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Unvaccinated are 5X more likely to catch Delta, 11X more likely to die

arstechnica.com

1–10 of 48 posts

Re: Unvaccinated are 5X more likely to catch Delta, 11X more likely to die

#2
I find this unpersuasive. I don't want to hear anything from the CDC. I don't trust the CDC because (among other reasons) they recently silently redefined "vaccine" to not include the idea that it provides immunity.

https://web.archive.org/web/20210826113846/https://www.cdc.g... https://web.archive.org/web/20210902194040/https://www.cdc.g...

Vitamin D might qualify as a vaccine under the new definition, or some other substance that's obviously not a vaccine.

Downvoters, please use the little-known "reply" feature instead of just clicking the little triangle to assuage your discomfort.

Re: Unvaccinated are 5X more likely to catch Delta, 11X more likely to die

#4
Why is everything so black and white in studies, hospital reporting and government policies? There are 5 groups of people. There's really more if you want to get detailed but here are the basics.

Vaccinated

Vaccinated then infection

Unvaccinated - Previous infection

Previous infection then vaccinated

Unvaccinated - No previous infection

Does anyone care about nuance anymore? Just saying vaccinated and unvaccinated is a disservice to the population

----

Other things to care about

Vaccinated with 2 mrna shots with > 3 weeks between shots

Vaccinated with 2 mrna shots with 3 weeks between shots

Vaccinated with viral vector

Previous infection then vaccinated > 6 weeks after symptoms were gone

Re: Unvaccinated are 5X more likely to catch Delta, 11X more likely to die

#5
post #4

Why is everything so black and white in studies, hospital reporting and government policies? There are 5 groups of people. There's really more if you want to get detailed but here are the basics. Vaccinated Vaccinated then infection Unvaccinated - Previous infection Previous infection then vaccinated Unvaccinated - No previous infection Does anyone care about nuance anymore? Just saying vaccinated and unvaccinated is…

Because it’s no longer about the vaccine.

Re: Unvaccinated are 5X more likely to catch Delta, 11X more likely to die

#6
post #4

Why is everything so black and white in studies, hospital reporting and government policies? There are 5 groups of people. There's really more if you want to get detailed but here are the basics. Vaccinated Vaccinated then infection Unvaccinated - Previous infection Previous infection then vaccinated Unvaccinated - No previous infection Does anyone care about nuance anymore? Just saying vaccinated and unvaccinated is…

Can't be emphasized enough. Even if simplified down to three groups:

1) immunologically naive (never been exposed to SARS-CoV-2)

2) vaccinated

3) recovered from previous infection

Most discussions on HN completely miss the distinction between these groups. The truth is, so far scientific consensus indicates that groups 2 & 3 are at least equally well protected and pose equivalent risk to others.

Much of the bickering here conflates groups 1 & 3 - it's such a common mistake I've grown tired of trying to discuss it.

Re: Unvaccinated are 5X more likely to catch Delta, 11X more likely to die

#7
Hoping someone on HN knows the answer to this. Can someone explain what "5X more likely to catch Delta" means?

I'm vaccinated. If I'm around someone with a delta infection, do I have 5X the amount of time to get away? Can I receive 5X the amount of viral particles with the same infection risk? Is my immune system response 5X as effective at preventing an infection?

I'm assuming its a population level analysis and not at all attenuated to individual immune response performance (unlike the death multiple which I think you can draw individual conclusions from). But I'm wondering what function (if at all) the MRNA vaccines play in reducing COVID infection.

Basically, if I engage in risky behaviors (no mask wearing, hanging around in big crowds) am I 5X less likely to pass the virus onto my son?

Re: Unvaccinated are 5X more likely to catch Delta, 11X more likely to die

#8
post #3

I’ll die from covid or from the weather sleeping outside before I recognize a dictator. That was unacceptable.

I got vaccinated and I still won’t comply. If I have to get fired for refusing to prove to my employer that I’m vaccinated, so be it. Even more so because I’m a remote employee; what business is it of theirs?

Re: Unvaccinated are 5X more likely to catch Delta, 11X more likely to die

#9

I find this unpersuasive. I don't want to hear anything from the CDC. I don't trust the CDC because (among other reasons) they recently silently redefined "vaccine" to not include the idea that it provides immunity. https://web.archive.org/web/20210826113846/https://www.cdc.g... https://web.archive.org/web/20210902194040/https://www.cdc.g... Vitamin D might qualify as a vaccine under the new definition, or some other…

Upvoters, colorless green ideas sleep furiously.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colorless_green_ideas_sleep_...

Re: Unvaccinated are 5X more likely to catch Delta, 11X more likely to die

#10
post #4

Why is everything so black and white in studies, hospital reporting and government policies? There are 5 groups of people. There's really more if you want to get detailed but here are the basics. Vaccinated Vaccinated then infection Unvaccinated - Previous infection Previous infection then vaccinated Unvaccinated - No previous infection Does anyone care about nuance anymore? Just saying vaccinated and unvaccinated is…

Can't be emphasized enough. Even if simplified down to three groups: 1) immunologically naive (never been exposed to SARS-CoV-2) 2) vaccinated 3) recovered from previous infection Most discussions on HN completely miss the distinction between these groups. The truth is, so far scientific consensus indicates that groups 2 & 3 are at least equally well protected and pose equivalent risk to others. Much of the bickering…

> The truth is, so far scientific consensus indicates that groups 2 & 3 are at least equally well protected and pose equivalent risk to others.

Which reduces the set to two: immunologically naïve, and primed for an immune response.

Or as we like to call it, unvaccinated and vaccinated.

Edit: vaccination via live virus is absurdly foolish.

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