Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions? • Hacker News Board

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#191

Post by timdaub » Sat, Nov 20, 2021, 10:59 AM UTC

- Someone will create an AI that can generate artificially and unnatural looking sequences of sound and images that will make humans mega horny because it's hacking the human sexuality.

- The orange guy from the US will say something stupid

- Bitcoin

- People will not start liking Zuck more

- The rich will get richer

- In a final implosion Elon will say something so incredibly stupid that he'll get canceled indefinitely

- Software devs become the new "bankers". Everyone hates them.

- China will go full nationalism. Further evidence of genocide will be discovered

- COVID

- Self-driving cars will become the new norm but nobody gives a shit.

- Bikes are the new cars. Bike innovation incoming.

- Food delivery startups will cease to exist. Only the few that pay their workers super badly will continue to exist

- It's getting hot in here.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#192

Post by timdaub » Sat, Nov 20, 2021, 11:03 AM UTC

frontman1988 wrote: post #122

A physical in ear device which does real time translation of almost all major languages. A successful drone assassination of a world leader by terrorists. Massive explosion in international tourism at some point. Great leaps in biotechnology which has surprising implications. Increasing geopolitical tensions due to a flexing China and insecure America.

loving that ear device

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#193

Post by timdaub » Sat, Nov 20, 2021, 11:04 AM UTC

marginalia_nu wrote: post #61

Social media-reality and outside-your-window reality will finally diverge so much people will begin to notice.

hahaha nooo. They won't notice!

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#194

Post by timdaub » Sat, Nov 20, 2021, 11:14 AM UTC

timdaub wrote: post #191

- Someone will create an AI that can generate artificially and unnatural looking sequences of sound and images that will make humans mega horny because it's hacking the human sexuality. - The orange guy from the US will say something stupid - Bitcoin - People will not start liking Zuck more - The rich will get richer - In a final implosion Elon will say something so incredibly stupid that he'll get canceled indefinit…

Actually, now that I'm thinking. It would be kinda revolutionary if Ape released the iBike that is a high tech and good looking ebike.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#195

Post by qwertox » Sat, Nov 20, 2021, 1:02 PM UTC

jmnicolas wrote: post #103

qwertox wrote: post #78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Just out of curiosity, what is the reasoning behind you not getting vaccinated?

Basically I got COVID in January and I don't trust the safety of the vaccines. If they're so safe, why big pharma and my government aren't liable? Why all the censorship about adverse effects? I know one man with thrombosis and another one with Guillain Barré syndrome. My sister lost conscientiousness after the second shot. One of my cousin has extraordinary abundant periods. A colleague told me that his running time…

That sounds scary. I'm vaccinated twice and I've decided that I won't mix vaccines for the booster. I'm staying with what I know isn't hurting me.

Yet I'm tracking a lot of my sporting data (I do at least 1h of bike riding a day) and noticed that I'm not as energetic as half a year ago. But this may also be because of an accident I had where I hurt my shoulder pretty bad and I'm also not eating as much in order to loose some weight. I've been thinking about analyzing all that data to find out when this "decay" started.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#196

Post by moneywoes » Sat, Nov 20, 2021, 2:32 PM UTC

errantmind wrote: post #190

hereforphone wrote: post #113

Hackernews comments will continue to devolve and become more Reddit-like on the whole. Someone will begin working on an alternative that will make them rich in 2024.

It already exists. I'm keeping it to myself.

The lobster one?

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#197

Post by moneywoes » Sat, Nov 20, 2021, 2:33 PM UTC

5F7bGnd6fWJ66xN wrote: post #141

Inflation rate would be worse than expected, between 7-10% Fed will raise rates after mid-term only. Stock market will not crash until after Fed raises rates Supply chain bottlenecks will continue into 2023 FAANG will continue to grow bigger. Regulation will not be finalized. SaaS book will falter as FAANG make SaaS business models a feature. M&A of SaaS companies being absorbed into FAANGs will happen Cloud will mov…

SaaS book will falter as FAANG make SaaS business models a feature

Can you expand on this? It seems as if even DTC businesses are being consolidated as well

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#198

Post by jstx1 » Sat, Nov 20, 2021, 2:43 PM UTC

hereforphone wrote: post #113

Hackernews comments will continue to devolve and become more Reddit-like on the whole. Someone will begin working on an alternative that will make them rich in 2024.

> alternative that will make them rich

Given that HN doesn't make money, I doubt that any alternative would either.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#199

Post by jstx1 » Sat, Nov 20, 2021, 2:45 PM UTC

mg wrote: post #21

I wouldn't be surprised if Tesla gets their self driving software to a human level within the next 5 years. And that this will be a huge wake-up call for mankind. To think about the future in the face of AI. I often watch videos of people who drive with FSD for the first time. Those are the most intense reactions to a product I can remember. If one day we wake up and see self driving cars all around us, we will start…

You could have made the same prediction for the past 6-7 years and you would have been wrong every time. Sure, it might happen some day but I don't know why 2022 should be different from 2021.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#200

Post by tata71 » Sat, Nov 20, 2021, 3:15 PM UTC

AnimalMuppet wrote: post #135

jeffreyrogers wrote: post #52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Crypto can't be a real inflation hedge because it's not a productive asset (this is not a criticism). It may be going up because people are worried about inflation and so are moving some money to riskier assets that offer a higher return, but if inflation were to continue people would be forced to move their crypto assets to things like food, housing, equipment, that are actually productive, which would drive down th…

Gold isn't a productive asset either, but people all around the world use gold as, essentially, a short against fiat currencies. Crypto could take over that role; I'm not sure that it will.

It already has.

Has outperformed gold the last decade.