Earlier quoted context omitted.
> energy to maintain the record of ownership. That is entirely incorrect. Energy is expended to allow transfer of ownership, not to maintain the record. If all miners save one dude with a laptop stopped to mine transactions tomorrow, you still wouldn't be able to spend Bitcoins for which you don't own the private key.
I agree with your technical clarification, but there would be no point in owning a balance if the ability for someone to receive it in a transaction without fear of double spend disappeared. Therefore, I stand by my statement. Bitcoin has no value without continuous expenditure of energy.
The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto
601–610 of 704 posts
Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto
#602Earlier quoted context omitted.
This is something I’m stumped myself about. HN etc says crypto has no value and I wonder about other things in conventional finance that are of speculative value : Gold - Sure it’s a good store of value as a metal but so is bitcoin. If Gold can be valuable because lots of people value it as a store of value so can Bitcoin. In fact bitcoin is arguably better than Gold. The total wealth of the world is 1000 trillion. B…
> Bitcoin has a non zero floor price. I think anyone would agree with this. I don't. I don't think it's literally zero - even if it drops to $.01 some people will still buy it on the theory that it might go up to $.02. But all of its value is speculative, I don't think it has any intrinsic value (which is equivalent to saying I don't think participating in the crypto economy, smart contracts and all that, has value).…
Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto
#603Earlier quoted context omitted.
Just because the future is uncertain doesn't mean you can't do research to make a reasonable forecast. Typically speculation is specifically buying/selling without any reasoning other than 'I think someone will pay higher for this in the future'. Many assets don't even have to appreciate. A car is an asset if I have paid it off. I don't expect someone to pay me more than I paid for it unless it is a collectible or I…
Then I can say that I've done my research and I think it's reasonable that USD won't remain global reserve currency forever and that it's replacement won't be a governmental currency, but a decentralized one and Bitcoin would be the only reasonable candidate. Does this mean that I'm not speculating all of a sudden because I've done research and came up with a reasonable forecast?
Whether or not your forecast is reasonable or even useful is not within my sphere of knowledge. I can also almost certainly say that the USD wont be the global reserve currency forever, but making decisions based on a forever timeline poses a wide range of risks.
Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto
#604Earlier quoted context omitted.
> If he were to talk about decentralization/distribution vs centralization along with who controls the fiat money supply & who benefits & who does not benefit from the fiat central bank policies, then he would at least begin to broach the subject of why crypto currencies are being adopted. Is that why crypto is being adopted? Are you serious? I bet nearly no one who buys crypto even knows what fiat money is nor have…
> I bet nearly no one who buys crypto even knows what fiat money is You're uninformed. GS, BofA, Barclays, Citi, CS, DB, JPM, MS, UBS, WF and countless funds. The current hype cycle would be nothing without the institutional support. But even before institutional investors started jumping in, traders and other employees of the above institutions have long been a key part of crypto markets.
Again, they do not care about fiat or the Austrian school of economics. Of course they know what those things are but they do not care about them at all.
Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto
#605From the article: > Any application that could be done on a blockchain could be better done on a centralized database. Except crime. Governments, world-wide, may end up emulating China, which is planning to outlaw other crypto-currencies while providing its own. The information gathered by a national government monopolizing crypto-currency is simply too appealing to those that would like to deter crime, stop tax-avoi…
They will just try to turn crypto into the existing banking network by forcing citizen coin holders onto the exchanges, banning transactions from non custodial addresses and continuing to control the on-ramps and off-ramps. This way they can monitor transaction and if they don’t like something or are suspicious they can just seize the funds once they hit an on-ramp/off-ramp. A CBDC will be introduced and all other US…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Executive_Order_6102
Remember, the use of encryption above a certain keyspace is still considered exporting arms, and subject to ITAR.
They will let more suffer from the bubble to allow swift legal reform.
Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto
#606Earlier quoted context omitted.
It’s the crypto people that have to prove that their stuff means something, the burden of proof is on them
What happened to "What is stated without evidence can be dismissed without evidence."?
Nobody has anything to show for it.
And you can state the article is conjecture all you want, but if you don’t substantiate that… welll…
Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto
#607Earlier quoted context omitted.
In most modern economies fiat is backed by the 'full faith and credit' of the issuing government, which requires more young people paying into the pension system than retirees drawing from it. That's as clear an example of a Ponzi scheme as can be imagined, albeit moving on a slower timeframe than we usually think of such things working.
Fiat is backed by the insistence of the issuing government that you pay your taxes in that denomination. It has very little to do with pension systems, except to the extent that the government runs those also denominated in dollars. But the US could end social security tomorrow and as long as it still required taxes and tariffs in the form of dollars, the dollar would still have value.
Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto
#608Earlier quoted context omitted.
Being insulting shows you don't actually have an argument. We know "trading stocks" is a valuable service. We're looking for a valuable service that requires crypto .
How am I being insulting? What's the insult? ENS?
Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto
#609Earlier quoted context omitted.
HN’s attitude is very surprising to me. I would think that they could get very excited about flash loans, decentralized exchanges (automated market makers), daos, and other concrete innovations coming out of crypto asset projects. I think it’s mostly jealousy and a feeling that they missed the boat, so they want to see it sink. I think that because I’ve had the feeling many times. They may not realize these are early…
I suspect that much of HN, either directly or via their backers/employers, also comes out of the angel-investment scene and has emotional ties to the more conventional funding mechanisms that were themselves disruptive to traditional finance. "You can't make someone understand something when their income depends on not understanding it" and all that.
I do have an extensive economics education, and deep and wide IT experience.
I do not understand how crypto is any use for anything that is not illegal and/or immoral.
My conclusion is that it is largely for illegal transactions and scams.
Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto
#610Earlier quoted context omitted.
"You're old and foolish" is also not an argument in favor of cryptocurrencies.
You don't get it do you? There is no point in giving arguments to people who don't understand. All this HN discussions have proven that already, no? Do you really think at this point you or me are going to change someones opinion with arguments?
No crypto booster has an answer to: It is not useful
Or It is a huge waste of energy
Or All the technology involved has better counterparts
I do not think I will change your mind, but others are reading this