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Bitcoin Miner does the math, calls it quits

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Re: Bitcoin Miner does the math, calls it quits

#91
post #83
post #74

To be honest, when I read the original idea behind the bitcoin, I was thrilled. I thought This Is It (TM). The monetary system, as it exists today is based on debt as a lever for growth. Banks can get a deposit of 1$ and God/King/Char/President/Whatever gave them the right to lend 5$ with it, and hold the 5th person under obligation of debt, to pay back that one dollar which the bank that gave it to him DIDN'T HAVE i…

It's a nice thought but BitCoin doesn't change the debt-leveraged practice of the banks. Sorry to rain on the parade. The fractional reserve requirement allows the banks to lend multiples of their incoming deposits no matter what the currency. BitCoin is just another currency, like the dollars. M1/M2 in circulation is much smaller than the actual money used in the economy. BitCoin will be the same way. The banks can…

also a public ledger of all transactions.

Re: Bitcoin Miner does the math, calls it quits

#92
post #83
post #74

To be honest, when I read the original idea behind the bitcoin, I was thrilled. I thought This Is It (TM). The monetary system, as it exists today is based on debt as a lever for growth. Banks can get a deposit of 1$ and God/King/Char/President/Whatever gave them the right to lend 5$ with it, and hold the 5th person under obligation of debt, to pay back that one dollar which the bank that gave it to him DIDN'T HAVE i…

It's a nice thought but BitCoin doesn't change the debt-leveraged practice of the banks. Sorry to rain on the parade. The fractional reserve requirement allows the banks to lend multiples of their incoming deposits no matter what the currency. BitCoin is just another currency, like the dollars. M1/M2 in circulation is much smaller than the actual money used in the economy. BitCoin will be the same way. The banks can…

It will be possible to audit BitCoin banks in a way that's not possible for today's banks. Specifically, transactions are public, although anonymous. Even so, it ought to be possible to perform a kind of traffic analysis against the public block chain to determine whether a group of addresses are participating in fraud (in the form of fractional reserve banking) given that initially a customer has to send their BitCoins to some address owned by the bank.

Re: Bitcoin Miner does the math, calls it quits

#93
post #86
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That doesn't mean the math is wrong. What he's saying is each day the total value of bitcoins is going up by that amount because # of bitcoins * current price. He's also saying that it doesn't make sense, he sees irrationality in the behavior. If more bitcoins are added than value created, prices should go down, but aren't, they are stable. Something seems to be out of whack, the market isn't behaving rationally. Ess…

This is just the market cap effect. You can't buy or sell a company for its market cap; usually the real price is much higher or lower. Likewise just because you can buy or sell 1 BTC for $15 does not mean that 6.7M BTC are really worth $103M.

With a market cap there is still a finite number of shares, there aren't new ones being constantly created. We're also talking about a commodity, not shares of a company which is a value creating entity.

Re: Bitcoin Miner does the math, calls it quits

#94
post #53
post #46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

However the police also check for unusual heat signatures coming out of buildings at night, that could also have been what happened. Uh, wtf, since when? They're allowed to do this without a warrant? They just randomly drive along the streets and check heat signatures? Looking forward to the future when Bitcoin gets banned, and we see documentaries with police officers breaking down makeshift barricades to gain entry…

> Uh, wtf, since when? They're allowed to do this without a warrant? They just randomly drive along the streets and check heat signatures? "Emissions" are part of a Constitutional gray area because of the murky definition of privacy, but generally cops are allowed to utilize them. Heat signatures are not placed in the same category as wiretaps, but rather in the same category as walking down the street and happening…

No gray area in the US since 2001. Kyllo v. United States, IR imaging of a private home is a search subject to the 4th Amendment.

http://www.law.cornell.edu/supct/html/99-8508.ZS.html

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyllo_v._United_States

Re: Bitcoin Miner does the math, calls it quits

#96
post #75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The "true value" of a Bitcoin is zero -- it's just some bits on a computer. In the same way, the "true value" of paper currency is very close to zero -- I guess you could use it for note-taking. The market value of Bitcoin will depend on the demand to own Bitcoin, as opposed to any competing commodity or currency.

Common myth, but it's false. Paper currency's true value is that the issuer is obligated to do something in return for it. Since that's usually governments, paper currency's true value is that you can use it to pay debts to that government. Everybody in the world can stop using US Dollars for anything else, but they'll still be useful for that, because that is basically the definition of a US Dollar. Says so right on…

Governments are typically not bound to continue accepting payment in today's currency tomorrow. There have been many cases of government arbitrarily redenominating their currencies and/or their debts.

Re: Bitcoin Miner does the math, calls it quits

#97
post #56

I should point out that this is classic blogspam: You can see that the forum linked is dead except this one link. Original post where the text was copied from is this: https://forum.bitcoin.org/index.php?topic=26099.msg325505#ms... Incidentally, the original poster is fairly infamous troll/critic in the biggest bitcoin forum. (Sadly, I agree with most of his conclusions and pessimism). Pretty sure it is NOT original…

Actually, I'm almost certain that AngelusWebDesign (on Bitcoin.org) and Matthew (on Bitcoin-Board.com) are one-in-the-same. As I understand it, he runs Bitcoin-Board and simply cross-posts all his stuff.

Re: Bitcoin Miner does the math, calls it quits

#98
post #66

Wouldn't more people joining your pool increase your chances of more bitcoins? I know your % in the pool will go down, but your pool has a better chance overall.

More people joining a pool doesn't increase your personal Bitcoin production (in theory), it simply lowers your variance. That is, your payments will become smaller but more steady.

Re: Bitcoin Miner does the math, calls it quits

#99
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In fact, it's worse than that, because the global rate of BTC production goes down over time. After 2025, hardly any new bitcoins will be generated. https://secure.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/wiki/Bitcoin#Monet...

That's the whole point. As the amount of Bitcoins gets closer to the maxim, it will become harder and harder to mine them. But ideally, this should be overcome by Bitcoin's increasing popularity and value. This isn't happening right now, and it appears to have stagnated, but that's not a problem for Bitcoin's future, because the continous mining of Bitcoin is not necessary to ensure its success. This simply means tha…

Except if Bitcoin becomes popular, other similar digital currencies will arise. Bitcoin will be no more speicial than nickels are in the non-digital currency realm. It will be just another kind of digital coin in your digital pocket.

Re: Bitcoin Miner does the math, calls it quits

#100
post #75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The "true value" of a Bitcoin is zero -- it's just some bits on a computer. In the same way, the "true value" of paper currency is very close to zero -- I guess you could use it for note-taking. The market value of Bitcoin will depend on the demand to own Bitcoin, as opposed to any competing commodity or currency.

Common myth, but it's false. Paper currency's true value is that the issuer is obligated to do something in return for it. Since that's usually governments, paper currency's true value is that you can use it to pay debts to that government. Everybody in the world can stop using US Dollars for anything else, but they'll still be useful for that, because that is basically the definition of a US Dollar. Says so right on…

I don't think we're really arguing here. My comment was meant to be somewhat tongue-in-cheek, but nonetheless most currencies share the property that their value in trade is decoupled from their inherent value. Back to the OP's question, there is no such thing as a real value of a BitCoin, it comes down to how much someone else is willing to exchange (in barter, currency, gold, whatever) at any particular moment.
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