Compared to one hundred years ago, there's political changes:

- Minorities and women can vote

- Labor rights

- Consumer protections (No more debtor prisons, etc.)

And tech changes:

- People aren't stuck on their farms all day

- Families aren't stuck doing chores all day

- Birth control has allowed sexual freedom

- The trains, planes, cars and the internet has allowed freedom of location

Etc.

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