Earlier quoted context omitted.
Do you publish some number about how sure you are?
Yes, we carefully explain the statistical confidence of our detections in each discovery paper, and there are dozens of methods papers that go into excruciating detail on those techniques. Prior to our first detection, the overwhelming prime directive of our collaboration was _not to make a false detection_ and we went to insane lengths to avoid one; e.g., we had a small team of people secretly injecting false signal…
Astrophysicists unveil glut of gravitational-wave detections
31–40 of 108 posts
Re: Astrophysicists unveil glut of gravitational-wave detections
#32the Gravitational Observatories are so impressive to me - I can remember reading about them being theoretical well before LIGO ever started construction, and the fact that theyre here and working just like we expected is so amazing. I can't wait until we have LISA in space! But its so strange when we shut it off to do upgrades and stuff - like I totally understand why we have to do it, but its like we finally turned…
Why would you have FOMO? Why is any particular gravitational wave important enough that you'd worry about missing it? I'm not trying to hassle you here, I'm genuinely perplexed by this attitude.
The last decent naked eye supernova was the crab nebula in 1054.
It would be a real shame to miss the next one in this galaxy.
Other "rare" (non-gravitational wave) events I can think of are: the Shoemaker Levy comet hitting Jupiter, the Carrington Event in 1859, Betelgeuse dramatically dimming (last year).
Re: Astrophysicists unveil glut of gravitational-wave detections
#33Just curious, if we have gravitational waves, what are the wave lengths?
Re: Astrophysicists unveil glut of gravitational-wave detections
#34Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yes, we carefully explain the statistical confidence of our detections in each discovery paper, and there are dozens of methods papers that go into excruciating detail on those techniques. Prior to our first detection, the overwhelming prime directive of our collaboration was _not to make a false detection_ and we went to insane lengths to avoid one; e.g., we had a small team of people secretly injecting false signal…
Has LIGO ever responded to Sabine Hossenfelder's claims? http://backreaction.blogspot.com/2019/09/whats-up-with-ligo....
Re: Astrophysicists unveil glut of gravitational-wave detections
#35The article mentions the new KAGRA detector in Japan joining the group. Does anyone know: how does the accuracy improve as more detectors come online? Will we see a day where we have 20, 50, 100 detectors around the globe and events are near-certain because so many detectors see them? Or is the diminishing returns, and 4 detectors is already too many?
Additional detectors improve our ability to detect somewhat (assuming they're of similar sensitivity -- otherwise they can actually hurt our overall network sensitivity!). But the _real_ advantage is in source localization to guide multi-messenger (optical/gamma/neutrino) followup, which is where many of the most important discoveries will come from. It's like triangulation. Given that an observatory costs on the ord…
Re: Astrophysicists unveil glut of gravitational-wave detections
#36Earlier quoted context omitted.
That sounds hilarious, but you must be quite unique in having this approach right? Or are the particule physics people playing similar games?
Unique as far as I know, at least in a scientific collaboration like ours. But we were unusually sensitive to the risk of false detections given (a) skepticism of LIGO's prospects from other physicists, and (b) the lingering stain of a false detection claim, from a bar detector, a few decades earlier. We believed that if we had announced a discovery that turned out to be wrong, it would probably have meant the end of…
This is now my favorite AMA
Re: Astrophysicists unveil glut of gravitational-wave detections
#37Just curious, if we have gravitational waves, what are the wave lengths?
Re: Astrophysicists unveil glut of gravitational-wave detections
#38Earlier quoted context omitted.
Why would you have FOMO? Why is any particular gravitational wave important enough that you'd worry about missing it? I'm not trying to hassle you here, I'm genuinely perplexed by this attitude.
Close by, interesting astronomical events are rare. The last decent naked eye supernova was the crab nebula in 1054. It would be a real shame to miss the next one in this galaxy. Other "rare" (non-gravitational wave) events I can think of are: the Shoemaker Levy comet hitting Jupiter, the Carrington Event in 1859, Betelgeuse dramatically dimming (last year).
Re: Astrophysicists unveil glut of gravitational-wave detections
#39Earlier quoted context omitted.
I used to work in a library and we all had a similar feeling about books. They were all valuable and to be preserved! Objectively, that's not practical. But that base irrational feeling is still useful and important.
Technically we've missed at least four billion years of gravitational wave events, so a week of shutdown for an upgrade isn't going to make a huge difference to that.
Re: Astrophysicists unveil glut of gravitational-wave detections
#40Earlier quoted context omitted.
The next stage should be putting them in space. Vibration on earth is a huge problem. Space has a much more stable environment. Also the distance between the laser detectors can be far, greatly enhancing the magnifying power.
In terms of the science, land-based and space-based GW detectors are complementary, as they detect GW waves at very different frequencies. One doesn't replace the other. There are also serious (if obviously longshot) efforts by colleagues of mine to propose moon-based GW detectors: https://indico.ego-gw.it/event/263/