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Chip shortage: Toyota to cut global production by 40%

bbc.com

31–40 of 720 posts

Re: Chip shortage: Toyota to cut global production by 40%

#31

As a chip supplier, I'd be feeling a lot of pressure right now. In the short term you can squeeze and the tail can wag the dog for a bit. But longer term this opens the door wide open for new competitors in the market and / or vertical integration.

I'm sure someone's trying to spin up a fab right now, but that's inherently not a quick process.

Re: Chip shortage: Toyota to cut global production by 40%

#32

As Taleb likes to say, an efficient system is the opposite of a robust system, kind of by definition. We are now witnessing the effects of our modern hyper-efficient just-in-time global manufacturing system.

Actually Toyota's manufacturing process was changed after Fukushima and was one of the only companies that plans for situations like this: https://www.autoblog.com/2021/03/09/toyota-how-it-avoided-se...

Edit, what the other poster said.

Re: Chip shortage: Toyota to cut global production by 40%

#33
post #21

Toyota was one of the few (only?) companies to keep a large stockpile of chips on hand to continue production in case of a supply interruption. They kept something like two years worth on hand. I guess 18 months of doing the extremely heavy lifting for the whole industry has taken its toll and now they're in the same boat.

I thought Toyota invented not doing that.

Yes, they more or less invented the concept of just in time delivery, but they also suffered supply chain issues after the Fukushima earth quake. After the latter incident they made the risk calculation that inventory of some parts was worth the expense.

Re: Chip shortage: Toyota to cut global production by 40%

#34
post #21

Toyota was one of the few (only?) companies to keep a large stockpile of chips on hand to continue production in case of a supply interruption. They kept something like two years worth on hand. I guess 18 months of doing the extremely heavy lifting for the whole industry has taken its toll and now they're in the same boat.

I thought Toyota invented not doing that.

[deleted]

Re: Chip shortage: Toyota to cut global production by 40%

#36
post #22
post #17

That is good news for planet earth!

Why? Because older, less efficient cars are being kept on the road for longer?

I believe that driving an old car for longer has a smaller environmental impact than consistently driving newer cars as the bulk of emissions is during the manufacturing process. I have no data to support my statement, it's just my hunch. I'd be very keen if someone with the right knowledge can approve or disprove my statement.

Re: Chip shortage: Toyota to cut global production by 40%

#37
post #16

As a chip supplier, I'd be feeling a lot of pressure right now. In the short term you can squeeze and the tail can wag the dog for a bit. But longer term this opens the door wide open for new competitors in the market and / or vertical integration.

I don't think chip suppliers are playing games here, are they? I think in general all chip manufacturers are at capacity and it comes down to getting in line. And I'm sure many chip manufacturers are trying to expand their capacity. I can't imagine they're sitting there thinking this will last forever.

they’ll play it to benefit themselves any way they can, why wouldn’t they

Re: Chip shortage: Toyota to cut global production by 40%

#38
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

When the supply of goods goes down, it pushes prices up.

But inflation has to do with the supply of money, not the supply of goods, right? Genuine question

There is really three types of inflation: 1. Demand driving higher prices 2. Increased cost driving higher prices 3. Expectation of inflation driving higher prices and this inflation itself

Re: Chip shortage: Toyota to cut global production by 40%

#39
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

When the supply of goods goes down, it pushes prices up.

But inflation has to do with the supply of money, not the supply of goods, right? Genuine question

Inflation has to do with purchasing power of a dollar decreasing. I would argue that inflation is something measured at the scale of the entire economy, and you can't say much about inflation looking at a single commodity, or even a single sector.

Re: Chip shortage: Toyota to cut global production by 40%

#40
post #21

Toyota was one of the few (only?) companies to keep a large stockpile of chips on hand to continue production in case of a supply interruption. They kept something like two years worth on hand. I guess 18 months of doing the extremely heavy lifting for the whole industry has taken its toll and now they're in the same boat.

I thought Toyota invented not doing that.

[deleted]
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