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Experts from a world that no longer exists

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Re: Experts from a world that no longer exists

#2
This article is uncannily apropos for HN.

The spectrum of opinions towards emerging technologies is so starkly colored by the eras during which practitioners did their primary work.

It reminds me of the Heinlein quote from “A Door into Summer”, “When railroading time comes you can railroad—but not before.”

Re: Experts from a world that no longer exists

#4
> Some expertise is timeless. A few behaviors always repeat. They’re often the most important things to pay attention to.

AKA: wisdom. Seek, cherish, and protect that. Wisdom is functional.

'Expertise' is often knowledge if the current/historical state of affairs. When a dam breaks:

> It usually means other parts of the system have evolved in a way that allows what was once impossible to now become practical.

The state of the hardware, the software, and the peopleware at any moment in time is an Overton Window.

Re: Experts from a world that no longer exists

#5
post #3

There was an amusing example of this yesterday with The Economist saying, `The sharp increase in inflation over the past year has blindsided many economists. Almost no one saw it coming` https://twitter.com/TheEconomist/status/1461651190144503808

ZeroHedge has predicted 83 of the last 7 downturns.

Re: Experts from a world that no longer exists

#8
post #4

> Some expertise is timeless. A few behaviors always repeat. They’re often the most important things to pay attention to. AKA: wisdom. Seek, cherish, and protect that. Wisdom is functional. 'Expertise' is often knowledge if the current/historical state of affairs. When a dam breaks: > It usually means other parts of the system have evolved in a way that allows what was once impossible to now become practical. The sta…

TIL Overton Window: "The Overton window is the range of policies politically acceptable to the mainstream population at a given time. It is also known as the window of discourse." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overton_window A very useful concept.
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