This reminds me of the sort of light poking of common "correlation is not the same as causation" and "beware of confounding factors" statistical failures behind the Church of the Flying Spaghetti Monster "clearly reduction in pirates has caused global warming!" [0]. But it's a major in modern public discourse, and one for once that I'm quite willing to lay heavily at the feet of the public education system. Easily on…
Is watching the 1984 Ghostbusters movie killing people?
171–180 of 248 posts
Re: Is watching the 1984 Ghostbusters movie killing people?
#172Re: Is watching the 1984 Ghostbusters movie killing people?
#173Earlier quoted context omitted.
What's the motivation for that? Infamy?
Since it's Sunday morning and my religious tradition is on my mind, I hope you won't mind me posting a theory based in that tradition. The response to the pandemic has reminded me of nothing so much as the demons in C. S. Lewis's The Screwtape Letters . Their goal is not simply for people to die - if they die innocent, they haven't gained anything. Their goal is for people to die while being culpable of great evil. A…
Re: Is watching the 1984 Ghostbusters movie killing people?
#174> I don't know how to explain this other than movie-caused mortality. The above sentence alone gets my Skepticism antennae whirling, let alone the majority of the (relatively unassociated) facts. What the heck is movie-caused mortality? An exact search[0^] returns this same HN post, no help there. An inexact search[1^] returns results mainly about deaths that occurred during the filming of a movie or TV show. These d…
Re: Is watching the 1984 Ghostbusters movie killing people?
#175global average temperature vs number of pirates: https://www.spaghettimonster.org/wp-content/uploads/2007/05/...
Re: Is watching the 1984 Ghostbusters movie killing people?
#176He is referring to a statistical quantization mistake that the target, COVID lockdown critic Alex Berenson, did not make.
Re: Is watching the 1984 Ghostbusters movie killing people?
#177Earlier quoted context omitted.
Actually, with the prelevance of polydactyly (about 1 in 1000 people have 6 or more fingers), and less accidents happening, most people might have a bellow average number of fingers in the future.
There is no way in hell the incidence of polydactyly is that high Edit: jesus christ you were right
Re: Is watching the 1984 Ghostbusters movie killing people?
#178Another Spurious Correlations [0]. The message will always bear repeating. [0] https://tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations
No, most of those are "actually spurious" in the sense of the two time series having nothing to do with each other. A lot of them are pretty short series as well, so it's easy for them to be correlated. What we are looking at is Simpson's Paradox, where the true causal relationship is obscured by information that isn't obvious from the plot. Now before you correlation != causation, there is actually a causation here…
Re: Is watching the 1984 Ghostbusters movie killing people?
#179Yes, smugly mocking people's very valid concerns will surely win them over. Don't study the figures, just do as we say!
Re: Is watching the 1984 Ghostbusters movie killing people?
#180Yes, smugly mocking people's very valid concerns will surely win them over. Don't study the figures, just do as we say!