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The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

stephendiehl.com

521–530 of 704 posts

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#521

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Bitcoin in particular is used as a store of value, or a form of "digital gold". Everything is speculation (you hope it goes up in the future, but no one knows for sure), but large corporations are increasingly keeping a balance in Bitcoin, as are wealthy individuals and fund managers. To understand its place in the world, you need to be a bit more familiar with government bond yield and risks, money creation/monetary…

You got brainwashed into believing this by Reddit. Back in 2017 when Bitcoin was utterly crippled in usability and scalability, the centralized forums upon which information was flowing were seized by bad actors and used to manufacture this narrative. Bitcoin was intended to be peer to peer money, not digital gold.

Peer to peer money (low transaction cost, high scalability) is not immediately possible without tradeoffs to decentralization.

You can increase block sizes to a degree, but that threatens decentralization by making it difficult/expensive for nodes to sync and store the chain.

We have an experiment called Bitcoin Cash and endless other forks promising low fees, but adoption has not followed.

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#522

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Sounds like you're being deliberately picky to get your point across that crypto is shit.

Being insulting shows you don't actually have an argument. We know "trading stocks" is a valuable service. We're looking for a valuable service that requires crypto .

How am I being insulting? What's the insult? ENS?

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#523
post #63

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That argument doesn't work with currency, because money requires trust by definition (as opposed to immediate barter), and, as a backup -- enforcement. In the end, it's just a question of whether you trust a centralised authority that's ultimate accountable, however imperfectly, or decentralised authorities that are accountable only to themselves and have no enforcement power. If you give me bitcoin and I don't give…

I'll give you a bad review in a venue where your reputation is more valuable than the trade or I wouldn't trade with you to begin with. Or I would insist on an escrowed bond. There's many other ways than inserting a monopoly on violence dispensing political authority into the loop and still ensuring that transactions are suitably reliable. Big sticks just aren't a very efficient solution.

That only strengthens the article's author's point. Cyber currency just serves as a vessel for a fringe political group's beliefs, which, however strong, are not popular.

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#524
post #216

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> All of Stellar, Hedera and Algorand have a big centralization problem, they have solved nothing. Such claims must be further substantiated with strong and sufficient evidence. Elaborate your claim further with each cryptocurrency with valid sources, otherwise your claim is baseless. > Stellar and Ripple aren't even proper cryptocurrencies unless you allow for a very lenient definition. So what is a 'proper' / 'real…

> Such claims must be further substantiated with strong and sufficient evidence. No, it's the other way around. Bitcoin only employed approaches that were well-researched already, the innovation essentially was combining these together. The projects I mentioned claim that they can achieve better performance without the known costs of bitcoin (really slow, really energetically expensive). It is up to them to post proo…

> No...

So you have no evidence or sources to your previous claims? As expected.

> Projects with some form of blockchain, which Stellar and Ripple don't have.

Projects such as what? Yet again no examples or sources given and more unfounded claims.

> I only replied with the projects named by posters before me. Nano has no blockchain, only a DAG (a proven, decades-old data structure used e.g. in spreadsheets).

And your point is all of the other projects (including Nano) are not 'blockchains' nor are they 'cryptocurrencies', because it is not mineable and they have 'invented their own consensus protocol'. First of all evidence that it isn't a 'blockchain'? Secondly, so I can modify the very first transaction in each of these 'conventional databases' right now?

Before you avoid giving sources again, what examples satisfies your definition of a 'proper' cryptocurrency and the claims that the aforementioned projects are not 'blockchains' or 'cryptocurrencies' or even that they are 'centralized'?

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#525

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HN’s attitude is very surprising to me. I would think that they could get very excited about flash loans, decentralized exchanges (automated market makers), daos, and other concrete innovations coming out of crypto asset projects. I think it’s mostly jealousy and a feeling that they missed the boat, so they want to see it sink. I think that because I’ve had the feeling many times. They may not realize these are early…

I was excited 4 years ago when I first discovered these crypto concepts. As time has gone on and I've learned more about them, they are less interesting and come with a ton of baggage. There are interesting things like formal verification, but I expect that these types of things will be taken without the blockchain. You shouldn't dismiss HN attitudes as jealousy or asleep, that is derogatory.

I read the O'Reilly book. I (superficially) grasp the crypto and the distributed database concepts.

What doesn't make sense is how the rest of the system turns into real transactions.

PREDICTION: in another decade, this shall have arrived or been proven a fad.

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#526
post #74

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> That said digital cash and tokens and NFTs do have value and I expect them to get even more popular. Literally all my cash is already digital.

That is impossible: the numbers on your bankaccount are multiplied, thanks to fractional reserve. The cash in your hand is not. Maybe not a big deal now, but at some point it might be. And then it's "surprise! The numbers on your account != cash in your hand"

How do I put bitcoins in my hand? Sounds painful.

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#527

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That's one way of looking at it, but most stocks don't pay dividends, so that "equity" is also not that tangible either, unless you're like a majority shareholder that you can change company direction. When you buy a stock, that money doesn't go to the company, it goes to previous investor, unless the company issues more stock (usually the opposite happens). Also, Bitcoin's success doesn't mean those companies will s…

A stock literally represents a unit of ownership of the underlying company. No, it's not tangible in the "I can touch it" sense - unless you get a LOT of it as you said, but it's backed by hundreds of years of contract law precedent. When I own stock I get quarterly reports on the performance of the company - revenue, profit, etc. - these allow me to evaluate whether I think the company is doing well or poorly and ga…

You can evaluate Bitcoin by how many users it has, how many transactions it facilitates, what kind of new concepts it enables, the usefulness of un-censorability, how many countries are adopting it (or likely to adopt it), etc.

If you're going to use athletes past performance for betting, you can always use Bitcoin's past performance of 300% YoY appreciation for forecasting it's price too, but we both know that's useless.

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#528

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Which could be compelling if you lived in a society where the banks were extremely unstable, but looks terrible if you live in one with regulation, deposit insurance and and other account protections.

You weren't here in 2008?

I was (if 'here' is the US), and I didn't lose money in my bank accounts?

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#529
post #112

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Only if you do your transaction on the blockchain. Most are done internally. It's like your bank is not sending someone with a suitcase full of money just because you pay your phone bill.

It's strange to me how the only two options are "pay obscene transaction fees" or "just keep your crypto in a centralized exchange and hope they don't go MtGox". Is it impossible to achieve the stated benefit of being able to make quick and easy transactions and being decentralized? I spent some time researching the best low transaction fee easily accessible crypto for making a sort of crypto Patreon, but the vast va…

Here are some projects working towards addressing the issues of blockchain scalability:

- Lightning network on bitcoin. Super cheap and fast transactions, makes micropayments a reality (this is what Twitter is using)

- Layer 2 solutions on Ethereum. There are two optimistic rollups currently on main net (Arbitrum and Optimism). Reddit has recently committed to building on Arbitrum. There are also ZK rollups (starkware, zksync) coming in the next year or so.

- Less decentralized layer 1 chains like Solana, Avalanche, BSC, Fantom

It's unfortunate that people looking to enter the space have a hard time finding real and relevant info. Not sure what the solution is for fixing the information problem, but there are lots of people building real tech in the space

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#530
> I’m not alone in believing in the fundamental technical uselessness of blockchains.

Hmmm.

Codd delivered "A Relational Model of Data for Large Shared Data Banks" in 1970, and it took something like a decade (waves hands) for RDBMS systems to appear. Packet-switched networks, anyone?

So it seems perhaps hasty to write off the blockchain entirely, though currently the idea seems to need a saner catalyst than these various coins to bring it to fruition.

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