461–470 of 690 posts
I believe the claim is completely defensible and ultimately correct. A) This was a multi-factoral event certainly but all of these other factor are "immediate causes" which can themselves be traced to absolute maximum return on equity as a more final cause. B) No doubt "hard to restart" process are were involved. But the world relies on single-source, hard to restart, large scale production of many things today becau…
B) Buyers are not willing actors
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Frankly, people buy a lot of stuff they don't need. But I wonder how the dependence on disposable items plays in. I could never understand stressing one bit about the most disposable items like paper towels. Completely non-essential items.
re. paper towels: strictly non-essential items, yes, but it takes some lifestyle reconfiguration to make the alternatives work. My household is (I speculate asymptotically) approaching zero paper towel use, but we have ready access to laundry, the capital and bandwidth to have built up a comfortable supply of rags and towels, and our only occasionally messy coinhabitant is the cat (and you can bet that if he vomits,…
My ex-wife was a stay at home Mom for her religious reasons, and was determined to be the "best" Mom, only healthy food, no TV or devices, cloth nappies etc.
Once we hit kid #3, the time needed to launder cloth nappies wasn't viable with two other kids on the go. I encouraged her to give disposables a go, and she was hooked, but very guilty about it.
But yeah, disposables saved us (well mainly her) many hours of scraping shit, stirring a giant bucket of nappies with Napisan, washing them, hanging them out in the sun to let the UV sort the stains etc.
So while paper towels are technically non-essential, I'm reminded of the old sarcastic comment that "Linux is free, if your time has no value".
The average lifespan of a company is 10 years.[0] The average lifespan of companies on the S&P is maybe a little more than twice that. Each year you have a 1/100 chance of seeing a hundred year flood. With a short lifespan the odds are decent that your company simply won’t see one. The question is then: how good of an idea is it to spend to be robust to them? Of course it is viciously circular: planning to not be rob…
Cash on the balance sheet is not inventory. Cash won't make the bill of materials magically appear; if a weather event knocked out 5nm production at TSMC, I'm not sure any amount would be able to address their supply chain woes. There just aren't enough ASML machines in the world, let alone everything else in a state of the art fab.
I wouldn't rule out their ability to build a fab in some sort of incredible Manhattan Project-esque feat with their outstanding funds, but at that point you'd have to ask "at what cost?" Then again, maybe that's a more efficient way they could use their cash than sitting on it.
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Yep, the capital owning class just doesn't care if their businesses go into shock because they already have their cash in hand. They'll never go back to pre-ROE days because they'd have to live with less money and worse less control. While they still have personal reserves in the billions they can decide the fate of their ventures but if say 20% of their current cash was on the balance sheets of corporations with boa…
>Yep, the capital owning class just doesn't care if their businesses go into shock because they already have their cash in hand. You do realize when we talk about jeff bezos being a billionaire, it doesn't mean he has his billions in gold/cash in a vault somewhere? The overwhelming majority of his wealth is tied in various financial assets (eg. equities) that certainly do get affected when "businesses go into shock".…
If you own a shipping port, it's in your best interests for thing to get worse right now and not better. You end up being able to charge premiums to jump queues, and end up making more profit by doing less work. Those guys are incentivised to ride the crashing economy all the way to the bottom, and not to lift a finger to slow it down.
And Bezos might be as well. Amazon quite likely could profit handsomely off a freight crunch that sees container prices go through the roof. There are very few retailers or wholesalers who'd have the bargaining power to get those queue jumping premium services for lower prices than their competitors, and when Amazon Prime becomes the only way to buy manufactured goods out of China, they can push the margins higher that other importers who either can't negotiate rates the way Amazon can, or who just can't get stock into the country at all.
Keeping inventory down is one easy way to maximize the profit as you aren't accounting for unused inventory. While it is correct that this is risky in case of supply chain bottlenecks, holding lots of inventory isn't a good solution either, because the company is now holding the risk of unsellable inventory should there be an economic downturn and people aren't buying your goods. Either one could easily sink a company.
I don't have a great answer, but after what has happened over the past year, I think the solution has to involve manufacturing be better distributed throughout the planet. You greatly reduce the chances of "once in a century" events preventing your shipment of product if you can shift production elsewhere and rely on a distributed supply chain. This would be better environmentally as well as it would require significantly less shipping if things were manufactured near where they were consumed. The costs of implementing this and the complexity for companies to manage is just too high for this to practically happen.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
re. paper towels: strictly non-essential items, yes, but it takes some lifestyle reconfiguration to make the alternatives work. My household is (I speculate asymptotically) approaching zero paper towel use, but we have ready access to laundry, the capital and bandwidth to have built up a comfortable supply of rags and towels, and our only occasionally messy coinhabitant is the cat (and you can bet that if he vomits,…
The whole point of paper towels, or disposable nappies, is removing the labour cost of cleaning them. My ex-wife was a stay at home Mom for her religious reasons, and was determined to be the "best" Mom, only healthy food, no TV or devices, cloth nappies etc. Once we hit kid #3, the time needed to launder cloth nappies wasn't viable with two other kids on the go. I encouraged her to give disposables a go, and she was…
On the other hand, I've known grown, solo adults who went through a few full rolls of luxe-brand paper towels a week (who needs a plate when you can stack 10 sheets of paper towels?).
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The assumption that stock prices don't matter, because company ABC doesn't necessarily depend on it 'for now' - is just wrong I'm afraid. If Apple crashed to 1 cent it would gut the entire market. Even just that crash alone, the amount of money wiped out, retiree savings etc., other companies would be valued lower and then the mass selloff would crush them as well. Apple may not need to 'raise money now' but it very…
One of the two is true: 1) The market value of a company is true, aka the owners of this company must be taxed for the real value growth in their portfolio (since it constitutes income), even if they do not sell 2) It’s a casino, a share is just a ticket that may worth nothing or a billion. In that case we don’t need tax protections. The owners of the tickets must be taxed only when they cash out. The governments sho…
well, if you follow this logical conclusion, why are you not taxing a baby because the baby's value is the future income of that person's job. Sure, it's unrealized, but you're still considering it income even though it's unrealized.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
re. paper towels: strictly non-essential items, yes, but it takes some lifestyle reconfiguration to make the alternatives work. My household is (I speculate asymptotically) approaching zero paper towel use, but we have ready access to laundry, the capital and bandwidth to have built up a comfortable supply of rags and towels, and our only occasionally messy coinhabitant is the cat (and you can bet that if he vomits,…
The whole point of paper towels, or disposable nappies, is removing the labour cost of cleaning them. My ex-wife was a stay at home Mom for her religious reasons, and was determined to be the "best" Mom, only healthy food, no TV or devices, cloth nappies etc. Once we hit kid #3, the time needed to launder cloth nappies wasn't viable with two other kids on the go. I encouraged her to give disposables a go, and she was…
And these bum showers can be bought on Amazon quite cheaply and shouldn’t be too difficult to install on any toilet.
You’d also be much cleaner I think.
This is just one example of such a shower found on Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/gp/aw/d/B086W1YZSH/ref=sspa_mw_detail...
All of this talk about supply chain issues are totally missing the point in my opinion. So many articles (and tweet chains I guess) have been written about supply chain issues, yet every one of them seems to ignore the elephant in the room which is demand for goods vs services. Over the course of the pandemic there was a staggering re-balancing of consumer spending [0] from services to goods, to which supply chains h…
Frankly, people buy a lot of stuff they don't need. But I wonder how the dependence on disposable items plays in. I could never understand stressing one bit about the most disposable items like paper towels. Completely non-essential items.
Perhaps the original comment is right about purchases moving from services to goods. We ended up buying things we may have otherwise used through services. A paddle board we’d otherwise rent, roof top tent (otherwise used to pay for camp sites that were closed during the pandemic), cooking equipment to satisfy cravings for food from restaurants that were closed or shut down, etc.
Overall it’s been money well spent though.