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Ethiopia's controversial mega-dam on Nile tributary

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Re: Ethiopia's controversial mega-dam on Nile tributary

#13
post #7
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Those countries have other sources of fresh water besides the Nile

Yes, but those sources, in many cases, are also source of the Nile. I mean, as a matter of hydrology, it's a basin. Unless you're implying that they can only take 12% of the flow of Nile tributaries, but would be free to take 100% of the flow from lakes that feed the Nile tributaries? Somehow, I don't think that's what the colonial treaties meant. I'm pretty certain any draw down of flow from Lake Tana for instance,…

But Ethiopia is not a party to either of the two treaties.

Re: Ethiopia's controversial mega-dam on Nile tributary

#14

I’m predicting an airforce action on the dam. PRC or Russia will veto anything from the UN Security Council. Mark my words. EDIT: as in veto any UNSC response to the strike

Why would the PRC do that when Egypt’s junta is allied with the US?

Re: Ethiopia's controversial mega-dam on Nile tributary

#15

I’m predicting an airforce action on the dam. PRC or Russia will veto anything from the UN Security Council. Mark my words. EDIT: as in veto any UNSC response to the strike

Why the downvote? If you think I’m wrong I’ll take you up on a $500 bet.

Re: Ethiopia's controversial mega-dam on Nile tributary

#16
post #3

Cairo claims a historic right to the river dating from a 1929 treaty between Egypt and Sudan represented by colonial power Britain And A 1959 treaty boosted Egypt's allocation to around 66 percent of the river's flow, with 22 percent for Sudan Wow. That sounds like it obliges Burundi, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, South Sudan, Tanzania and Uganda to collectively use no more than 12% of the Ni…

The 12% is allocated for evaporation losses. Those countries get 0%.

Re: Ethiopia's controversial mega-dam on Nile tributary

#17
post #3

Cairo claims a historic right to the river dating from a 1929 treaty between Egypt and Sudan represented by colonial power Britain And A 1959 treaty boosted Egypt's allocation to around 66 percent of the river's flow, with 22 percent for Sudan Wow. That sounds like it obliges Burundi, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, South Sudan, Tanzania and Uganda to collectively use no more than 12% of the Ni…

The 12% is allocated for evaporation losses. Those countries get 0%.

Wow.

I stand corrected.

Re: Ethiopia's controversial mega-dam on Nile tributary

#18
post #5
post #3

Cairo claims a historic right to the river dating from a 1929 treaty between Egypt and Sudan represented by colonial power Britain And A 1959 treaty boosted Egypt's allocation to around 66 percent of the river's flow, with 22 percent for Sudan Wow. That sounds like it obliges Burundi, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, South Sudan, Tanzania and Uganda to collectively use no more than 12% of the Ni…

Those countries have other sources of fresh water besides the Nile

This claim loses significance when you consider 70% of Ethiopia's water resource is in the Nile basin. There is no development without using that water.

Re: Ethiopia's controversial mega-dam on Nile tributary

#19

I’m predicting an airforce action on the dam. PRC or Russia will veto anything from the UN Security Council. Mark my words. EDIT: as in veto any UNSC response to the strike

Why would the PRC do that when Egypt’s junta is allied with the US?

The US Government won’t approve of such an action. The Junta will swing to PRC for this. China doesn’t really care as but it would be a geopolitical win.

This is Egypt’s lively hood. They won’t allow this to happen.

Re: Ethiopia's controversial mega-dam on Nile tributary

#20

I’m predicting an airforce action on the dam. PRC or Russia will veto anything from the UN Security Council. Mark my words. EDIT: as in veto any UNSC response to the strike

Why would the PRC do that when Egypt’s junta is allied with the US?

Allied? more like convenient partners. Both side needs each other. But Egypt doesn't hesitate to get cozy with Russia:

https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2021/03/egypt-us-tensio...

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