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Universal basic income to be tested in Wales

bbc.co.uk

131–140 of 337 posts

Re: Universal basic income to be tested in Wales

#131

Nobody has yet to explain the incentive for minimum paid workers to go to work once UBI payments becomes equal to a minimum paid job.

You don't lose UBI by working. UBI should be intended to be the lowest possible amount of money to live. Life won't be fun/good if you're only relying on UBI. In that model I imagine plenty would prefer to keep their job in addition to UBI.

Re: Universal basic income to be tested in Wales

#132

I am going to conduct my own personal experiment starting February 2022. I will be gifted €1.000 per month for 48 months... and I am thinking about maybe blogging or vlogging or instagramming about my experiences.... Any suggestions from the HN crowd?

So to get this straight, you are just going to be getting free money for doing nothing, what from your dad? How is this in any way related to UBI? I can already predict the outcome. You are just going to accumulate next thing and consoom product...

Re: Universal basic income to be tested in Wales

#133
post #118
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you take out pensions(~100b gbp), the UK spends (very) approx. 100 billion pounds a year on social assistance. I think OP is suggesting taking that 100 billion and dividing it evenly among the people of the UK vs specifically to the folks who have applied.

Is there surplus in these social assistance budgets going unused? How could you expect to spread the same budget over the entire population while maintaining the quality of benefits?

There is no surplus in the social assistance budget that I saw when I went and looked over the budgetary documents to post my original comment. I'm not an expert and I didn't dive deep, I just wanted to look for the numbers that the UK is associating to "welfare" and "social assistance". As far as I saw, the majority of the benefit is via tax rebate, tax reductions, and in some instances direct payment, so in that light, I'm not sure "quality" is much of a factor? The UK already has social healthcare iirc. I think in the UBI world, everyone pays tax normally, and then that money is distributed evenly vs specifically? (Edit: removed my math as it is wrong, as usual)

Re: Universal basic income to be tested in Wales

#134

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> “work should be optional and the basics of life should be provided for all [via the work of others]” The answers to this are: provocative: work is already optional for holders of large capital - if it works for them, why not the rest of us? humanitarian: everyone deserves decency (and we have enough to go around) utopian: we are/will be rich in everything we need, so we do not need to work for basics - we will only…

It's not up to you to decide what to do with other people's money. Feel free to donate all your money to the poor who deserve better; if you will use threat of violence to get someone else money (no matter the cause) I'll call you immoral.

[deleted]

Re: Universal basic income to be tested in Wales

#135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The people who supported segregation mostly abandoned the Democratic Party decades ago because of the civil rights issue. It’s one of the prime reasons the south used to be solidly Democratic and is now solidly Republican. Neither party is the same as it was in the nineteenth century.

> The people who supported segregation mostly abandoned the Democratic Party decades ago because of the civil rights issue. Yup, that's what people like to tell themselves but much of it is wishful thinking. Look at how long people like Robert Byrd stayed around. Look at who actually supports, e.g. extreme NIMBY policies in urban areas to keep undesirable "demographics" out of the neighborhood, and "fights gentrifica…

It’s historical fact.

Re: Universal basic income to be tested in Wales

#136

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> “work should be optional and the basics of life should be provided for all [via the work of others]” The answers to this are: provocative: work is already optional for holders of large capital - if it works for them, why not the rest of us? humanitarian: everyone deserves decency (and we have enough to go around) utopian: we are/will be rich in everything we need, so we do not need to work for basics - we will only…

It's not up to you to decide what to do with other people's money. Feel free to donate all your money to the poor who deserve better; if you will use threat of violence to get someone else money (no matter the cause) I'll call you immoral.

[deleted]

Re: Universal basic income to be tested in Wales

#137

In practice the UK already pays the price for a universal basic income. Most poor people get some sort of tax credit and/or housing benefit. What we don't do is allow people to use it to rise out of poverty. A disabled lady thought saving some of her disability was the responsible thing to do, despite further impoverishing herself, once she built up some savings she was prosecuted for fraudently claiming benefits whi…

Except there is not enough redistributable capital around to let it happen. Even if all U.S. capital stock ($70T) was distributed to everyone evenly, it won't let people out of poverty (sustainable income derived from this will equal to about the minimum wage per adult). So even the most terribly unfair capital redistribution imaginable will ok, maybe pay for food stamps for everyone, but hardly much more.

Just some back of the envelope work - with 70 million million divided amoung 300 million people, that's 233,333 per person. Assume 4 people per household that's about a million per household. Avg s&p dividend is 2.3% - That's minimum wage per 2 working adult household.

The math does seem to stack up. The problem is distribution, not total wealth it seems

Edit: Ok this is skewed as US stock markets are really a global stock market, but if you took for example global GDP (~115 Trn) and divided by 8 bn people or 4 person households you end up with 60k per household globally.

Here's a trick I was explaining to my son earlier. We really do live in the Matrix. An announcement comes on and they are resetting - everyone gets a new life starting tomorrow - but randomly allocated over the 8 billion possible "players". We can keep the current social order or we can design a new one.

Do you hope the 8 billion sided dice rolls in your favour and you land in Jeff Bezos body? Or do you think maybe we should redesign society ?

Re: Universal basic income to be tested in Wales

#138
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Look at the difficulty the service industry has now hiring people It's easy to hire people, you just have to offer better wages. The issue is that they can't find anybody willing to work for the wage they are offering, which is very different from not being able to find people to hire. > it’s not like they are using this time to pursue productive hobbies Any studies on this?

> The issue is that they can't find anybody willing to work for the wage they are offering While this is accurate, it ignores OP's point that they were willing to work for those wages pre-pandemic, but now the government is paying them something equivalent to 'sit around' (per OPs point). Is it the job of the employer to raise wages or the government's job to pay people to work vs sitting? Maybe we should bring back…

When people are paid starvation wages and have to have multiple jobs, that's brushed off as "supply and demand" of labor. You get paid what the market is willing to pay for your labor, and it's your own fault if you can't offer anything more compelling to demand a higher wage.

But when the situation is flipped around, and there is a shortage of labor instead? Suddenly the same rules don't apply, "supply and demand" isn't what should rule the price point for labor, instead, these companies are entitled to cheap labor. If people are unwilling to work for the wages offered, it's the people who are defect, not the wages offered.

Re: Universal basic income to be tested in Wales

#139
post #106

That's where my taxes will go. And I have to pay almost a grand a month for private healthcare because of incompetent NHS. Maybe I should move to Wales to get some of my money back.

> That's where my taxes will go. The welfare state already receives the largest fraction of your taxes. Personally, I'm in favour of things that make the welfare state more cost-effective. > And I have to pay almost a grand a month for private healthcare because of incompetent NHS. Maybe I should move to Wales to get some of my money back. You don't have to, you choose to.

NHS has been pretty terrible in my experience and thank God I have Bupa now. You don't have to, but if you have something you need serious treatment for you'd better go private.

They didn't do any tests when presenting symptoms of a stomach ulcer after queueing for 3 hours (I had to do a private test to find out). Statistically I was unlikely t have it because of my age.

The first pregnancy went ok (albeit nowhere close to the level of instrumentation you see in the states), for the second one they delayed epidural until it was too late to administer and my wife gave birth on a sofa without pain relief.

My son had teeth problems since birth and they wanted to remove 4 front teeth saying an abscess was inevitable. Luckily we have dentists abroad who advised otherwise and it turned out removing teeth was not needed (and it would have been years of pain, spacers and ruined roots).

All in all, considering all the money I paid over the years to the government, it was a pretty shoddy deal.

Re: Universal basic income to be tested in Wales

#140

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's a very interesting way of phrasing that question. Do you think the fact that no one would want to do these jobs for minimum wage if they aren't being forced to by threat of poverty might suggest that we need to approach those jobs differently?

> Do you think the fact that no one would want to do these jobs for minimum wage if they aren't being forced to by threat of poverty might suggest that we need to approach those jobs differently? So you want to pay your cleaning personnel the same wage as a heart surgeon? Don’t you think that such high wages will eventually just raise prices?

Surely the point of the market is that you need to pay for things based on how difficult it is to get them?

Contrived example.

Say you have some toilets you want cleaning and you decide to offer the job for $5 an hour + tips from toilet goers. The only person that agrees to do it is some homeless dude. You're not very happy about this, but no one else showed up so you go with it.

Then two weeks later the city offers $5/hr UBI and the homeless guy immediately quits.

"But wait, if you were scrubbing the toilets you get $10/hr + tips!" you say to him, and he says "ok cool but I'd rather beg on the street" and walks out

This means that $10/hr is actually significantly too low for cleaning toilets and the only reason this guy agreed to do it for $5/hr is he would have literally died otherwise

You can say "hey, a guy scrubbing toilets should definitely not make more than me, a big important programmer! My job's way harder" but would you scrub toilets for your current salary? I don't think I'd want to. Equally my company could probably give me a 10% pay cut and I'd complain about it but keep doing my job. I like programming.

However, the sad truth is society needs people to clean toilets and sweep the streets significantly more than it needs me to write React code for some website. If every cleaner in the world quit simultaneously, it'd be utter chaos. If every frontend dev in the world quit it'd be annoying but no one would die.

So why do we pay cleaners so little?

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