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https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/vaccinated-english-adult...
I had a discussion about it at work because my teammate is vocal about the alleged harm that vaccines cause and is no stranger to confirmation bias.
Shame that they lumped so many people into the same group, because if you look closer at the data for e.g. England:
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/vaccinations?areaTyp...
There's a strong correlation between age and vaccine intake, because older people were given priority.
The difference in intake among the age groups is as high as 50 percentage points.
At any rate, I'm certainly not an expert. But there seems to be some missing BS filter where people can recognize something as silly if the example is silly enough but not in the exact same logic fail for something that seems "more reasonable somehow".
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0: https://www.spaghettimonster.org/wp-content/uploads/2007/10/...
The introduction to the article needs more context. I don’t understand why it exists, who cares about it and who would believe that.
This reminds me of the sort of light poking of common "correlation is not the same as causation" and "beware of confounding factors" statistical failures behind the Church of the Flying Spaghetti Monster "clearly reduction in pirates has caused global warming!" [0]. But it's a major in modern public discourse, and one for once that I'm quite willing to lay heavily at the feet of the public education system. Easily on…
Maybe combined with motivated reasoning.
Most of the high level problems in our civilization require years of study to even be capable of formulating a valid opinion.
The thing people have to do is to instead focus on evaluating people and deciding who probably knows who they are talking about. This is the same thing successful leaders and managers have to do when they hire. Unfortunately there is no foolproof method. Going with the consensus in a field is going to yield better than average results, but it's not a perfect rule by any means.
This reminds me of the sort of light poking of common "correlation is not the same as causation" and "beware of confounding factors" statistical failures behind the Church of the Flying Spaghetti Monster "clearly reduction in pirates has caused global warming!" [0]. But it's a major in modern public discourse, and one for once that I'm quite willing to lay heavily at the feet of the public education system. Easily on…
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Often, you can discover such things by reading the article.
Often, but not in this case, hence my comment.
