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The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

stephendiehl.com

161–170 of 704 posts

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#161

Earlier quoted context omitted.

One IMO realistic use-case is providing a wealth preservation mechanism for people living in a country with a corrupt government that's experiencing hyperinflation, for example Lebanon.

> One IMO realistic use-case is providing a wealth preservation Any other fiat currency already provides this such as usd, euro, Israeli currency etc and they are at least currently far easier to aquire and done have any gas feeds other than consumption tax if any On Lebanon where electricity is unreliable seems like a particularly bad idea to use any sort of Crypto, let alone the user friction as a consequence of ne…

True but opening foreign bank accounts is difficult and like western countries physical cash can be legally seized by authorities even if it was acquired legally.

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#162

If anything, I think stablecoins are way more dangerous than the author indicates. People talk about things like Bitcoin as a threat to sovereign currencies, and they are, as competitors, of sorts. But stablecoins are another matter entirely. One huge aspect of the value of sovereign currencies is that they are instruments of law -- courts will settle in them as a lowest common denominator, and it is safe to use them…

Stablecoins are dangerous because they have the potential to change the current selection effects on the elite. For one thing, stablecoins subvert the ability of the Federal Reserve to print money and give it to their friends at Goldman Sachs et al --- normally this is supposed to result in their friends have a larger fraction of money than they previously had. You start with 1 dollar, David at Goldman Sachs starts with 1 dollar, you each have 50% of the wealth in the "nation." David and his friends start printing themselves money, soon they have 99 dollars and you have 1, and you can't compete because they'll lock you up with violence for being a "counterfeiter." That's how inflation works.

When there's stablecoin, you just put your dollar in stablecoin before they print the money, the dollar inflates, stablecoin goes up proportionately, you spend the stablecoin and things remain fair.

This obviously curtails the ability of the ruling class to reproduce itself. More than that, if the pool of people getting billions through stablecoins is more random than the pool of people who got rich on the dollar, then the ruling class will change to be more representative of the population as a whole.

This could cause massive cultural changes, consequently.

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#163
post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For some reason all ransoms are requested in cryptocurrencies as of late. There must be a reason, hmm...

" as mainstream adoption of cryptocurrency has grown, the percentage of transactions used to promote or conceal crime has also decreased." - FinCEN Chief Digital Currency Advisor, Michele Korver https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2021/07/06/fincen-hires-doj-...

Keyword there is percentage.

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#164
post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For some reason all ransoms are requested in cryptocurrencies as of late. There must be a reason, hmm...

" as mainstream adoption of cryptocurrency has grown, the percentage of transactions used to promote or conceal crime has also decreased." - FinCEN Chief Digital Currency Advisor, Michele Korver https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2021/07/06/fincen-hires-doj-...

"As deaths due to covid increased, the percentage of deaths due to car crashes has decreased"

I somehow think that doesn't mean we made any progress in car/traffic safety. And should not be used as an argument to dismiss/minimize the impact of traffic fatalities.

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#166

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, this is what I don't understand from the naysayers. Anyone who says blockchain-driven assets don't have intrinsic value seems to ignore the value of trust - the ability to trust that the ledger is accurate seems extremely valuable. The author of the article skips over the question entirely, maybe he's addressed it elsewhere, but if the crypto skeptics continue to ignore one of its primary value propositions, I…

But that ledger isn't accurate. It's just distributed and difficult to change. I technically am the owner of (quite a few) bitcoin that were being processed by MtGox when they imploded. The wallet they were in at the time was emptied and no longer exists. I still receive the relevant court documents as the case continues still. As far as the ledger is concerned - they are no longer mine. --- So question to you: How d…

Not your keys not your coins. Unless you trust some central authority to take care of you, which you should by now understand that doesn't always work, and when it doesn't work, it's usually a spectacular failure.

So to answer your questions. Although possible, no reconcile is the pure spirit of a trustless network. Now? you make sure to avoid custodian services and keep your keys safe. or stay away from crypto until/if it becomes as ubiquitous as the Internet.

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#167

“Let me explain why crypto is bad by showing how it doesn’t fit neatly into the definitions of any of the monetary instruments that preceded it”

Also although I don't mention it in this article, I am the CTO of a competing fintech firm

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#168
post #124

Decentralisation offers the following value over centralisation: * Control by a majority, not a minority. (democratic) * Open ecosystem that visible and able to be analysed by anyone (transparent) * Immutable (no one makes up assets without everyone knowing about it) * Fair. Same price for everyone at all times, no chance of a monopoly. Those don't exist in central systems and so the price you must pay for that is sp…

> Control by a majority, not a minority. (democratic)

In what way is that even remotely true for any major cryptocurrency?

>Open ecosystem that visible and able to be analysed by anyone (transparent)

Right. How is that Tether audit going again? And how did all that transparency prevent this week's multimillion dollar Oopsie?

> Immutable (no one makes up assets without everyone knowing about it)

Except, you know, the entire thing being made up by people who automatically get ridiculously large shares of the pie as "early adopters".

> Fair. Same price for everyone at all times, no chance of a monopoly.

See above. And do you have any idea how rampant market manipulation is?

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#169
post #30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A blockchain doesn’t provide trust, though. A person who doesn’t understand technology doesn’t trust a distributed ledger, but they do trust their centralised bank because it’s regulated.

You sound privileged enough to have access to a reliable and trustworthy bank. Many, many people aren't as lucky.

So this person lives in a place they can't trust banks...

But they have access to computers, internet, enough money to pay the tx fees of cryptocurrencies... amazing

Re: The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto

#170

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It seems like the people most upset by money printing learned to be upset by money printing from crypto propaganda.

Propaganda? Does it matter where they learned it as long as it's true and factual?

How is it true and factual? The inflation rate is set, it is high now and will be lower in the future to account for that. If you are planning to keep millions/billions sitting around in cash for a decade, instead of investing into assets where it works for you and everyone else, you are the reason we have the inflation rate and deserve to lose out to inflation.

A set yearly inflation rate incentivizes actual investment instead of currency speculation. Basically the system we have now exists to prevent what crypto enthusiasts are trying to push on us: a return to a super volatile currency that when it crashed wasn’t able to be fixed by just printing more money temporarily.

When you hear about things as complex as Monetary Policy, it is best to assume that lots of people have thought about why it is the way it is and why that’s preferable. The “gold standard” and the hoarding of wealth allowed things like feudalism to exist where lords just sat on their land and gold and were richer every year.

Yeah you can pull the “the rich get richer today too” card but so do poor people if they invest in assets, and the difference is that every wealthy person has almost all of their wealth invested in the US economy in order to beat the risk free and inflation rate.

I really, really am sick of the bullshit around the big L Libertarian party (and the crypto enthusiasts who identify with them.) Spreading lies about the evil fed and the evil inflation rate, both of which are a huge improvement over the constant depressions we had prior to this century.

It took thousands of years for people to develop the sophisticated monetary policy we currently have that allows our economy to be extremely stable and continuously grow, generations of very bright people, and anarcho-capitalists want to throw that away to go back to “basics.” At the very least you could do all those people, and the citizens of the world, the courtesy of understanding why were all in favor of yearly inflation (even if we bitch about prices going up.)

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