Live data from Hacker News

Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less severe Covid: study

washingtonpost.com

461–470 of 1001 posts

Re: Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less severe Covid: study

#461

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Way too many comments and articles that try and keep the fear training running full steam. Enragement is engagement, and how better to enrage people than scaring everyone out of their wits and politicising everything as far as humanly possible? I'm certainly no COVID denier nor vaccine sceptic, though to me it's astonishing how little discussion has happened around the fact that everyone from some randomer's blog to…

it’s worth always keeping in mind that the only dichotomy that matters in political economies is that between the wealthy and powerful and everyone else, not left-right, black-white, east-west, socialist-capitalist, or anything else. it’s been this way for all of human history past and will likely be so for the rest of it too. that’s a sober position to take, not a cynical one, as some might argue. the more dynamic o…

Very confusing statements, any sources?

To start with one, https://twitter.com/maxplanckpress/status/146668793563865497...

Re: Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less severe Covid: study

#462

So... who cares? Seriously, if it's no worse than a cold, can we please stop talking about vaccination for it?

The article doesn't say that it's no worse than a cold. In fact, all signs show that it can be worse than a common cold. This is a non-sequitur.

Re: Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less severe Covid: study

#463

This is honesty good news. The best case scenario is a new less deadly highly contagious strain that become the most dominant and spreads worldwide. Way too many comments and articles that try and keep the fear train running full steam. A mild strain of covid that is contagious, leads to natural immunity and doesn’t require a vaccine is an absolute win win for the world.

> leads to natural immunity

Evidence so far suggests Omicron has high rates of reinfection.

Re: Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less severe Covid: study

#464

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This may come off wrong but... COVID is not the first virus. Immunosuppressed people for all of human history have been falling victim to the common cold, the flu and other infections most humans can deal with safely. You can't stop the world economy and the benefit that brings to the majority of society to save a fraction of a percentage point of the population that is Immunocompromised.

How does wearing a mask hurt the economy?

Try having a 3 year old child with a speech impediment that has to wear a mask in childcare for 6 hours a day. Does wonders for their ability to communicate.

Re: Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less severe Covid: study

#465

Earlier quoted context omitted.

At this point I'm expecting this crap to be a thing until we have a winter of excess deaths at or below Pre-Covid levels. Once that is observed I think people will finally move on. It sounds like this is still going to result in deaths, so I am now expecting year three of this crap. https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-raw-deat... I think eventually that winter will come, but the process will be gradua…

At some point, it seems like you have to weigh the lifetime risk of dying from COVID against the loss of life enjoyment and decide “We shouldn’t subject ourselves to another 1.25% of our lifetime of this (whatever “this” is) to lower the fatality rate from Y to X.” (If you’re lowering from 5% to 1%, that trade makes sense for even severe social restrictions. If you’re lowering it from 0.5% to 0.4%, that trade makes n…

People (Or at least governments), seem unwilling to take that kind of stance.

Re: Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less severe Covid: study

#466
post #67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That’s only one pressure driving viral evolution. Another pressure is social response to infection: so far, the predominant response to a more-virulent or more-lethal strain has been lockdown and/or other behavioral change, see: delta in India. On the flip side, a variant that causes milder symptoms is less likely to cause the same social response, which allows the virus to spread more widely. This may (may!) be what…

Do you realise that mutation is not something the species can consciously control? How could the virus have mutated to become milder to suit the social response if the society, as it stands today, is continuing to do what they previously did..?

It's like the "invisible hand" or the "selfish gene" - just an analogy.

Re: Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less severe Covid: study

#467
post #459

Earlier quoted context omitted.

it’s worth always keeping in mind that the only dichotomy that matters in political economies is that between the wealthy and powerful and everyone else, not left-right, black-white, east-west, socialist-capitalist, or anything else. it’s been this way for all of human history past and will likely be so for the rest of it too. that’s a sober position to take, not a cynical one, as some might argue. the more dynamic o…

"the only dichotomy that matters in political economies is that between the wealthy and powerful and everyone else" I always think of this as putting on different pairs of glasses to see the world through different lenses. That is one lens. left-right is another lens. There is no "the only lens that matters". There are many lenses which have different degrees of predictive power depending on what you are observing. Y…

left-right is the worst of political dichotomies. it provides no purpose other than to arbitrarily divide the world into good vs. bad from the perspective of the viewer. that’s meant to solely benefit politicians, not provide any clarity, because it collapses the acceptable political narratives down into a palatably small set from which the politician can form a base. in short, it’s pure bullshit.

Re: Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less severe Covid: study

#468

This is honesty good news. The best case scenario is a new less deadly highly contagious strain that become the most dominant and spreads worldwide. Way too many comments and articles that try and keep the fear train running full steam. A mild strain of covid that is contagious, leads to natural immunity and doesn’t require a vaccine is an absolute win win for the world.

> The best case scenario is a new less deadly highly contagious strain that become the most dominant and spreads worldwide. No, this scenario wouldn't be good news at all. Firstly, a marginally lower case fatality rate is a linear improvement, whereas much higher transmissibility is an exponential worsening. In other words, the reduced risk of an infected person getting into hospital is dwarfed by the exponential inc…

The thing is, vaccines were never advertised as tools to prevent infection. The story has always been that it reduces symptoms and hospitalization, so there are plenty of opportunities for the disease to get “tickets” in the evolution lottery. Between that, the animal reservoirs (COVID can spread to different species), and the millions of people in undeveloped countries who will never get a vax, COVID was guaranteed to mutate no matter what the public policy. Letting it rip is less a strategy and more an acknowledgement of reality.

Re: Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less severe Covid: study

#469
post #307

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think it's not yet a given that omicron competes with delta. Since they're fairly different it's possible both strains can coexist.

Data shows otherwise. In ZA over 85% of cases are omicron from not existing last month.

That might still be true if they coexist. But I'm no expert. https://erictopol.substack.com/p/omicron-is-getting-more-def... says they compete, so I'm willing to believe that. But the thread https://mobile.twitter.com/trvrb/status/1470420195567030274 linked from there says it's not certain, and it sounds fairly convincing too.

Re: Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less severe Covid: study

#470

Earlier quoted context omitted.

At this point I'm expecting this crap to be a thing until we have a winter of excess deaths at or below Pre-Covid levels. Once that is observed I think people will finally move on. It sounds like this is still going to result in deaths, so I am now expecting year three of this crap. https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-raw-deat... I think eventually that winter will come, but the process will be gradua…

At some point, it seems like you have to weigh the lifetime risk of dying from COVID against the loss of life enjoyment and decide “We shouldn’t subject ourselves to another 1.25% of our lifetime of this (whatever “this” is) to lower the fatality rate from Y to X.” (If you’re lowering from 5% to 1%, that trade makes sense for even severe social restrictions. If you’re lowering it from 0.5% to 0.4%, that trade makes n…

Beyond personal choice, in America statewise regulations and urban v. rural differences in mitigation techniques may mean citizens vote with their feet and gov'ts respond to properly shore up tax bases.

In any case I'm no longer thinking this has a clear end date, just a gradual fade into memory, the exact length of time it takes undefined/unclear.

Post reply on HN