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Ask HN: What's the next big thing in computing / programming?

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Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing in computing / programming?

#161

Real personal computing, that benefits end-users on their terms. In the Future of Coding community, we often use the analogy of "home cooking". As in, we have restaurants & professional chefs but not enough home cooks in computing. Tools & processes are super different when you're cooking for yourself / family vs for a restaurant! There are a few trends that are tiptoeing on the edges here: - tools for thought / crea…

I adore the banner idea here. The various trends are interesting, but I still don't see anything that really sings deeply to me. They all have hints of the real, of a coming harmony & bridging of the gulf between development & user, but they fall short too. End-user programming comes close, but I don't think it's the real notion. It makes primary the programmability, which is, imo, an unncessary ego-centrism. Softwar…

> > "We’ve known for a long time that software will eat the world — the comings and going’s of everyday life, once they are expressed as code, become infinitely easier to patch and improve using only a keyboard and display."

Yeah, I kinda see this as the exact opposite. The fact that symbolic code, keyboards, and displays are all tied together is no accident. It's a limitation that prevents computation / simulation from being used in situations that aren't oriented around text-input.

There's so many situations like this! We're a bit blind to it, because we're used to pulling out our phone, and it's hard to predict what we'd all use computers for if we escaped the trappings of mouse-keyboard-text-code. It's just like how cheap paper / the push for literacy helped make paper receipts at coffee shops a thing, but nobody could have predicted cheap-paper-receipts in the 1600's when books were so insanely laborious to create (forget even read!).

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing in computing / programming?

#162

Hyper IOTization. I'm coining the term. - pots that tell you when they are hot. - bikes that say their tires are flat. - weights that track how many reps you did. - shoes that tell you: stop landing on your heels so hard. - pillboxes that shove pills down your throat. - pillboxes that shove politics down your throat. - chargers that tell you their pronouns are he/him. - coffee mugs that tell you weather. - pants that…

I've been hearing that story for the last decade. What changed?

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing in computing / programming?

#163
post #70

I am possibly alone in thinking the biggest thing to happen in computing in the 80s/90s was the spreadsheet. Having an immeasurable affect on the productivity of organizations large and small, to this day. So what does the 21st century version of the spreadsheet look like?

no/low code tools that are accessible/useable by the masses.

And that can scale to complex systems.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing in computing / programming?

#164
post #162

Hyper IOTization. I'm coining the term. - pots that tell you when they are hot. - bikes that say their tires are flat. - weights that track how many reps you did. - shoes that tell you: stop landing on your heels so hard. - pillboxes that shove pills down your throat. - pillboxes that shove politics down your throat. - chargers that tell you their pronouns are he/him. - coffee mugs that tell you weather. - pants that…

I've been hearing that story for the last decade. What changed?

The whole post is meant to be tongue-in-cheek. I doubt people really want:

> - pillboxes that shove politics down your throat.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing in computing / programming?

#165
post #156
post #135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There's multiple cycles. Hype usually predates the technology by several years. Drones are common now. But the last drone hype I saw was 20 years ago. AI has been around longer than I was born. Stuff like DDD and functional programming are ancient but they've become more popular in recent years. I think it takes a long time. Often the tech is a puzzle piece when we don't have the rest of the puzzle yet.

I think VR definitely fit this. What we are seeing now is like the web 2.0 wave of VR.

I often compare VR to 3D during the 80s. It's still early. I don't think it'll take over though. It's just uncomfortable sitting in a headset for too long, like there's a human instinct to see if someone else is in the same room as you or something.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing in computing / programming?

#166
I’m surprised nobody has mentioned object recognition.

There’s lots of reasons why robots aren’t currently picking up trash across every beach in America 24 hours a day. Or cooking for you whenever you want.

One of them is the inability to identify objects the way humans do. But it’s getting better. Slowly. There’s no fundamental wall that’s been hit yet.

Think about that for a moment. Let it simmer.

Think about cameras that can identify humans and structures. Roombas that can identify cats and walls before it hits them.

Think about all the work that can suddenly be automated because object representation hits an inflection point.

It’s going to change humanity. The story of our species. It’s going to be a perennial wonder.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing in computing / programming?

#167

Real personal computing, that benefits end-users on their terms. In the Future of Coding community, we often use the analogy of "home cooking". As in, we have restaurants & professional chefs but not enough home cooks in computing. Tools & processes are super different when you're cooking for yourself / family vs for a restaurant! There are a few trends that are tiptoeing on the edges here: - tools for thought / crea…

To add to the list:

- 'Authorship Environments: In search of the “personal” in personal computing' Strangeloop talk (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5U6MkU5fLJw)

If we are to make computing personal, as any medium of thought needs to be, we'll need a new framework, a new way to think about computing, We'll need to shed the ingrained assumptions. We'll need a new language: no more "users" and "programmers." I've never heard a good definition of either but these terms are too loaded and too corrosive today.*

I am not claiming this is the next big thing, but if we are to move to the sort of goals described in a number of the projects in the list, something like this will have to happen.

* Best one I know is of programming: blindly manipulating symbols in hope of an outcome.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing in computing / programming?

#169
IMO, the following will take 5 to 10 years

IMO, VR will skyrocket when:

We have a portable headset that is:

Affordable

4k resolution per eye

Has decent mixed reality capabilities (e.g. see the Varjo XR 3 as an example on YouTube)

Has a good omnidirectional threadml that is affordable (i.e. walking, running and moving should be possible as it is normally). I find the current threadmills that I see (e.g. KatVR) a good step in the direction but still too problematic.

Killer apps are (from concrete to abstract):

Having multiple monitors in your room. Now you can travel with 10 monitors in your backpack.

90% real simulations (try Golf+, Eleven Table Tennis and Thrill of the Fight — those games are already there).

Mark Zuckerberg his vision of the Metaverse, which I interpret as: being able to mix and match hanging out and playing games together in VR (note: more companies than only Meta could work on this). Reasoning: gaming together is simply a specialized form of hanging out.

Software-dizing hardware interfaces. The more stuff we put in VR/AR (especially force feedback mechanisms), the better we can mimic the feel of hardware interfaces. In certain cases it will feel real enough and then you can import the entire hardware device into software/VR/AR and suddenly thr production of such a device is now much cheaper. For example: a realistic electronic keyboard in VR. I don’t know how to solve for the force feedback in this case but I do know that there is other hardware for which this must be easier.

Source: I bought an Oculus Quest 2 a month ago to play around with VR while constantly asking what it is lacking and what will make it awesome.

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