Earlier quoted context omitted.
Instead you're just talking about a left-wing conspiracy to lie to the public in order to take control of the government. Things like that make people suspicious, and make it easy for people who don't know the difference between a quantum dot[1] and a microchip to misunderstand when Bill Gates calls for a national tracking system[2]. 1: (a quantum dot to store medical information beneath the skin really was funded by…
>Instead you're just talking about a left-wing conspiracy to lie to the public in order to take control of the government. To take control of the government or for good PR/propaganda? Governments have never had any issues conspiring and lying to the public, remember when Fauci said not to use masks because they didn't help? Or those WMDs that we will surely find any day now?
Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after admission
111–120 of 241 posts
Re: Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after admission
#112I am weary of this newspaper's reporting - they wage a continual war on the NHS, and they seem to have some writers paid to continually put out negative news on the NHS. Two points: 1. COVID-19 is the most thrombogenic infectious disease known to man. It likely has a serious impact on co-morbidities in a way that hasn't been clearly studied yet. This means it's likely to exacerbate current conditions. 2. Hospitals ar…
Re: Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after admission
#113Earlier quoted context omitted.
He's saying the definition of cases in 'actual science' vs 'the media' is different. Not a shocker that the media would sensationalize things. Science and PCR amplification... has a much looser definition with the possibility for much more false positives with such small number of cycles of amplification. It was done ostensibly for cautionary purposes but the media seized on it and painted red death map visualization…
I understand that. But I would hardly call it sensationalizing. It's a mixture of the best of what we had at the time (others have posted talking about how the tests have changed/improved), and the fact that reporting on things in a simple and straight forward manner is hard because people simply don't have the time, or don't give a shit about nuance.
Re: Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after admission
#114Earlier quoted context omitted.
Please correct me if I am wrong, but I feel like you are trying to say more with "but then 'cases' became some kind of top-line media metric". Should cases not be an important metric for people to know?
Prior to the vaccine rollout (at least in the US), positive cases were used as a metric for public health officials to gauge whether the virus was spreading, whether containment efforts were effective, and how to manage the presumable change in hospitalizations and fatalities. As vaccination efforts have rolled out, there is still a relationship between positive cases and deaths, however the ratio of cases to deaths…
That would be quite stupid. Because if the risk of the disease is low, vaccines does not make sense when you do risk/benefit calculation.
Hence the people should know about the cases.
Of course, instead, if you are looking to push vaccines no matter what, you would say something like
>The only metric the public should be concerned about is whether they have or have not been vaccinated.
Re: Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after admission
#115Earlier quoted context omitted.
Primarily that "all lab tests have errors" and if you test everyone who is hospitalized for any reason (which is sensible), you're inevitably going to get some false positives. Secondarily, in any low-incidence scenario (such as might be the case for "COVID infections among the vaccinated"), even high specificity tests have a high false rate among positive tests.
Not an epidemiologist, but prior to Covid I have never seen a professional risk-benefit discussion around screening tests, which did not give serious weight to the various costs of false positives. Patient anxiety. Rounds of invasive biopsies not without risk. Financial costs of the same.
I think this one as applied to COVID is some mix of fear and human logical frailty. I can only imagine the hue and cries that we'd get if "Hospital XYZ isn't even testing all their patients for COVID!" came to light. That could be used to feed into the "COVID is a hoax!", "Insurance companies are evil; we need single-payer so that costs don't become an obstacle", and many other narratives.
Re: Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after admission
#116Earlier quoted context omitted.
When I bring this up in conversations with people they make me feel like a kook. I am not sure what to think anymore.
For me this is interesting, but not really material to anything. Sure, the tests we have for this new virus have needed to be adjusted and calibrated as we learn more about it. It's unfortunate if the numbers are a bit messed up, it would be better if they were more accurate, but real life is messy. I don't think you're a kook, and I can only guess what those people were thinking. Maybe they just wondered... and ther…
PCR inventor Kary Mullis is on video calling Fauci out for doing exactly that. Unfortunately I can't even link the two videos because they keep getting memory holed. If you search around you might get lucky, otherwise I'll upload my saved copy when I get off work.
Re: Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after admission
#117Earlier quoted context omitted.
When I bring this up in conversations with people they make me feel like a kook. I am not sure what to think anymore.
It didn't help that the WHO released the updated guidelines the day Biden was inaugurated. For that reason alone it became another thought-terminating political topic -- you're either dismissed as a conspiracy theorist for correlating these events, or you're dismissing the value of the vaccine rollout/lockdowns/other measures, or you're a sheep following the dominant media narrative.
Re: Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after admission
#118Earlier quoted context omitted.
When I bring this up in conversations with people they make me feel like a kook. I am not sure what to think anymore.
It didn't help that the WHO released the updated guidelines the day Biden was inaugurated. For that reason alone it became another thought-terminating political topic -- you're either dismissed as a conspiracy theorist for correlating these events, or you're dismissing the value of the vaccine rollout/lockdowns/other measures, or you're a sheep following the dominant media narrative.
Re: Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after admission
#119Earlier quoted context omitted.
I understand that. But I would hardly call it sensationalizing. It's a mixture of the best of what we had at the time (others have posted talking about how the tests have changed/improved), and the fact that reporting on things in a simple and straight forward manner is hard because people simply don't have the time, or don't give a shit about nuance.
I suspect that a pattern of not disclosing that statistics that are implied to be factual are actually to some degree ~estimates contributed to the extreme level of polarization over "facts" and "the science", as well as the increasing distrust of the media. Sure, most people don't consider these things too logically, but then if those distributing the facts can't be bothered either, how shall we accurately assign bl…
That's a feature not a bug.
Re: Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after admission
#120Earlier quoted context omitted.
> I have looked and I cannot even find how increasing CT values affect the false positive rate for the PCR testing. If my understanding is correct a single increment of CT essentially doubles the sensitivity of the test, so difference between CT value of 35 and 40 is 32 fold. I have never used this particular set of primers, but have done a lot of PCR. In general, at 30+ cycles, PCR is prone to spurious amplification…
> I strongly suspect that the goal was to cast a wide net (i.e. bias toward false positives) at the expense of accuracy, but then "cases" became some kind of top-line media metric... Then in January the WHO updated the diagnostic protocol [1] because of that false positive/low confidence problem. Unsurprisingly, case counts plummeted in the following weeks. [1] https://www.who.int/news/item/20-01-2021-who-information…