What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922) • Hacker News Board

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#151

Post by alex_duf » Thu, Jan 06, 2022, 3:05 PM UTC

teatree wrote: post #132

haunter wrote: post #15

>Similar reforms apply to cooking, a great deal of which will survive among old fashioned people, but a great deal more of which will probably be avoided by the use of synthetic foods. This is very interesting especially if you think "synthetic foods" not just literally but as take out, processed products and such. I know a lot of young professional people who technically never cook. Like almost never and whatever th…

As a person who has been exclusively on something similar to soylent for entire 2021, it is certainly possible today albeit not via 4 pills.

Out of complete curiosity: any particular reason to avoid traditional food?

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#152

Post by paradite » Thu, Jan 06, 2022, 3:06 PM UTC

Yes, the prediction is incredibly accurate.

So my question would be: Is this a case of selection bias (survival bias)?

Did we cherry picked one accurate prediction (at the right time) out of many different predictions made about the future?

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#153

Post by ben_w » Thu, Jan 06, 2022, 3:06 PM UTC

weisk wrote: post #24

Macha wrote: post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

From a technological perspective, I'm not sure they're wrong? 1922 had railways and cars and mass transit which had already started increasing urbanisation vs 1822, skyscrapers were already being built, passenger air travel was a go, telephones and electricity existed in cities. The internet and computing is certainly a big shift, but from a visible changes to the world perspective I think 2022 is more alike 1922 tha…

> The internet and computing is certainly a big shift, but from a visible changes to the world perspective I think 2022 is more alike 1922 than 1922 was alike 1822. Lolwat? Handheld devices that have the power to process millions of calculations a sec, to record Ultra HD videos, to establish a video conference instantaniously with anyone in the whole world. Thousands of satellites that orbit the earth constantly. Spa…

The keyword here is “visible”; for most of these things, though the change is real, it is also easily missed, with the exception of, as you say, thousands of satellites that orbit the earth constantly (space missions are not however already flying past the limits of our galaxy, they’re just about reaching the heliopause; even just leaving the plane of the Galaxy is 200,000 times further than that, while leaving the rim of the Galaxy is about 12 million times further).

Video conferencing worldwide? If you draw attention to it, I suspect it would’ve surprised 1922 people that anyone richer than a literal subsistence farmer would also have a device of their own for the other end of the call, but the existence of the technology itself would not be surprising.

For visible changes between 1922 and 2022? New materials, new lighting, new fashion, drones, the public acceptability of same-sex relationships, race relations (in particular attitudes to those of pre-Colombian, African, and Chinese descent), and possibly also visible might be the absence of disfiguring illnesses that we have now vaccinated against.

But those are likely less than the changes from 1822 to 1922.

(The Blue Marble, or the photos of astronauts walking on the moon… I don’t know if those would’ve been shocking or not. Jules Verne died in 1905).

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#154

Post by beaconstudios » Thu, Jan 06, 2022, 3:07 PM UTC

lettergram wrote: post #127

ianai wrote: post #105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Citation very much needed.

You can read the “Great Reset” book to get a wider view of their vision. They’ve been talking about this for a long time https://www.salon.com/2010/12/06/america_collapse_2025/

And predicting the fall of the US... Makes them both nazis and communists? I'm confused by your argument.

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#155

Post by Karawebnetwork » Thu, Jan 06, 2022, 3:10 PM UTC

haunter wrote: post #15

>Similar reforms apply to cooking, a great deal of which will survive among old fashioned people, but a great deal more of which will probably be avoided by the use of synthetic foods. This is very interesting especially if you think "synthetic foods" not just literally but as take out, processed products and such. I know a lot of young professional people who technically never cook. Like almost never and whatever th…

It's important to remember that 77 percent of U.S. adults take dietary supplements. We all eat "corned beef hash and pumpkin pie" yet the majority of people already use supplements as pill as needed. Living in the north, everyone I know uses Vitamin D pills. This is a must to survive the winter and I can't imagine how it would be if that wasn't as available.

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#156

Post by bagacrap » Thu, Jan 06, 2022, 3:10 PM UTC

seafoam wrote: post #136

teatree wrote: post #132

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As a person who has been exclusively on something similar to soylent for entire 2021, it is certainly possible today albeit not via 4 pills.

Ok I will bite, what are you on ?

the marketing team

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#157

Post by hiptobecubic » Thu, Jan 06, 2022, 3:11 PM UTC

mistrial9 wrote: post #145

SantalBlush wrote: post #103

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Any attempt to depict the US as a free country prior to 1920 is a nonstarter. There was slavery, Jim Crow, and women could not vote. Seriously, give me a break.

my ancestors had property rights and university education for women, always anti-slavery.. please do not lump me into your vague assertion edit- the USA was divided strongly between states, which had constitutions of their own. There was a very bright line between the Massachusetts colonies and the Virginia colonies, and then others.. Property rights and real education for women were a large topic! slavery was hated…

What do your specific ancestors have to do with anything?

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#158

Post by lettergram » Thu, Jan 06, 2022, 3:11 PM UTC

beaconstudios wrote: post #154

lettergram wrote: post #127

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can read the “Great Reset” book to get a wider view of their vision. They’ve been talking about this for a long time https://www.salon.com/2010/12/06/america_collapse_2025/

And predicting the fall of the US... Makes them both nazis and communists? I'm confused by your argument.

Read the book, look into the forums content, funding sources, history, etc

I was pointing out the anti-United states propaganda has been going on for years.

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#159

Post by antux » Thu, Jan 06, 2022, 3:12 PM UTC

overthemoon wrote: post #35

It's interesting to compare this to the WEF future projections: https://www.forbes.com/sites/worldeconomicforum/2016/11/10/s... Especially with regards to this passage:: "In 2022 [economic development] will be as finished as it is to-day in England. American wealth will then be either developed or known, and all of it will belong to somebody. There will be no more opportunity in America than there is in England to-da…

> Those Americans will know that it is practically certain that they will die much in the same position as the ones in which they were born. Those Americans will therefore be less enterprising and much more pleasure loving.

You can see this today with the anti-work movement and the overindulgence in tv shows, movies, porn, junk food, social media, and video games. All these things are corrupting the future generations of kids.

The corporations that create these have made them too accessible. Once kids start indulging at a young age, it's harder to control when they get older. Their lives will revolve around gaining short-term pleasures, and the world will lose out on the potential long-term creative value they could have contributed.

Re: What the world will be like in a hundred years (1922)

#160

Post by mbg721 » Thu, Jan 06, 2022, 3:13 PM UTC

jollybean wrote: post #146

__MatrixMan__ wrote: post #142

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It would be nice if the cost of rungs in the social later (housing, education, etc) wasn't so high that only certain kinds of people could achieve them. Many of the "your not allowed to do that"s of the past are still in place for entire neighborhoods, only the words changed.

In 1922 only 5% of people went to University - now 50% go on to post secondary which is largely due to cost and opportunity. Only about 50% finished HS - now it's 95%. Doctors were not very affordable by anyone - now it's >90%. Most people didn't have running water and electricity yet now it's almost 100%. The only thing that's not as nice as 'real estate' - housing was cheap, but the houses were crap, and often you…

I would argue, as many would, that a high-school graduate now is much worse off now than a high-school dropout a century ago. Jobs are much more specialized, you can't rely on working on "the family farm", and the prestige of a high-school diploma has tanked to "You don't have this, what's wrong with you??"