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To protect against weaponized drones, we must understand their key strengths

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Re: To protect against weaponized drones, we must understand their key strengths

#111
post #69
post #60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Slow and easy to kill? Seen a drone race? At what range and with what weapon would they be easy to kill? How long would the kill take? At what range could the drone be killed at? Sure often drones fly in straight lines or hover. But in an adversarial environment they could easily move pseudo randomly and be quite difficult to kill.

And even drone races are slow and predictable compared to what is possible with an applied military mind and decent tools. I suspect (or hope) we already have some decent options in the top secret space. Nothing we have now (publicly) is going to do a damn against a shipping container full of 2-5 lb drones each carrying 1 lb of C4 in a swarm with cheap off the shelf sensors going 100 mph nap of the earth in a distrib…

This made me realize something like a TAS drone race would be interesting to watch.

Re: To protect against weaponized drones, we must understand their key strengths

#112
post #69
post #60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Slow and easy to kill? Seen a drone race? At what range and with what weapon would they be easy to kill? How long would the kill take? At what range could the drone be killed at? Sure often drones fly in straight lines or hover. But in an adversarial environment they could easily move pseudo randomly and be quite difficult to kill.

And even drone races are slow and predictable compared to what is possible with an applied military mind and decent tools. I suspect (or hope) we already have some decent options in the top secret space. Nothing we have now (publicly) is going to do a damn against a shipping container full of 2-5 lb drones each carrying 1 lb of C4 in a swarm with cheap off the shelf sensors going 100 mph nap of the earth in a distrib…

I'm sort of surprised we haven't seen this already. It's not even that hard or expensive to build.

Re: To protect against weaponized drones, we must understand their key strengths

#113

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Only once. Everyone has paid attention, and the next drone attacks will be suitably defended against. The fact is the "killer bot" scenario is just a one time thing. After it happens, all cities or armies or whatever, will have very solid defences installed against swarming or even just loitering bots. Flying drones are incredibly fragile and exposed. They are slow and easy to kill.

> Everyone has paid attention, and the next drone attacks will be suitably defended against How? They fly just few hundred meters above the ground, launch from field runways, and for the price of a single B-2, a country can buy 2000 of them. Jamming? Even a country like Turkey was able to devise a passable inertial navigation, and and programming for autonomous operation way exceeding an easy to trick "attack anythin…

> To counter them, you will need a very sizeable air force fitted with best radars possible to track them down individually, and strafe with a cannon

Or, you know, currently fielded SHORAD systems and CIWS?

Re: To protect against weaponized drones, we must understand their key strengths

#114

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Only once. Everyone has paid attention, and the next drone attacks will be suitably defended against. The fact is the "killer bot" scenario is just a one time thing. After it happens, all cities or armies or whatever, will have very solid defences installed against swarming or even just loitering bots. Flying drones are incredibly fragile and exposed. They are slow and easy to kill.

> Everyone has paid attention, and the next drone attacks will be suitably defended against How? They fly just few hundred meters above the ground, launch from field runways, and for the price of a single B-2, a country can buy 2000 of them. Jamming? Even a country like Turkey was able to devise a passable inertial navigation, and and programming for autonomous operation way exceeding an easy to trick "attack anythin…

What about their speed and range? If they fly fast they're not going far. If they go far they're slow moving targets. And if they go fast and far they have expensive rockets attached and you're being hit with missiles instead.

Re: To protect against weaponized drones, we must understand their key strengths

#115
post #79
post #77

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Also I suspect any CIWS can get a kill on just about any part of a missile, where drones often have very small kill zones (often battery or gas, payload, motor(s), and control) that might well be just a few % of the size of the drone. I guarantee you that just grazing a drone with a 20mm round will still kill it, even if you don't "hit" anything critical. :P

Really? Say you blow a 1" hole in a wing that's got some balsa struts and some thin fabric? Or a wing just made out of a sheet of foam? Both are common on cheap drones. Sure the 20mm round represents an amazing amount of kinetic energy, but the drone doesn't offer any resistance, and I wouldn't expect the round to even notice. Sure the disturbance in the air might throw the drone for a few loops, but any decent softw…

In the C-RAM role, Phalanx uses 20mm M940 MPT-SD rounds.

Explosive (self-destructing) and incendiary

https://www.gd-ots.com/munitions/medium-caliber-ammunition/2...

Re: To protect against weaponized drones, we must understand their key strengths

#116
FYI 'swarms' is a magic word.

It's meaningless and is introduced to conflate the fact what is talked about is not currently possible or stupid. These words are used a lot in tech.

> using autonomous drone swarms against a soft target like a stadium full of people

This can be done with a signal crop dusting drone, but if you say that it's easier to understand it's just the Black Sunday movie - https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0075765/ or a normal crop dusting plane or one automatic weapon where every bullet is a mini suicide drone.

"six drones engaged in complex maneuvers in low visibility conditions, buzzing the destroyer" is not possible. If it was 'one' drone it's obvious there's no way it can get to that location.

It is true Slaughterbots has scared the unwashed masses. Currently a glass window stops a drone, they are currently not far off the Dalek's inability to go up stairs.

Is it good to keep the public scared about drones? Drones greatest ability in war and terrorism atm is the fear. (Excluding multi-million $ plane sized drones which are strategic)

Re: To protect against weaponized drones, we must understand their key strengths

#117

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Everyone has paid attention, and the next drone attacks will be suitably defended against How? They fly just few hundred meters above the ground, launch from field runways, and for the price of a single B-2, a country can buy 2000 of them. Jamming? Even a country like Turkey was able to devise a passable inertial navigation, and and programming for autonomous operation way exceeding an easy to trick "attack anythin…

What about their speed and range? If they fly fast they're not going far. If they go far they're slow moving targets. And if they go fast and far they have expensive rockets attached and you're being hit with missiles instead.

The biggest threat today are tactical drones from just below a ton to a few tons.

100-300km - way outside of range of artillery. And they are all field runway launchable, so you don't really get anything from bombing the airfield.

And most of them are made to fly below heights at which any air defence is effective.

Re: To protect against weaponized drones, we must understand their key strengths

#118
post #113

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Everyone has paid attention, and the next drone attacks will be suitably defended against How? They fly just few hundred meters above the ground, launch from field runways, and for the price of a single B-2, a country can buy 2000 of them. Jamming? Even a country like Turkey was able to devise a passable inertial navigation, and and programming for autonomous operation way exceeding an easy to trick "attack anythin…

> To counter them, you will need a very sizeable air force fitted with best radars possible to track them down individually, and strafe with a cannon Or, you know, currently fielded SHORAD systems and CIWS?

What are their range, and height of radar horizon?

Even if that wouldn't be a problem, you will still need really a lot of that.

Re: To protect against weaponized drones, we must understand their key strengths

#119

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>So far, that article indicates, drones have been unable to yield a decisive advantage in any conflict Drones gave Azerbaijan a decisive advantage in the recent conflict with Armenia: https://www.csis.org/analysis/air-and-missile-war-nagorno-ka...

Only once. Everyone has paid attention, and the next drone attacks will be suitably defended against. The fact is the "killer bot" scenario is just a one time thing. After it happens, all cities or armies or whatever, will have very solid defences installed against swarming or even just loitering bots. Flying drones are incredibly fragile and exposed. They are slow and easy to kill.

> They are slow and easy to kill.

The drones flying slow, and low makes them harder to kill, not easier.

Re: To protect against weaponized drones, we must understand their key strengths

#120
post #60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Only once. Everyone has paid attention, and the next drone attacks will be suitably defended against. The fact is the "killer bot" scenario is just a one time thing. After it happens, all cities or armies or whatever, will have very solid defences installed against swarming or even just loitering bots. Flying drones are incredibly fragile and exposed. They are slow and easy to kill.

Slow and easy to kill? Seen a drone race? At what range and with what weapon would they be easy to kill? How long would the kill take? At what range could the drone be killed at? Sure often drones fly in straight lines or hover. But in an adversarial environment they could easily move pseudo randomly and be quite difficult to kill.

Current point defense systems are already capable of placing a 20mm round with a muzzle velocity of 1000m/s onto a falling mortar shell in the last three seconds of its flight time. How hard do you think drones are by comparison?
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