Earlier quoted context omitted.
For the winners / losers computation, one thing that's clear is that land value taxes are highly progressive. Rich people own most of the land. There are no tax loopholes to evade land taxes.
> There are no tax loopholes to evade land taxes. Of course there is! You just lobby or bribe your politicians to value your land at a lower amount. They make up for it by valuing someone else’s land at a higher amount. So much of the LVT discourse assumes perfect valuations, but if you reduce everything to these variable valuations then the politics will just start modifying the valuations. We’d have an entire book…
Indeed, and even without these, we'd have the "LVT assessors" getting bribed or being buddy-buddy with rich landowning families. Obviously we already have that today with property taxes (not to mention permit approvals).
Paraphrasing what you said elsewhere, "The interesting part is to explore the net effects."
I suspect LVT would end up, overall, encouraging building more housing. It could even be sold as "lowering or eliminating taxes (on improvements to the land)". I also suspect there would be no end to the shenanigans played to manipulate LVT's. I doubt it would be much worse than today's situation, but I might be very surprised!