Live data from Hacker News

Andrej Karpathy (Tesla): CVPR 2021 Workshop on Autonomous Vehicles [video]

youtube.com

21–30 of 214 posts

Re: Andrej Karpathy (Tesla): CVPR 2021 Workshop on Autonomous Vehicles [video]

#21
post #16
post #10

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There are two fundamental reasons, in principle, vision alone can do it: 1) Humans do it with vision alone 2) You can actually predict lidar’s output with vision alone. So many systems out there actually use lidar to generate more labeled data to make lidar unnecessary

besides vision, humans also have this thing called brain, and reasoning, and instincts, and being able to tell if the object in front of them is e.g. a roof of an overturned truck vs. empty space, etc, etc. the key word is "etc" which expands into infinite tail, which no big data training on farms of GPUs would ever help with. Humans and other animals have an ability to understand the scene and generalize from prior…

> humans also have this thing called brain, and reasoning, and instincts, and being able to tell if the object in front of them is e.g. a roof of an overturned truck vs. empty space, etc, etc.

Assuming the car is reasonably good at this, it has the advantage that it can see in every direction at once.

I don't think self-driving cars will ever be perfect, but I think they will quickly become less-lethal than the average human.

Re: Andrej Karpathy (Tesla): CVPR 2021 Workshop on Autonomous Vehicles [video]

#22
post #10

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There are two fundamental reasons, in principle, vision alone can do it: 1) Humans do it with vision alone 2) You can actually predict lidar’s output with vision alone. So many systems out there actually use lidar to generate more labeled data to make lidar unnecessary

There are many things humans do with vision alone that machines can't. For instance see if a person standing 50 ft away is looking at you or at the house behind you. The human vision system operates at a bitrate equivalent of well beyond 500 gigabits per second. Resorting to "humans can do it with vision alone" is only a sufficient argument if your computer vision system can match that.

[deleted]

Re: Andrej Karpathy (Tesla): CVPR 2021 Workshop on Autonomous Vehicles [video]

#23

He made a very good argument for vision-only, but it seems like training actually uses radar data to help calibrate vision measurements, so it seems to me there’s value in making some vehicles still contain radar (say, one out of 10) even if it’s not used for controlling the vehicle directly at drive time. Also, the sensor resolution issue he mentioned could be addressed by using a higher resolution radar sensor. I f…

Most fatal car crashes are investigated, but by the police not engineering experts. The invetigational motivation is legal and liability focused not improvement focused.

You sparked a happy delusion in my mind...training drivers to the same level we train pilots. Can you imagine drivers having regular check rides?

Re: Andrej Karpathy (Tesla): CVPR 2021 Workshop on Autonomous Vehicles [video]

#24
post #23

He made a very good argument for vision-only, but it seems like training actually uses radar data to help calibrate vision measurements, so it seems to me there’s value in making some vehicles still contain radar (say, one out of 10) even if it’s not used for controlling the vehicle directly at drive time. Also, the sensor resolution issue he mentioned could be addressed by using a higher resolution radar sensor. I f…

Most fatal car crashes are investigated, but by the police not engineering experts. The invetigational motivation is legal and liability focused not improvement focused. You sparked a happy delusion in my mind...training drivers to the same level we train pilots. Can you imagine drivers having regular check rides?

I would love to see re-certification of "professional" drivers. Almost daily I encounter taxi or semi-truck operators driving at the limit of what is acceptable.

Re: Andrej Karpathy (Tesla): CVPR 2021 Workshop on Autonomous Vehicles [video]

#25
post #8

I like Andrej from his PhD research days and awesome blog posts but this is a series of disasters in the making, that is until FTC steps in after more people die from “self-driving” accidents under interesting and unexpected circumstances. The whole vision vs. LIDAR stuff is a distraction as long as Tesla “AI” doesn’t have common sense. It literally doesn’t know what it’s doing, and the tail of edge cases to "fit" th…

>common sense What a ridiculously useless term.

exactly, who needs common sense when you can sell the bright vision of self-driving future.

Re: Andrej Karpathy (Tesla): CVPR 2021 Workshop on Autonomous Vehicles [video]

#27
post #10
post #8

I like Andrej from his PhD research days and awesome blog posts but this is a series of disasters in the making, that is until FTC steps in after more people die from “self-driving” accidents under interesting and unexpected circumstances. The whole vision vs. LIDAR stuff is a distraction as long as Tesla “AI” doesn’t have common sense. It literally doesn’t know what it’s doing, and the tail of edge cases to "fit" th…

There are two fundamental reasons, in principle, vision alone can do it: 1) Humans do it with vision alone 2) You can actually predict lidar’s output with vision alone. So many systems out there actually use lidar to generate more labeled data to make lidar unnecessary

In principle. But we do have 3 billion neurons for that with ridiculous number of interconnections - even if an order of magnitude less connection would be enough, we are still far away from that amount of computations. And that is actually the easy part of the problem - mapping an image to a depth map. The hard part is interpreting it for which we have a complete inner universe built up, with context-dependent logic. FSD is simply a really hard problem that we are not even getting close to. We are at a fancy robot vacuum level.

Re: Andrej Karpathy (Tesla): CVPR 2021 Workshop on Autonomous Vehicles [video]

#28
post #16

Earlier quoted context omitted.

besides vision, humans also have this thing called brain, and reasoning, and instincts, and being able to tell if the object in front of them is e.g. a roof of an overturned truck vs. empty space, etc, etc. the key word is "etc" which expands into infinite tail, which no big data training on farms of GPUs would ever help with. Humans and other animals have an ability to understand the scene and generalize from prior…

> humans also have this thing called brain, and reasoning, and instincts, and being able to tell if the object in front of them is e.g. a roof of an overturned truck vs. empty space, etc, etc. Assuming the car is reasonably good at this, it has the advantage that it can see in every direction at once. I don't think self-driving cars will ever be perfect, but I think they will quickly become less-lethal than the avera…

For the average case, perhaps. But we are not doing too badly for the average case either.

Let’s see how well does a Tesla react to exceptional cases where actual decision making is required, few data sample is available, etc. Statistics can be misleading with rare events.

Re: Andrej Karpathy (Tesla): CVPR 2021 Workshop on Autonomous Vehicles [video]

#29
post #8

I like Andrej from his PhD research days and awesome blog posts but this is a series of disasters in the making, that is until FTC steps in after more people die from “self-driving” accidents under interesting and unexpected circumstances. The whole vision vs. LIDAR stuff is a distraction as long as Tesla “AI” doesn’t have common sense. It literally doesn’t know what it’s doing, and the tail of edge cases to "fit" th…

>common sense What a ridiculously useless term.

[deleted]

Re: Andrej Karpathy (Tesla): CVPR 2021 Workshop on Autonomous Vehicles [video]

#30
post #9

It's interesting that an academic conference now feels like a marketing op for industrial research labs more than anything. His claims about how accurate their vision system is and how it is exceeding other sensors is not verifiable in any way to the public. Given how well qualified he is I am sure he is not wrong! Andrej is brilliant. But this is an academic conference right? This isn't open science, it's a discussi…

In the talk, he gave clear examples with detailed position + velocity graphs where the vision system detected obstacles sooner and with less jitter than the radar system. Specifically the overpass where radar triggers erroneous braking, and the pulled over truck where radar detects the obstacle significantly slower.

That's a strawman. No one is looking to build FSD with radar sensors that have shipped on cars for 20 years now for things like adaptive cruise control. LIDAR is what vision only is compared to.
Post reply on HN