Painfully obvious too. My little local Mexcian place will be closing down because of a lack of cooks. Talking to the owner, he was complaining about government benefits, and how they all want $20 an hour. I don't understand it, that you'd either a) be willing to drive your business into the ground serving a limited menu because you won't hire a couple cooks at $20 an hour, or b) have a business so close to the brink…
That same owner could be paying themselves $25 per hour. The average small restaurant owner makes ~$50K per year and has very little line of credit. So unfortunately it's a zero-sum game. Increasing cooks to $20hr means reducing their own comp to $20hr.
A cultural shift may mean that people collectively decided that they will, for example, spend 8% of their income on eating out rather than 12%. That represents an aggregate decrease in demand and would indicate a negative sum game (something most of HN seems incapable of comprehending)