I do think there will be some centralization at the exchange level. As of April 2021, Kraken had 600,000 ETH staked for ETH2 [1].
It's not in the interest of Kraken or Coinbase to disrupt one of these PoS networks, but there is some barrier to entry for staking ETH2 or other PoS coins on your own, vs staking them on an exchange. In the case of ETH2, if your staking node goes down, you get slashed and lose some ETH. If there isn't slashing (not all PoS coins have that), I don't see what guarantee of network security or uptime there is.
I'd be curious what PoS coin experts think about this part. It seems like PoS / staking can lead to centralization. PoW has energy concerns for sure, but it has so far demonstrated decentralization pretty well.
I'm legitimately curious about this. I'd love for PoS to be feasible and am trying to understand it more.
[1] https://en.cryptonomist.ch/2021/04/20/ethereum-2-0-600-thous...