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United States loses AAA credit rating from S&P

reuters.com

311–320 of 518 posts

Re: United States loses AAA credit rating from S&P

#311

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not just into Afghanistan. A good chunk of the post-9/11 air patrols in North America were flown by allied aircraft.

Allied, yes -- but that was NORAD, not NATO.

[NATO deployed AWACS](http://edition.cnn.com/2001/US/10/12/ret.nato.awacs/index.ht...) in the US after 9/11.

Re: United States loses AAA credit rating from S&P

#312
post #178
post #52

(Reference: http://www.federalbudget.com/ ) Steps to recovery: 1) End all offensive military actions overseas. Finish winding down Iraq and abandon Afghanistan wholesale. These actions have cost several trillion dollars over the last 10 years. We can't get that money back, but we can stop spending more. 2) Defense spending is in the top 3 highest budget expenditures. Cut it by 1 third across the board. Maintain impor…

You forgot the War on Drugs. Get rid of it, free all the people in prison for non-violent drug-related offenses, and tax the newly legalized drugs. This should free up a lot of money that's being wasted on ruining people's lives right now, and make more money from taxing legal drugs. As a bonus, it'll get rid of a lot of organized crime. Witness what happened with the repeal of Prohibition.

That has to come in parallel with a bunch of lower-skill job programs centered around prisons with the highest non-violent drug-related offense inmates about to be released. The current system makes the unemployment issue seem a bit less, but it also lets the corporations who contract out prisoners for work make a killing. It's a modern form of slavery. Though as others have noted, while this is an important issue, solving it wouldn't give us the greatest bang-for-buck so to speak. If we can solve it concurrently with other problems, all the better, but there are sadly bigger issues...

Re: United States loses AAA credit rating from S&P

#313
post #133

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ah, followup. Here's the link to the talk I referenced if anyone cares to take a listen. http://longnow.org/seminars/02007/jun/28/the-end-of-history-...

I'd love to listen to this, but it seems like the mp3 is corrupted. It won'd play in iTunes or Quicktime. Shame.

VLC worked for me.

Re: United States loses AAA credit rating from S&P

#314
post #133
post #102

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Thanks. I have no refutations to any of your comments. I know exactly what you mean. One interesting thing about your first statement, "At the end of the Cold War, other conservatives were making the same noises that you're making now". A few years ago I had the opportunity to hear Francis Fukuyama speak. He was the author of The End of History and a later follow up book. I never knew it before then, but he was one o…

Ah, followup. Here's the link to the talk I referenced if anyone cares to take a listen. http://longnow.org/seminars/02007/jun/28/the-end-of-history-...

Oh gosh this was great. Thanks for the tip.

Re: United States loses AAA credit rating from S&P

#315

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The only problem with slashing military spending and ending foreign interventions is that it has been just that spending, and those interventions, that have made the US the economic powerhouse it is today. The US has a history, stretching back well over a century, of launching military campaigns to support corporate interests. Be it South America, the Middle East, or Asia, the US has invaded countries and toppled gov…

Isn't the primary reason the US is rich due to being located far from the battlefields in WW1&2, and after each of these wars an influx of immigration out of Europe into the newly stimulated American industrial economy? We've essentially been riding the demographic wave up the hill since, and yet few in govt/media seem to really take this into account when planning for long-term spending and economic projections. Som…

That's been important, but it's not the only factor. Yes, intactness of American industry after WWI&II was key. It certainly gave the US a big leg up in post-war industry and rebuilding. Imigration was a huge driver of the economy when it came primarily from Europe, and professionals were over-represented. Demographics can't be ignored, but neither can they tell the whole picture.

I'm not trying to insinuate that the US is rich only because it has invaded countries and overthrown governments when doing so suited its economic interests, only that that behaviour has played a large role in its success. As such, the commonly-held libertarian view that an end to military adventurism will be a boon for the US economy strikes me as naive. I still think it's the right thing to do, but I don't argue for it on economic grounds.

Re: United States loses AAA credit rating from S&P

#316
post #309

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The only problem with slashing military spending and ending foreign interventions is that it has been just that spending, and those interventions, that have made the US the economic powerhouse it is today. The US has a history, stretching back well over a century, of launching military campaigns to support corporate interests. Be it South America, the Middle East, or Asia, the US has invaded countries and toppled gov…

You're making a spurious correlation. If your assertion was correct, the French, British, Danish, Portuguese, and Spanish, et al.--the great colonial powers--should be stronger economies than the United States. http://qed.princeton.edu/getfile.php?f=European_Colonialism_... In conclusion, you've made a spurious correlation.

They were stronger. Much stronger. They collapsed for varied reasons, but suffice to say if the British Empire was as big today as it was in its heyday, it would be a larger economy than the US.

Also, no need to say "in conclusion" when the sum total of your argument is a single sentence.

Re: United States loses AAA credit rating from S&P

#317

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The only problem with slashing military spending and ending foreign interventions is that it has been just that spending, and those interventions, that have made the US the economic powerhouse it is today. The US has a history, stretching back well over a century, of launching military campaigns to support corporate interests. Be it South America, the Middle East, or Asia, the US has invaded countries and toppled gov…

Isn't the primary reason the US is rich due to being located far from the battlefields in WW1&2, and after each of these wars an influx of immigration out of Europe into the newly stimulated American industrial economy? We've essentially been riding the demographic wave up the hill since, and yet few in govt/media seem to really take this into account when planning for long-term spending and economic projections. Som…

The US demographic wave hasn't stopped; that's why, from at least a European long-term investor perspective, the US is still a good bet compared to countries that have already peaked: Italy, Japan etc.

There are many paths to wealth. Germany is rich because of - in part - the almost total rebuilding of a ruined nation and the creation of a pretty effective post-war consensus in West Germany. In fact, I'd argue that an important part of the US's success were also an effective post-war consensus (different, but also hugely effective).

Re: United States loses AAA credit rating from S&P

#318

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The war on drugs is only 0.5% (approx. $18 billion) of the Federal budget (approx. $3,456 billion), so it's inconsequential to our debt crisis. I whole heartedly agree that drug prohibition should be repealed, and that we need to put an end to the war on (some) drugs. But, the military, social security, and medicare comprise approx. 70% of the budget, so it's really not going to help us solve the debt.

I think indirect costs are higher than that. Prisons, for example, cost over 60 billion a year. Legalize cannabis, and I guess you can easily cut that by 25% (I know those costs probably are not federal, but do not think that matters. If your kid overspends, your family suffers) Also, the 'It is only a small fraction' argument is weak. If you really try, you can cut the entire budget into smaller parts.

Legalize cannabis, and you can tax it too.

Re: United States loses AAA credit rating from S&P

#319

Earlier quoted context omitted.

1. Social security reform was a core part of the Democratic platform in 2000. "I will keep Social Security in a lockbox, and that pays down the national debt and the interest savings I would put right back into Social Security." (Al Gore, Oct 4, 2000). Put simply, the Democratic policy aim was to divert the surplus into paying off the debt while preventing lower interest rates from spiking government borrowing/spendi…

I think it will take more than rolling back the Bush tax cuts. If no entitlements changes are made, it would take roughly twice the GDP of the entire world: "Add together the unfunded liabilities from Medicare and Social Security, and it comes to $99.2 trillion over the infinite horizon. Traditional Medicare composes about 69 percent, the new drug benefit roughly 17 percent and Social Security the remaining 14 percen…

I agree that Americans pay far more for health care than they should. I agree that Bush's medicare giveaway to industrial pharma was grossly irresponsible and that it has contributed a massive amount to the crater that currently is US fiscal policy. And I do not honestly know how people who consider themselves conservatives could support either that or the tax cuts, especially when the United States was on course to actually pay off its national debt.

Returning to the issue of social security, the statistic Fisher cites comes from Table IV.B6 of the trustees’ report, which is extremely conservative in its assumptions (assuming essentially zero productivity growth over the next 50 years) and thus - even at the worst - would require only a minor tax addition to permanently solve without reducing benefits.

I do not much like your suggestion that since the Republicans instituted tax cuts the surplus is gone and there's nothing we can do about it, but will add only that if Gore's proposal had been adopted (Republicans at the time were championing the terrible idea of dumping social security funds into the stock market while cutting top-end taxes), even the "infinite horizon" figure would be nowhere near where it currently is and it would likely be possible to reduce the payroll tax or increase benefits. And given all this, I don't know how to reconcile your claim that this is not a Republican problem with the fact you claim to be a rational fiscal conservative.

Re: United States loses AAA credit rating from S&P

#320

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well, you might be surprised. Japan's market rallied 3% the day after their downgrade.

That's probably because the market thought they hit rock bottom. Markets like uncertainty less than bad news, so they are much happier knowing about the downgrade.

p.s. To your earlier point, the '40 ACT details investment requirements for Money Market Funds [can't think of them now, but you are right, there are numerous statutory requirements related to the grade of security certain bodies may invest in]:

http://taft.law.uc.edu/CCL/InvCoRls/rule2a-7.html

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