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How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

ourworldindata.org

61–70 of 330 posts

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#61
This is fine but still overlooks sample bias.

I.e older and more susceptible to illness people like 70 year olds are more likely to be vaxxed than 25 year olds. Had the vaccination rate been constant across ages, the unvaccinated death rate would be far higher and the vaccinated death rate far lower. It’s bad stats to not account for the population differences like that one.

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#62
post #7

I mean can we just get over this already? I feel like the more effort that we spend trying to prove that vaccines work, the more merit the anti-vax movement gains. Can we just ignore those people or simply just laugh at them and move on?

We can't move on when a substantial part of the population remains unvaccinated. With hospitals in the brink of collapse, there would be no return to normality any time soon.

Which hospitals?

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#63

The average person (vax or anti-vax) will read this to the end, maybe even understand the numbers but then think "well, but half of COVID deaths are among the vaccinated". 90% of people know that Stats is the hardest math there is and the other 15% don't get it.

These days you can't rely even on scientists to interpret results correctly. I see interpretation problems almost every other paper I read that has any non trivial research that involves statistics.

Vast majority of people are functional illiterates when it comes to statistics. How you present statistics is more important than what the data actually says.

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#65
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We can't move on when a substantial part of the population remains unvaccinated. With hospitals in the brink of collapse, there would be no return to normality any time soon.

> when a substantial part of the population remains unvaccinated It's a vanishing minority of crazies. 99.9% of over 65-year olds have had one jab; 80% of those over 12 [1]. Close to a fifth of the population has had their booster. This debate is over. The people who are left will either be nudged by mandates or self-isolate from areas of dense population or economic activity, which automatically reduces their risk t…

> 99.9% of over 65-year olds have had one jab;

Wow, that's amazing. As someone who has followed the covid stuff pretty closely, that's very surprising to me. I would have guessed it would be around 95%.

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#66
post #38

Why is the death rate in the US plummeting among the unvaccinated? Is it just less spread all around?

Probably a few things. Younger people getting it as schools open up, and it has already killed a lot of the people that it was able to kill.

> Younger people getting it as schools open up

Wouldn't that cause an increase in the death rate among the unvaccinated?

AFAIK this data isn't "covid deaths/people who got covid", it's "covid deaths/the entire population".

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#68
post #52
post #10

Wow how come the US death rate amongst the unvaccinated is so much higher? It's peaking at 18%. Is that where we would be if there was no vaccine? It would also help to see some data on vaccine effectiveness against long covid. Edit: I need to learn to read more carefully. As others have pointed out it 18/100000. My panic is over.

But still, it is worth noting that the peak US vaccinated death rates on those charts (e.g. ~1.47 / 100k for Pfizer) are higher than the current _unvaccinated_ death rate in Chile. Vaccination contribute an order of magnitude decrease in the death rate, but surges can contribute an order of magnitude difference as well, within a country over time or between countries. Vaccines matter a lot, but all the other public h…

The numbers are small and the risk concentrated in the elderly ailing population such that an outbreak in nursing homes can skew the overall numbers one way or another, depending on lack of PCR tests or over-sensitive PCR tests. These numbers are mostly useful for detecting general trends, e.g. are the cases going up or down, what is the O(death risk)?. Strictly comparing different locales is not going to be very informative

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#69
post #61

This is fine but still overlooks sample bias. I.e older and more susceptible to illness people like 70 year olds are more likely to be vaxxed than 25 year olds. Had the vaccination rate been constant across ages, the unvaccinated death rate would be far higher and the vaccinated death rate far lower. It’s bad stats to not account for the population differences like that one.

The charts offer an age breakdown. Click the "Change age group" button.

Re: How death rates from Covid-19 differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated

#70
Maximum death rate for all age groups with Moderna, which at least according to these plots provides the lowest death rate, is at 0.8/100_000 in August 2021 for all age groups. Maximum death rate for the unvaccinated of age 12-17 is at 0.17/100_000, for age 18-29 it is 0.76/100_000, also in August 2021.

So even unvaccinated younger people (age < 30) are better off than the average vaccinated Joe. The thing is, so far I have pretty much never heard of this in my countries media, at least to me it sounds like "vaccinate absolutely everyone or we are all doomed", which according to this data is not the case.

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