Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Commercial software engineering is a creative endeavor; it is not a science, nor is it a manufacturing process. Do you think software engineering will remain a creative endeavour in the future? We've only been programming in high level languages for 60-70 years. All the while Moore's law has been in effect.
Oof. I have no idea. But since it'll be fun to guess: Absent some kind of magical (from today's POV) AGI, I think I'd probably say yes, but I'm not sure that means software engineering will continue to look the way it does today, at least not universally. My expectation is a pretty linear extrapolation of history. I think new tools and higher levels of abstraction will emerge that will make certain types of tasks unn…
Things need to sit still for a while longer I guess, but I think there's also some industry changes to blame. In the 90s there was big money in making tools and components for software engineers, while nowadays everyone just uses the best free thing they can find. Granted the free things are way better than they were in the 90s, but I think they're largely killing the market for better things that cost money.