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Poll: Which FAANG is the most likely to decline in the years ahead?

news.ycombinator.com

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Re: Poll: Which FAANG is the most likely to decline in the years ahead?

#81

Post by littlestymaar »

ecshafer wrote: post #25

Facebook is currently ahead, but I wonder how much of that is perception. There is a lot of media about how Facebook is evil, but that is mostly from a pretty small circle of media and political people, that Facebook is naturally in opposition to. Facebook also owns instagram and whatsapp as well. But everyone over 30 I know uses Facebook, heavily. Instagram is also used very heavily. Amazon has threats from other E-…

> But everyone over 30 I know uses Facebook, heavily

That's an interesting perspective, I was pretty convinced that facebook was almost dead since all of my friends (in France) have almost completely stopper using it. Well most of us are still casually browsing it every once in a while, but it's far less often than it used to be, and worse: we don't have interactions together on that platform. The last remaining usage was events, but since covid basically killed most large-group events for a while, even this usage died off.

I wonder if it's more of a group difference, or maybe it depends from country to country. Where do you live?

Re: Poll: Which FAANG is the most likely to decline in the years ahead?

#82

Post by wwweston »

iso1210 wrote: post #73
artemonster wrote: post #15

I have loads of friends who started to cancel their netflix subs and went back to piracy because they grew tired of searching for a way to watch something legally. Now its disney, hbo, prime, whatever. Screw all of this.

All of that is way cheaper (currently) than cable. The biggest problem is finding what you want. Need a TV Guide for streaming, so I can search for say "The Martian", and it would tell me "This is on netflix in your country", or "this isn't available on subscription, but you can rent it on amazon for x.xx or buy it on apple tv for y.yy"

https://www.justwatch.com/

Re: Poll: Which FAANG is the most likely to decline in the years ahead?

#83

Post by api »

dntrkv wrote: post #40
api wrote: post #7

I hope Facebook since it would benefit the world, but I think Netflix is most likely.

Honest question, do you really think that if Facebook disappeared tomorrow anything would change? Considering the complaints about Facebook plague every other social website including Twitter, Reddit, and YouTube. That's also assuming another social media site won't rise up to fill that same role (maybe an existing one)?

Would one tobacco company disappearing reduce cancer rates? No, but it's a start.

Every social media company that optimizes for "engagement" (which means addictiveness and the promotion of polarizing and triggering content) is part of the problem but Facebook is probably the largest player here.

These companies are making billions off the collective lobotomization of humanity.

Re: Poll: Which FAANG is the most likely to decline in the years ahead?

#84

Post by notRobot »

jeffdubin wrote: post #51

Amazon, Apple, and Google are each well-entrenched and also have a good bit of cash and patents available to pivot or crush competitors if necessary. Plus if broken up (e.g. by gov't antitrust regs, etc.) each would have multiple sustainable businesses that could survive independently of the main company. Netflix will buy/be bought. Much like cell phone carriers, ISPs, and CATV companies, consolidation will leave onl…

Facebook (Meta) the company is a lot more than Facebook the social media network.

Meta owns WhatsApp and Instagram, two of the biggest social networks, that are ubiquitous with younger generations. It does not matter that Facebook is associated with old people, because Facebook also owns the places where all the young people are at.

Re: Poll: Which FAANG is the most likely to decline in the years ahead?

#85

Post by billyhoffman »

mech422 wrote: post #66
ecshafer wrote: post #25

Facebook is currently ahead, but I wonder how much of that is perception. There is a lot of media about how Facebook is evil, but that is mostly from a pretty small circle of media and political people, that Facebook is naturally in opposition to. Facebook also owns instagram and whatsapp as well. But everyone over 30 I know uses Facebook, heavily. Instagram is also used very heavily. Amazon has threats from other E-…

Personally, I think FB is in trouble because it became 'your grandmothers social media'... the youngsters seem more interested in insta and tiktok

> the youngsters seem more interested in insta

... which is owned by FB. Between Instagram securing the audience of the next generation, and Whatsapp gaining huge share as the communication tool of developing world, FB is going to do just fine, even if facebook.com usage totally tanks (also unlikely)

Re: Poll: Which FAANG is the most likely to decline in the years ahead?

#86

Post by wombat-man »

sgt wrote: post #39
artemonster wrote: post #15

I have loads of friends who started to cancel their netflix subs and went back to piracy because they grew tired of searching for a way to watch something legally. Now its disney, hbo, prime, whatever. Screw all of this.

Yeah and have you noticed how the industry doesn't really want you to watch old stuff? Obviously they want to keep peddling new movies and series, so it does make sense, but I think it should be easier to find old classic movies. I often have to resort to torrents for this reason alone.

I think NBC would actually love it if you would please pay every month to watch the office over and over.

Re: Poll: Which FAANG is the most likely to decline in the years ahead?

#87

Post by ipaddr »

cam0 wrote: post #17

I don't think people will stop using the Google search bar. I don't think people will stop binging shows on Netflix. I don't think people will stop ordering crap on Amazon. I don't think people who use iphones and macbooks will stop buying iphones and macbooks. Hard for me to see how it wouldn't be FB/meta. They're betting the farm on something unproven / creating new habits / maintaining habits that seem to be wanin…

Facebook has a history of getting first or buying into new social spaces. Gaming and facebook will be important going forward. I would bet in them getting bigger.

The cloud computing fad could go away and Amazon would still be the #1 retailer.

Google, Microsoft will get bigger probably more government contract related.

Netflix is in the worst poor position. There costs for high end production are extremely high because they have to overpay for top talent. So they take years to continue a series or cancel successful ones because actors want raises. The availability of fresh existing shows keeps going down while costs go up.

Re: Poll: Which FAANG is the most likely to decline in the years ahead?

#88

Post by thehappypm »

artemonster wrote: post #15

I have loads of friends who started to cancel their netflix subs and went back to piracy because they grew tired of searching for a way to watch something legally. Now its disney, hbo, prime, whatever. Screw all of this.

A show I had one episode left of went off Netflix on 1/1. I tried to find it EVERYWHERE, I even downloaded iTunes on my PC. “Not available in your region” left right and center. I luckily found a torrent and it was legitimately the only way I could find the content beyond buying DVDs on eBay.

Re: Poll: Which FAANG is the most likely to decline in the years ahead?

#90

Post by gordon_freeman »

calvinmorrison wrote: post #59
missedthecue wrote: post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I remember when a Netflix subscription was like having Blockbuster inside your living room. Now its mostly just Netflix originals which aren't necessarily bad but maybe not worth it's own subscription every month.

Clint Eastwood did like 90000 movies, why are there only like 3 on Netflix? That but for every actor. Its like on-demand now rather than a catalog you rent.

For this reason, I do have Netflix DVD subscription along with Netflix streaming. At least until now, I feel that there is still vast catalog of movies available to choose from their DVD service unlike their streaming one.

Obviously waiting for DVDs to arrive is a hassle in comparison to watch-at-any-time streaming but that's ok tradeoff for the freedom it gives me to chose a title to watch from its vast DVD and Blue Ray catalog.

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