Live data from Hacker News

Home Prices Are Now Higher Than the Peak of the 2000s Housing Bubble

npr.org

41–50 of 286 posts

Re: Home Prices Are Now Higher Than the Peak of the 2000s Housing Bubble

#41
post #2

Name something that costs less in 2021 than in the 2000s?

Almost everything. Important exceptions are housing, health care and education, which have large impacts on COL. But most else is cheaper.

So basically all the important stuff, but hey, at least you can get a 50 inch flatscreen for 100 bucks on Black Friday.

Re: Home Prices Are Now Higher Than the Peak of the 2000s Housing Bubble

#42

Don't see the important question being answered: is this price rise accompanied by lax lending standards? Almost every sober analysis of thr 2008 crash involved dysfunction in the mortgage market. Skewed supply and demand does not a bubble make.

Lax lending is not the core issue of a market crisis like 2008, it is the amount of leverage and debt. You must look at how many people have cash in their banc accounts to cover mortgages if the stock market dives 50% and rates go up 2~4%. Can that generate a cascade of foreclosures?

How will future mortgage rates generate a cascade of foreclosures for people with existing mortgages?

Re: Home Prices Are Now Higher Than the Peak of the 2000s Housing Bubble

#44
post #25
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Anything related to storage or compute? I couldn’t image having a 2tb drive 20 years ago, but having a 2tb ssd in my laptop is kind of amazing

compute? GPUs used to basically top out at $400, now the cheap ones go for more than that.

The FLOPS/$ aren't even comparable though.

Re: Home Prices Are Now Higher Than the Peak of the 2000s Housing Bubble

#45

Is this inflation adjusted? Because otherwise I don't see the point of that article. Of course home prices are going to be higher 20 years later. Even if the numbers analyzed are inflation adjusted, the article doesn't explain in what proportion are those prices higher than in the 2000s. If a house value was 60% up before the bubble bursted and then house values crashed 60% you have a baseline which is the deflated p…

Yes, this is inflation adjusted.

> The average price of American homes, in real terms, is now the highest it's ever been

Re: Home Prices Are Now Higher Than the Peak of the 2000s Housing Bubble

#47
post #3

So is this finally the inflation that we were promised for so long? I guess all that money created during covid had to go somewhere. Too bad it's not going into education or healthcare...

A few thousand of covid money isn't going to buy you a a house. Low interest rates have a lot more to do with it than covid money: 1% to 2% lower interest rates mean buyers can afford to pay more for a house, they're in demand, and supply is low relative to demand.

Re: Home Prices Are Now Higher Than the Peak of the 2000s Housing Bubble

#48
post #25
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Anything related to storage or compute? I couldn’t image having a 2tb drive 20 years ago, but having a 2tb ssd in my laptop is kind of amazing

compute? GPUs used to basically top out at $400, now the cheap ones go for more than that.

In MSRP, sure, but cost/performance? Keep in mind there's a second-hand market, my $200 Rx 580 works just fine for 1080p gaming even for recent releases (without maxing settings). That's after accounting for Ethereum over-charging the demand-side.

Re: Home Prices Are Now Higher Than the Peak of the 2000s Housing Bubble

#49
post #2

Name something that costs less in 2021 than in the 2000s?

Airline tickets.

Not necassarily in Europe. There was a sweet spot of cheap flying after massive expansion of EU in 2004 and lasting the entire decade. Flying was cheaper than commuting to the airport and "security" measures weren't that absurd yet.
Post reply on HN