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The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

stephendiehl.com

441–450 of 704 posts

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#441

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem with bank accounts is the banks. The promise of crypto is that you don't need to trust any institution, such as a bank, to keep track of your money.

Which could be compelling if you lived in a society where the banks were extremely unstable, but looks terrible if you live in one with regulation, deposit insurance and and other account protections.

You weren't here in 2008?

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#442
post #407

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>go read the UniswapV2 contract. If you don’t think that’s a cool innovation, please come back and let me know, I’m interested. I feel like the coolness of Uniswap requires putting the cart before the horse. If I'm not convinced of the real utility of these tokens, why would I be impressed with the ability to move them around in various clever ways? I need to see a valuable external use case before I can see the valu…

The automated market maker design of Uniswap is useful even for non-blockchain based scripts to e.g. trade stocks digitally. It's just a simple way of creating an orderbook and liquidity. So you don't need to be convinced of the real utilities of tokens to appreciate the brilliance of the design.

Sure, but it's being presented as a reason to be excited about crypto, so any non-crypto applications aren't really relevant here.

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#443

Earlier quoted context omitted.

KYC laws aimed at anti-money laundering; any large movement of money has to be between trusted parties. Which means a verification process that is more thorough the more money you move around.

Right, but that just means some paperwork gets filed when you attempt to do large transactions with cash, not that it's literally illegal to do those transactions. I don't understand why the toplevel comment says it's illegal to buy stocks. It seems like it would be merely very difficult, not illegal. I think your biggest problem would be finding a broker that would accept a pile of cash to buy you stocks with, rathe…

They're saying it's illegal because a random person can't just walk into a bank with a proverbial suitcase full of cash, and deposit it, and use that money to buy stocks. It's quite possible, and certain people do it regularly, but these aren't hypothetical people with no background. These are people known to the bank, its manager, have a thoroughly checked back story, and a reason for doing this, likely as the owner of a mostly cash business. It's not a one time "oh I just got lucky at Vegas, don't mind me" story.

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#444

Earlier quoted context omitted.

See, I think you're disconnecting two issues which are inherently related. Fraud is not going anywhere anytime soon. If you have no proposed mechanism to reconcile fraud, I'd argue there's not any true value stored. If the proposed mechanism is "just use the existing government" then the whole house of cards in built on the back of that central authority enforcing ownership for you anyways in which case why not just…

The reason I am disconnecting those issues is that Bitcoin was never designed to solve the type of fraud you're talking about. There is no proposed mechanism to solve it, because it's outside of it's scope. It was designed to solve a specific set of frauds related with having a central authority though: censoring people from financial system, seizing your savings from your bank account and debasing the currency for t…

But now we're back to a spot where bitcoin doesn't work as a fungible good without an appeal to an outside authority of some sort. Whether that's escrow/insurance/legal contract/etc.

We started with:

"Anyone who says blockchain-driven assets don't have intrinsic value seems to ignore the value of trust - the ability to trust that the ledger is accurate seems extremely valuable."

Except the ledger doesn't actually provide any remedy to counter-party risk at all - I still have to trust a 3rd party at the time of exchange.

So the value of bitcoin is entirely dependent on the risk of the counter-party (because I have to pay to offset that risk, whether that's insurance, a private militia, legal contract enforced by a gov that I pay taxes to, simply eating the lost coins, etc)

Which means the intrinsic value of bitcoin is dependent on my ability to offset that risk - which I realistically (as a law abiding citizen) have to rely on the government to do, because the government has a monopoly on violence and imprisonment.

Which means the intrinsic value of a bitcoin is entirely at the whim of government control anyways. (which we already have an intuitive understanding of - this is why the price will fluctuate so much when news about government regulation or enforcement breaks).

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#445
I agree with the author but in the world of startup.. people come to your product/solution only if there is some issue with existing system. With crypto coins, a need is established.

Even though I agree that current crypto coins have no clear value, there is some aspect of it which people want but was probably not done right or sometimes illegal

Imagine being in 90s and everyone doing some silly websites and saying it is future. Then came the giants which actually solved the problem for the masses

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#446
post #19

I think the biggest lesson here is that people really, really love unregulated gambling. The same way they love doing drugs, making narcotics an extremely profitable business. If we don’t legalize the things our population deeply desire, the criminal elements are more than happy to step up and provide said services.

The authors example use cases about a database doing everything except crime summarizes it well. One persons crime is another persons freedom. If you rephrased it as saying, the only thing blockchains provide that a database doesn't is freedom, I think the resounding response would be: Yes. What I think anti-crypto people object to is the freedom of others, because it represents a limit and undermines the necessary a…

The very same people complain about Nanny State when they’re stopped from getting scammed, and scream for justice and legal action once they manage to get scammed after all.

See also: people getting absolutely furious when the bank stops them from wiring money to Nigerian scammers for their million-dollar lottery win - and then demanding the same bank reverses the transactions after the jig is up.

They want to freely gamble with cryptos now that everything is going to the moon, but are going to be demanding answers once the bubble pops and the casino takes their life savings

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#447

If anything, I think stablecoins are way more dangerous than the author indicates. People talk about things like Bitcoin as a threat to sovereign currencies, and they are, as competitors, of sorts. But stablecoins are another matter entirely. One huge aspect of the value of sovereign currencies is that they are instruments of law -- courts will settle in them as a lowest common denominator, and it is safe to use them…

> Stablecoins piggyback on the legal aspects of dollars, and as long as you treat them as dollar-denominated assets, you're fine. The second you treat them as dollar-equivalents, you run the risk of a change in the value of that asset being something that the government is forced into supporting.

Why is that scenario worse than now? Why is bank the preferred medium to support when they default?

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#448

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Have you seen the price of bitcoin evolve? We recently had 2 all time highs again. You must be really stupid to lose money on that.

hindsight is 20/20

The parent commentor said the losers keep quiet. But in this market, it's really hard to be a loser.

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#449

Earlier quoted context omitted.

See, I think you're disconnecting two issues which are inherently related. Fraud is not going anywhere anytime soon. If you have no proposed mechanism to reconcile fraud, I'd argue there's not any true value stored. If the proposed mechanism is "just use the existing government" then the whole house of cards in built on the back of that central authority enforcing ownership for you anyways in which case why not just…

The reason I am disconnecting those issues is that Bitcoin was never designed to solve the type of fraud you're talking about. There is no proposed mechanism to solve it, because it's outside of it's scope. It was designed to solve a specific set of frauds related with having a central authority though: censoring people from financial system, seizing your savings from your bank account and debasing the currency for t…

> seizing your savings

If I'm understanding this thread, you're saying that bit coin is simultaneously designed to allow for this kind of seizure and not.

Swap the mtGox hacker with the government.

It's useful keeping the two problems connected though, since both are features of competing payment methods

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#450
> Smart contracts are, in database terminology, stored procedures that run one of the various incarnations of distributed databases these technologies are built on.

This is a classic misrepresentation of the properties of a smart contract. It's nothing like a procedure and the environment that its executed is different.

A database procedure can be deployed, run and deleted by anyone being a database admin. Anyone else cannot even see the procedures. A procedure can be edited mid-lifecycle too. E.g. we cannot see DB procedures of FB, neither can we interact with them.

A database has mutable state. And every data base makes trust assumptions about the nodes and their operators. You wouldn't invite a malicious actor to run a node in your regular DB cluster.

Anyone can host a blockchain node but not all state can be arbitrarily edited. That may require "work" as in "Proof of Work".

A smart contract can be published by anyone, be run by anyone and it cannot be updated. And it's internal state can be read after any transaction. DB procedures have no internal state that's persisted. They are functional and pure. They update the DB records.

Smart contracts and DB procedures are very different.

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