The crux of web3 is the UX, last mile, and/or listing problem: even if you, hypothetically, could find a decentralized solution for every centralized one, the last interface to this mechanism will be centralized. Your UI (e.g. mobile app) is centralized so the best UI will eventually win because most end users care about UX or will enter this interface because they see a well paid ad. If this UI (e.g. a decentralized…
Why Web3?
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Re: Why Web3?
#72perspective of a not terribly interested party: * two years ago: "bitcoin! bitcoin! bitcoin!" - tech community: "bitcoin is a pyramid scheme and also bad for the environment." * a year ago: "crypto! crypto! not bitcoin, there's others and also fintech loves blockchain!" - tech community: "nope, still a pyramid scheme, financial community goes whereever there's hype and $$$, they couldnt care less about 'tech'" * 6 mo…
Re: Why Web3?
#73That's just so blatantly and obviously false it's rather remarkable that he wrote it.
Absolutely nothing stops companies from becoming the dominant providers - aka big tech - that utilize said database at the application layer. Indeed that's exactly what will happen. You don't need to own the database to build a big tech monopoly on top of it. Microsoft didn't own the primary distribution channel for Windows 95, and they didn't own the hardware it ran on either. Google (search, circa 1999) didn't own the Internet, or the PC, or the operating system, or the cable line, or the telecom infrastructure, and so on. Consumers develop preferences, companies develop advantages (through superior products or other means), and the market dominance centralizes to one or a few providers. That's always inevitable short of government intervention. You don't have to own the database to build a monopoly on top of it. The better products (or via other leverage points) will win out and dominate and will be extraordinarily difficult to compete with, their advantage will become entrenched as their product gains in complexity and capability (ie competing with Google in 1998 was far easier than it would have been by 2012, as they scaled their capabilities and made enormous investments globally); the cost to keep up the with the winners soars and few will try (see: lack of dozens or hundreds of new competitors to Uber and Lyft, few are even trying at this point, the potential competition gives up for obvious reasons).
Say hello to Coinbase & Co. We've already seen this process in action in crypto, many times over.
Re: Why Web3?
#74Re: Why Web3?
#75I think the VCs are stuck between a rock and a hard place. It makes sense to invest in "web3" because of the potential power law returns if someone figures out how to make something useful. However, I think we've had enough time to evaluate enough of these technologies to claim that the emperor has no clothes. It may take a few years but I think every single web3 investment will have to be written off as a complete l…
> However, I think we've had enough time to evaluate enough of these technologies "We" (humanity) started working on networking/the foundations of the internet in the 1970s, and it wasn't until late 1990s that it actually became mainstream and started providing a solution to "real" problems we had at that time. What makes you confident we can judge cryptocurrencies in just ~12 years instead of ~20 years it took for t…
I'm confident in saying this because we are further along in the computing adoption cycle and we haven't really come up with anything useful.
Your point about transferring something to someone else without a third party ignores transaction costs. Who cares if you need a third party if you are purchasing something legally and the cost to transact is low?
Re: Why Web3?
#76Earlier quoted context omitted.
Could you explain that business model?
You do not need to make money from the product directly. Think for example if the Bitcoin creator would get 10 cent every time someone mentioned Bitcoin. Or the easiest business model of them all, sell ads on your org site.
Eh, how would that work exactly?
> Or the easiest business model of them all, sell ads on your org site
That's great, but I can ensure you: none of us in the cryptocurrency ecosystem wants anything to do with ads. Also, can't really build a big business by having ads on your website.
Re: Why Web3?
#77https://continuations.com/post/671863718643105792/web3crypto...
Still, it's unconvincing to me.
It argues web3 is about permissionless data. The problem with that is we already have permissionless data -- you can put almost any kind of data you want on a server and encourage people honor it. What they actually want is shared data, governed by rules that hard for anyone to change, and use that as scaffolding to build systems around consequential data. That's kind of interesting, but what happens when the rules conflict with reality. E.g., when the blockchain says you own the land but the law says someone else does? Now you could agree to make a blockchain database is the authority on something, even contractually, which would help it harmonize with laws to a decent degree. But that would be an individual decision and doesn't preclude scams, fraud, people acting in bad faith, etc.
Ultimately blockchains about data of any consequence will have to comport with applicable laws and regulations, just like everything else. The lack of flexibility likewise makes blockchain pretty useless for softer things, like social networks. (It's kind of silly to even bring up social networks in this context, but the post brings up Facebook.)
Re: Why Web3?
#78Earlier quoted context omitted.
The locking is in the company that controls the spec of the protocol and its reference implementation. It’s always been about getting as many people onboard as possible, this time the bait is decentralisation.
Could you explain that business model?
Outsider contributions are submitted publicly, while features developed by the company start in secret and can remain secret as long as possible. The company's contributions are rammed through while outsiders contend with endless bikeshedding with no guarantee they will get anything they need.
In the end there is no sensible reason for any other entity to partner with the controlling company. The partner finds they are prevented from innovating while being bogged down by the "process." The controlling party then seeks to cannibalize the partner's product during this time by shelving any of their unique features and ideas. Once the partner moves on, the requisite changes and fixes to the specification are magically pushed through.
I wouldn't call this a core business model as much as an enhancement to one. Fundamentally it's an attention grift -- a bamboozle of complex rules, procedures and processes, cloaked in goodwill, and furnished by a large interest and future hope at any given time.
Re: Why Web3?
#79I think the VCs are stuck between a rock and a hard place. It makes sense to invest in "web3" because of the potential power law returns if someone figures out how to make something useful. However, I think we've had enough time to evaluate enough of these technologies to claim that the emperor has no clothes. It may take a few years but I think every single web3 investment will have to be written off as a complete l…
> However, I think we've had enough time to evaluate enough of these technologies "We" (humanity) started working on networking/the foundations of the internet in the 1970s, and it wasn't until late 1990s that it actually became mainstream and started providing a solution to "real" problems we had at that time. What makes you confident we can judge cryptocurrencies in just ~12 years instead of ~20 years it took for t…
Ironically, the crypto way of doing transactions is more like the fax machine to Venmo’s email. The former is slow and more expensive, while the latter is instant and free.
Edit: I’d also like to point out you still have a third party in crypto. It’s just that the third party is the entire network rather than a single company.
Re: Why Web3?
#80Earlier quoted context omitted.
It’s a very limited database that is very slow and scales poorly.
The currently most popular implementation of this "open database" (Bitcoin) is indeed slow and scales poorly. But if you start looking into the new ideas, you'll find there are plenty of still decentralized blockchains with much faster confirmation times (even as low as 5 seconds) today.