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Long Beach has temporarily suspended container stacking limitations

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Re: Long Beach has temporarily suspended container stacking limitations

#62

Something to recognize. Logistics can be somewhat thought of as a flow problem. If demand far exceeds supply, and both supply and demand stay constant, the backlog will continue to get worse in severity over time. For the problem to get better, either demand has to decline, or supply has to increase. However, the ability to expand supply seems limited in the short term. E.g. how long does it take to improve port thro…

You can’t flat out say the rise in retail sales is due to stimulus. There are a lot of disruptions over the last year that have shifted spend from things like dining out and travel.

This chart tells you most of what you need to know.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RPI

This shows the insane increase in personal income over the course of the pandemic.

Many made more money on enhanced UI benefits than in their line of work. This is a known fact.

People in this situation have more propensity to spend the marginal dollar than higher income earners. Spending as a percentage of income inversely trends with level of income.

It's true that some percentage of retail spending is spending shifted from other categories, but given personal income data, I doubt that's the primary cause.

Also keep in mind, there was mortgage forbearance, rent forgiveness, and student loan moratorium (which is still ongoing I believe).

Those factors don't show up in income, but will shift expenses from loan interest to goods most likely.

Re: Long Beach has temporarily suspended container stacking limitations

#65

Something to recognize. Logistics can be somewhat thought of as a flow problem. If demand far exceeds supply, and both supply and demand stay constant, the backlog will continue to get worse in severity over time. For the problem to get better, either demand has to decline, or supply has to increase. However, the ability to expand supply seems limited in the short term. E.g. how long does it take to improve port thro…

Super-hyper-inflation is said to be coming by Jack Dorsey. Alex Jones was quoted as saying that he knows "high up elites" who told him war is coming ~February (don't kill me I am just quoting what he just said this week. --- So, with this backlog, inflation, war... and china's shenanigans all around... I am pessimistic on the next 8 months.

Alex Jones, thank you for that insight, I'm sure it's not a lie

Re: Long Beach has temporarily suspended container stacking limitations

#66

Why wasn't the federal government doing this? How hard would it have been for the new "shipping czar" to have gone down there and seen what at least one simple issue was and get it fixed?

One would think that a former McKinsey consultant would understand constraint theory.

Re: Long Beach has temporarily suspended container stacking limitations

#67
post #64

Cool. Now we have more space to store the empty containers temporaly. Is this going to solve the problem or only save us a few days?

It doesn't fix anything, but it creates buffer space that can potentially be used to fix things that otherwise can't be fixed

Re: Long Beach has temporarily suspended container stacking limitations

#68
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Super-hyper-inflation is said to be coming by Jack Dorsey. Alex Jones was quoted as saying that he knows "high up elites" who told him war is coming ~February (don't kill me I am just quoting what he just said this week. --- So, with this backlog, inflation, war... and china's shenanigans all around... I am pessimistic on the next 8 months.

Alex Jones, thank you for that insight, I'm sure it's not a lie

Im sure it is... I was just saying all three of these bad omens will make for a very bad time...

Re: Long Beach has temporarily suspended container stacking limitations

#69
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That’s not really true. It’s perfectly possible to directly regulate, prohibit and/or tax nuisances and externalities directly without zoning.

Ok. So basically zoning but pretending it's not called zoning.

No, since this alternative allows for an apartment building with a couple of shops on the ground floor (normal in most of the world), and any other reasonable mixed development.

No one is suggesting heavy industry should be allowed in a residential area.

Re: Long Beach has temporarily suspended container stacking limitations

#70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If the demand exists to build high rises then those people would already be pushed out at an ever faster rate. If you take a plot of land that previously had 4 units on it and turn it into a high rise with 100 units, then you can fit 96 higher income people onto that plot of land. In the scenario where you don't build that high rise, those 96 higher income people simply go into the existing housing stock and push tho…

I think you might be missing the point, which is that the entire scenario should not be happening. If people are getting priced out of their houses, or people are building high-rises that inconvenience people, that needs to be solved, not ignored "because GDP". Making people's lives worse or uprooting them in service of general economic gain isn't a good strategy. I mean, we certainly have used that rationale in the…

High rises are built because people want to move to places with better opportunity. Should we simply not allow anyone to move to places with high opportunity? Are people who were born in rural areas or small towns not allowed to seek a better life in a big city because some people already live there? If you think people people should be allowed to move to places with better opportunity, then you need a solution on how to house a growing urban population, and that solution is building denser and taller high rises and housing of all types. You seem to view the people moving into the high rises as some sort of evil gentrifier trying to make other people lives hell, but they simple want to live in a more prosperous location. How is your argument any different than American anti-immigration people saying no one can immigrate to the US because "its full". Simply put, you need to build more housing in places where people want to live and unless you want endless urban sprawl of low density houses then you need to build high rises where demand supports it.

I'm not trying to argue in bad faith, but I genuinely don't see a solution where you allow people to move to areas of high opportunity without building more high rises (or just denser housing in general).

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