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Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists

bennettftomlin.com

111–120 of 242 posts

Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists

#111

Everyone wants to talk about the future of crypto in terms of how it can be used. Not enough people are talking about the fact that a single breakthrough in computing could undo the encryption that these currencies are reliant upon, instantly driving the value to zero. This is a vulnerability that does not have an analogue in any other currencies, securities or stores of wealth. Because of that, crypto is and will be…

This is such a fucking lazy criticism for a supposedly technically literate community.

https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Quantum_computing_and_Bitcoin#Mit...

Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists

#112
post #89

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yet BTC is trailing inflation by over 30% the last month alone?

Admittedly, there is high volatility due to demand. But as more get-rich-quick people get bored of it, that should stabilize.

> But as more get-rich-quick people get bored of it, that should stabilize.

Why do you think that will happen?

The "get-rich-quick, evade-taxes, and evade-scrutiny" thing is front and center of the whole intent of cryptocurrency. How long has it been going now, 10 years? How much longer?

It would be nice to have a crypto-currency where real people can use it like real currency. However, to be able to do that would mean eliminating the danger that a mere typo or some unintended consequence of "code-as-law" would wipe someone out and give another an insane windfall-- all in a millisecond.

I think the cryptocurrency can work, but it has to have sane and civilized features. These have to be designed-in from the beginning. Otherwise, it's just an endless libertarian circle jerk.

Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists

#114

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Huh - so lets see... NewEgg accepts(1): Doge, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin cash, etc. Telsa may or may not accept Bitcoin depending on Elon's mood. And El Salvador just made bitcoin legal tender. Yep - those are all illegal transactions. Your argument boils down to "Only criminals use Tor"... Not very useful. 1) https://kb.newegg.com/knowledge-base/using-crypto-on-newegg/

Purchasing items on NewEgg with USD is simple, easy, and very fast. If you are using a credit card, you get additional benefits and protections. Additionally, per the link you provided, there are a number of restrictions on using crypto on NewEgg. What is the benefit to using crypto vs using a credit card?

Assuming you have USD (you might not be a US citizen, exchange rates, yada yada), assuming you have a credit card, etc. etc. Proof of payment is basically instant, is globally accessible and I don't have to jump thru the 'verified by visa' bullshit. Also, no spending limits - I've ordered equipment from newegg and payed for next day delivery, only to have the equipment show up late because my visa 'helpfully' twigged an 'unusual purchase'. I've also had banks tell me there are daily spending limits on debit card that are too low to buy a high end system. All these 'features' you tout have NEVER been anything except a pain in my ass.

Bottom line is - one size doesn't fit all...

Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists

#115
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This opinion is really common, I used to have it but what changed my mind was realizing there are not really any "real world" use cases. I look at crypto as actual money, with the same definition: "money is a verifiable record that is generally accepted". Money in of itself does not have any "real world" use cases, money is money. Money facilitates economic velocity and growth in the same way crypto does, except cryp…

> Banks make money with money, they don't make money with real use cases. Banks make money with money + effort. They provide loans and vet the recipients of those loans, because the banks are exposed to the risk of default (at least, ideally, obviously this failed in 2008). If you want a small business loan, then you typically have to have not only a good credit rating, but a business plan. Sounds like a real use cas…

Exactly - banks make money with money, but it's the money that real people use in the real world for real goods & services!!

Want to buy a house? (Mortgage) Want to spread out the cost of a large purchase (car/boat/appliance)? (Credit card, consumer loan) Want to borrow money to pay contractors for home improvements? (HELOC) Want to pay for a coffee with a payment that is accepted in seconds? (Credit/Debit card or you know.. paper money) Want to save excess income in an interest-bearing account? (Savings, Money markets, etc) Want to invest excess income in partial ownership of income producing businesses? (IPOs, stock market) If banks don't make money with real use cases, please close all your accounts and attempt to live a week or a month without any interaction with the banking system.

The banking system matches borrowers and savers of different risk profiles & durations so that people can go about their lives in a more convenient fashion.

Right now DeFi is replicating some aspects of this in a fraud-laced decentralized manner except with an alphabet soup of crypto "money" which you can't do anything with other than trade it for more/other crypto "money" or the dirty-word "fiat".

Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists

#116

I find crypto super interesting and have dipped my toes in with some small real money just to force myself to try out different products. That said, so far, almost 10 years in, there really are not a lot of real world use cases. Sure there are glorified POCs of things that could potentially lead in the direction of real world use cases. But most of these products/tokens are just extremely meta. Tokens you get paid/pa…

Unfortunately this comment, which has nothing to do with the article linked, has been voted to the top. HN seems to take every article having anything to do crypto as an opportunity to share their unrelated and repetitive opinions about how crypto is bad. Why not just flag the article instead to get it off the front page? That would at least be less boring.

Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists

#117

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Agreed on the FDIC (although not everyone banks in the US) part but “speed” is not an area where traditional banks beat the right crypto solutions. My wife and I just had a major fiasco trying to transfer mortgage payments from one major bank to another. Our credit score was damaged severely. I’ll spare you the details but the diagnosis was eventually determined to be “not enough time for clearance” as in I need to h…

Are you being purposely disingenuous here? Perhaps crypto is an improvement over some archaic US banking standards but in the UK transactions will clear basically immediately and cost nothing. A money transfer is asymptotically just updating a couple of database records in a transaction. Execution speed is a technical problem, and one that is not solved efficiently by cryptos. Finally, most western countries offer an…

They are being serious.

Crypto financial services are a huge step forward in environments with broken banking systems. The US is one such place.

You're living in comfort and wealth in a civilized nation with modern regulated banks, so your perspective is narrow.

Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists

#118

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Agreed on the FDIC (although not everyone banks in the US) part but “speed” is not an area where traditional banks beat the right crypto solutions. My wife and I just had a major fiasco trying to transfer mortgage payments from one major bank to another. Our credit score was damaged severely. I’ll spare you the details but the diagnosis was eventually determined to be “not enough time for clearance” as in I need to h…

Are you being purposely disingenuous here? Perhaps crypto is an improvement over some archaic US banking standards but in the UK transactions will clear basically immediately and cost nothing. A money transfer is asymptotically just updating a couple of database records in a transaction. Execution speed is a technical problem, and one that is not solved efficiently by cryptos. Finally, most western countries offer an…

Ironically, the only times I've wired money internationally was so I could deposit fiat to a crypto exchange.

Canada to Japan, Canada to Poland. Each time it takes more than 2 weeks to arrive or be accessible in my account.

Whenever I "wire" crypto, it shows up in my account and is accessible in hours.

Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists

#119

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> except crypto has the potential to be more efficient and secure Except that's not clear at all. It's currently less efficient than electronic bank ledgers by many orders of magnitude, in any way you measure -- energy consumption, cost, speed, etc. And it's paradoxically less secure, as tons of successful hacks/thefts have proven. If my bank gets hacked, I'm still FDIC-insured. The courts will make me whole. Crypto…

Agreed on the FDIC (although not everyone banks in the US) part but “speed” is not an area where traditional banks beat the right crypto solutions. My wife and I just had a major fiasco trying to transfer mortgage payments from one major bank to another. Our credit score was damaged severely. I’ll spare you the details but the diagnosis was eventually determined to be “not enough time for clearance” as in I need to h…

Cash is instant. Venmo is instant. You can pay for goods with a credit card and know it was approved instantly.

In the very rare case you need to make a domestic wire transfer, yes it's currently slow, but that's not a technological problem, it's a political/institutional one. Plenty of countries have instant bank transfers as well.

AND -- instant bank transfers should be coming to the US in 2023, when FedACH is supplemented with FedNow (settles in seconds) [1].

So the slowness of wire transfers is just a temporary problem that's already been solved or is being solved. Crypto isn't necessary here at all.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FedACH

Re: Why I have zero faith in crypto venture capitalists

#120

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yet BTC is trailing inflation by over 30% the last month alone?

If we are going to cherry pick timelines, might as well compare the price right before money printers went crazy vs now.

Speculations are always about cherry picked timelines. Which is why crypto isn’t an investment nor a hedge.
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