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Square to acquire Afterpay for $29B

squareup.com

81–90 of 360 posts

Re: Square to acquire Afterpay for $29B

#81

I've just come to accept that I'll never understand corporate finance. Based on the data I could find, this works out to a sales price of about 76 times revenue for Afterpay. Even for a fast growing company, how can they ever grow into that valuation? Of course, it's an all stock deal, so perhaps it's better to just consider what percentage of Square they're giving to Afterpay stockholders, but I still just can't wra…

The acquisition is entirely in stock, so very little actual cash is changing hands. According to the Afterpay investor relations site, Afterpay's gross revenue for FY21 (ended June 30, 2021), assuming constant currency exchanges rates, was $978 million AUD [0]. If you subtract out the first half of FY21's revenue ($385.2 million AUD) [1], we arrive at an implied revenue of $592.8 million AUD for the second half of FY…

The profit margin per "Revenue" dollar is so small for a payment processor it always seemed like a strange metric to value a payments company on for me, as they are essentially just a middle man for this "Revenue" taking it from the customer and giving it to the merchant. Afterpay does typically have higher merchant fees than a regular CC gateway tho

Re: Square to acquire Afterpay for $29B

#82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You might miss out on some credit card rewards or protections (chargebacks, extended warranties, extended return periods, etc).

Trickily, BNPL is pushed as 'not credit', which I find deeply disingenuous. The product they push is utilised by compulsive spenders, or poorer people. These people have always used credit, much to their collective disadvantage. Branding it as 'like lay-by, free up your cashflow' is in my opinion a dangerous option for many people.

It's rather paternalistic to assume poor people can't handle credit.

Re: Square to acquire Afterpay for $29B

#83
post #58

As a foreigner in Australia, I can't help but to think that Australians really don't know how to handle finances and are too irresponsible to use a credit card, so Afterpay and Zip stepped in. Maybe it's because I grew up in Europe, but "Don't buy it if you can't afford it" has served me well. The majority of people I know just use credit cards for the perks but never miss a full payment.

Australia has gone 20+ years without a recession, meaning many people have grown up without ever seeing anything except full employment and house prices going up up up. It's thus been a "safe bet" to leverage yourself up to your eyeballs to get on that "property ladder", and while many (including myself) thought this would finally pop last year with COVID, nope, after the briefest hiccup the property market has gone…

That's likely a combination of extra money being printed, maybe people doing more remotes and looking for better houses, government schemes to prop the house prices up (eg. by slashing taxes on property).

There is still time for a pop once governments decide things are normal again after covid.

Re: Square to acquire Afterpay for $29B

#84
post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We're in a gigantic bubble

There have been tens of trillions of dollars and other currencies created from thin air the last year and a half. And more is being created currently. This isn’t just the US government. It’s basically all governments in the world. EDIT: Fed has been purchasing 120b of assets per month https://cheddar.com/media/federal-reserve-to-keep-up-asset-p... Federal government has spent at least 3.5 trillion on COVID-19. EDIT2:…

You can see some of this in the prices of things like real estate.

Re: Square to acquire Afterpay for $29B

#85
post #82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Trickily, BNPL is pushed as 'not credit', which I find deeply disingenuous. The product they push is utilised by compulsive spenders, or poorer people. These people have always used credit, much to their collective disadvantage. Branding it as 'like lay-by, free up your cashflow' is in my opinion a dangerous option for many people.

It's rather paternalistic to assume poor people can't handle credit.

They would definitely be less poor if they could

Re: Square to acquire Afterpay for $29B

#86

Now square has access to basically a checkout page for a good proportion to the online web out there.

If anyone was following the news about PayPal working with ADL to stop wrong thinkers having accessing payments/receipts, erm “Fight Extremism” (great until your views are considered extreme, and if you don’t think that’s possible consider a talk with your 10 year ago self about vaccine passports or forced vaccination or trans athletes or border/immigration or canceling comedians or ending the filibuster, etc) … I do…

This story is about Square, not Stripe.

Re: Square to acquire Afterpay for $29B

#87

Square is buying a loan shark service. "The Australian Securities and Investments Commission found one in five buy now, pay later users is missing payments, half of users aged between 18 to 29 cut back on essential items to make repayments, and more than 1.1 million transactions in 2019 incurred multiple missed payment fees. It also warned 15 per cent of users, and half under 29, had taken out an additional loan to p…

Are Afterpay really to blame for this? Credit cards have been around since the 80s and are far more predatory. Pawnbrokers have been around for centuries. Even without debt, so many people have an impulse to spend as much as they can and put themselves in a financially precarious situation where one emergency bowls them over. I'm not saying Afterpay are ethical, but I'm sure you'd find a similar amount of people fore…

The problem is their target market is people who don't have (or can't get) a credit card.

If you already have a credit card, whats the point of Afterpay?

Re: Square to acquire Afterpay for $29B

#88
Like the payment networks, payment gateways will soon be dominated by a few big players: Stripe, Square

I really wish digital currency (ETH, BTC) would take off in the main stream world. The amount of silent middlemen involved in paying a merchant with a credit/debit card is nauseating to say the least.

Re: Square to acquire Afterpay for $29B

#89
post #70
post #58

As a foreigner in Australia, I can't help but to think that Australians really don't know how to handle finances and are too irresponsible to use a credit card, so Afterpay and Zip stepped in. Maybe it's because I grew up in Europe, but "Don't buy it if you can't afford it" has served me well. The majority of people I know just use credit cards for the perks but never miss a full payment.

I’ve lived in Australia for 10 years and still cannot believe how flippant people here seem to about getting into debt. Tens of thousands of dollars of credit card debt, a mortgage covering 60% of a salary, and a leased car seem to be fairly standard for a lot of my peers. It feels like they’re all 3 missed months of salary away from having absolutely nothing. Obviously all anecdotal but still astounding and probably…

Other than mortgage (and HECS) nobody I know uses debt - Australians love second hand cars

Re: Square to acquire Afterpay for $29B

#90
post #58

As a foreigner in Australia, I can't help but to think that Australians really don't know how to handle finances and are too irresponsible to use a credit card, so Afterpay and Zip stepped in. Maybe it's because I grew up in Europe, but "Don't buy it if you can't afford it" has served me well. The majority of people I know just use credit cards for the perks but never miss a full payment.

Ironically, Klarna, a Swedish-founded company, is pretty big in the BNPL market

according to https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-buy-now-pay-later-wave...

"In Sweden, home to BNPL provider Klarna, installments accounted for 23% of e-commerce transactions last year."

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