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Greece defaults

blogs.reuters.com

81–90 of 151 posts

Re: Greece defaults

#81

FYI there is no such thing as a "kind of" or "selective" default. It's binary. You either pay back creditors what they are owed or you dont. It's rare that a company or country defaults on ALL obligations all at once. As a member of Wall Street, I appreciate the WSJ's noble attempt to sugar coat this (article below) but that doesnt change the facts. Ditto watchandwait below.., glad it finally happened. http://profess…

Wait a gosh-darn-second - if the situation is either definite default OR not-a-default, then Greece has NOT defaulted. From the article: if you’re a holder of Greek bonds right now, you have three choices... 1. You can do nothing, and hope that Greece pays you in full and on time. (and other stuff)... The first option is by far the most interesting. No one has come out and said that Greece is going to default on bond…

The ratings agencies have said that arm-twisting bondholders to accept new bonds with less favourable conditions amounts to a default.

I promise to pay you $100 tomorrow. I then tell you you'll get your money in 30 years and at a much lower interest rate. That's breaking the original promise, even though I haven't actually 'not paid you back'.

Re: Greece defaults

#82
post #80

"The total official financing will amount to an estimated 109 billion euro. This programme will be designed, notably through lower interest rates and extended maturities, to decisively improve the debt sustainability and refinancing profile of Greece." Markets and especially the financial sector like banks (especially French banks) owning debt from Greece (or CDO) have positively reacted to the announce for a differe…

i think this is the real story here, agreed.

Re: Greece defaults

#83

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ah, yes. Cover your ears. Don't wanna scare the kids. More mass media brainwashing euphemisms. Default -> Temporary/Kind of/Selective Default Great Depression -> Great Recession Worthless Mortgages -> Troubled Assets Make dollar worthless -> Increase Liquidity

Are you serious!? You've got it exactly backwards: media hyperinflates things to sell and get people to watch. Our "great depression" as you call it right now is nothing like what happened in the 30s. Comparisons just serve to fear monger.

But Chailatte is right, the hyperbole goes in the direction it's needed. Greece has defaulted. It's either principal with interest, or it's a default. The reason for the wishy-washy phrasing is to avoid insurance claims.

Also, we're in a Depression (although not the Great Depression) and the media never uses that term (and then happily declares the "recession" to be over) to avoid self-fulfilling prophesy behavior. But make no mistake, we're in a depression and the media swings its hyperbole in the direction it's needed.

Re: Greece defaults

#84

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Wait a gosh-darn-second - if the situation is either definite default OR not-a-default, then Greece has NOT defaulted. From the article: if you’re a holder of Greek bonds right now, you have three choices... 1. You can do nothing, and hope that Greece pays you in full and on time. (and other stuff)... The first option is by far the most interesting. No one has come out and said that Greece is going to default on bond…

The ratings agencies have said that arm-twisting bondholders to accept new bonds with less favourable conditions amounts to a default. I promise to pay you $100 tomorrow. I then tell you you'll get your money in 30 years and at a much lower interest rate. That's breaking the original promise, even though I haven't actually 'not paid you back'.

You don't have to except the deal, the only reason to do so is fear that they bail out on you later. So I'd say that if it's binary, this is not a default.

Re: Greece defaults

#85

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They'll respond positively because fixing a problem, even if some people lose out, is always better than uncertainty.

That's how a rational person would respond. History has shown that markets are anything but rational. Usually, when something like this happens, people wonder how deep the iceberg goes and who'll be next. Widespread panic usually follows.

There's nothing irrational about wondering how deep the iceberg goes.

I'm always amused when people blaim the market for pointing out failed assets, as if the process of price discovery itself is more responsible for intrinsic value than the nature of the asset itself.

Re: Greece defaults

#86
post #13

The raping of Greece's assets will now begin. EVERYTHING will get privatized, just like a third-world country.

There's nothing wrong with privatizing i.e. selling to the highest bidder.

The real "raping of Greece"s assets" will be that IMF/EU will impose both buyers and price. They'll call it privatization maybe, but it won't be one.

Re: Greece defaults

#88
post #12

The EU sort of rescued Greece, now Greece sort of defaults. Portugal, Spain, and Italy are not that far behind. The biggest problem, aside from Greece's fiscal mess, is that Germany can't muster up enough political support to clean up after their mess more decisively despite the fact that they are now in the same monetary union. The catch 22 of these financial crises is that inaction will result in financial meltdown…

82 Million Soon To Be Very Angry Germans, Or How Euro Bailout #2 Could Cost Up To 56% Of German GDP http://www.zerohedge.com/article/fatal-flaw-europes-second-b...

Not that simple,

do you know where much of the money from Greece has gone all this years? Weapons developed by Germany, and German industrial products bought with loans by Greeks, like cars, cranes and bulldozers.

Do you know witch country benefits from a weak euro so the can export a lot?

Re: Greece defaults

#89
What I can still not understand: how could this have happened at all and how come just like with the financial crisis following the housing bubble, it is nobody's fault really, nobody gets the blame and has to answer and step down and get locked up for it... and ultimately banks or the countries just get their bail-out and that's it. Few months from now life will just continue as usual as if nothing ever happened, just like it did on Wall Street. They went right back at it.

The funniest thing, a few weeks ago it was a very popular opinion in the media in Greece (even in respectable papers) that Germany should absolutely have to pay since they got allegedly SOOO rich and happy on all those imports Greece bought from Germany. Which in reality were an absolutely ridiculous amount of like 1 or 2% of all of Greece's imports but it shows how quickly a scape goat was conjured up in the media to direct people's attention and hate away from their own politicians.

Seriously, how can you not blame the politicians in that country and blame whoever was responsible for accepting Greece into the monetary union in the first place when they downright faked their economic statistics and obviously noone did any due-diligence?

There is a constant decline in voters and a general sense of "disenchantment with politics" here; people just care less and less and I can really see why... it doesn't really matter who you vote for anyway, they all get away with whatever they want and the biggest crises of the last 10, 20, 30 years just get brushed off like nothing happened. Insane amounts of bailouts are paid out on the backs of the working citizens and then that's it. It is never anybody's fault so certainly this does not scare off ANYONE to refrain from careless, negligent conduct.

I am not trying to troll, I just really honestly do not understand it... in my own understanding by all that is right, a few people who were actually responsible or in charge and did not do anything to prevent it should be hanging from trees or burning on stakes by now, figuratively speaking (but I would not mind having it literally).

In any company a CEO conducting business like these countries are doing on a daily basis would have been locked up a hundred times over looong time ago for a multitude of very grave misconducts, evasion, falsification of accounts etc etc etc.

When you rob a bank for petty cash, you get locked up; when you "steal a movie" you get locked up even longer. When you frakk over the whole world or the whole EU, then most everyone was joining in anyway so "shit happens", "tough luck", let's write a check and shake hands for the media.

Can someone with more political understanding than I have put all this clusterfuck-shitstorm into perspective for me, please?

Re: Greece defaults

#90

FYI there is no such thing as a "kind of" or "selective" default. It's binary. You either pay back creditors what they are owed or you dont. It's rare that a company or country defaults on ALL obligations all at once. As a member of Wall Street, I appreciate the WSJ's noble attempt to sugar coat this (article below) but that doesnt change the facts. Ditto watchandwait below.., glad it finally happened. http://profess…

Isn't the whole "default / no default" situation about whether the CDS mechanism will be triggered or not? On the other hand, S&P is the only rating agency with a "selective default" grade. Other rating agencies only have "default".
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